1 00:00:02,380 --> 00:00:12,940 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to get another presentation produced by the California Society Municipal Finance Officers. My name is Craig Lesner. Hopefully, you've seen us before. We've get around. 2 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:31,100 But today we're presenting to you as you can see from the presentation on your screen, the CalPERS Actual Actuarial Excuse me, valuation reports as of June 30, 2020. It's a mouthful, right? And it's even more of an eyeful when you start looking at it. But that's the kind of stuff that we're going to be looking at today. 3 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:33,480 And we've got a lot of people joining us today. 4 00:00:33,500 --> 00:00:35,660 These are one or more of our popular webinars. 5 00:00:36,540 --> 00:00:38,200 But for those of you that aren't used to joining us, 6 00:00:39,100 --> 00:00:40,920 and are looking for things like CPE credits, 7 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:43,200 there's a couple of things you didn't know to make sure 8 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:44,020 we can get you those credits. 9 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:46,440 One, obviously if you can hear us, 10 00:00:46,540 --> 00:00:47,880 you can't get anything out of today's webinar. 11 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:48,960 So if you're having trouble, 12 00:00:49,620 --> 00:00:51,880 there's two ways to get a hold of us through this webinar 13 00:00:52,460 --> 00:00:53,740 on the phone, obviously, 14 00:00:54,180 --> 00:00:55,340 just like in the olden days. 15 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:57,260 Or through computer audio, usually. 16 00:00:57,980 --> 00:00:58,940 If one's not working, 17 00:00:58,940 --> 00:01:02,900 And if just by magically switching to the other one, it usually does work, it's for whatever 18 00:01:02,900 --> 00:01:06,980 reason, just the Gremlin's involved, just while you do both sometimes. 19 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:13,520 But if you have trouble with that, let us know through the question tab, sort of you should 20 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:14,560 be off to the right of your screen. 21 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:17,320 If you're having trouble with polls, we have six polls today. 22 00:01:17,700 --> 00:01:21,920 The purpose of these polls are for us to record that your president and your paying attention. 23 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,900 So it's important that if you are looking for CPE credits that you take those polls. 24 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,840 If you're having trouble with those poles, that's usually we're told from the good folks 25 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:31,500 that go to meeting. 26 00:01:32,140 --> 00:01:36,100 An issue with the sizing of the window or whether the window is actively engaged. 27 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:40,120 And so what we're told is if you change the size of that window if it's larger, make it 28 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:41,860 a little smaller, if it's small, make a little larger. 29 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,520 That engages it and you should be able to take those poles. 30 00:01:45,300 --> 00:01:50,860 However, if you can't find a way to take those poles for whatever reason, we can't certify anything 31 00:01:50,860 --> 00:01:53,800 for your CPU kind of to just make sure that you pay attention to that. 32 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:59,100 Today's objective is briefly, we want to provide guidance on how to extract the most 33 00:01:59,100 --> 00:02:00,480 value from the actual report. 34 00:02:00,900 --> 00:02:04,800 We want to look at those five of your contribution projections, highlighting some changes 35 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,100 to the ADP or additional discretionary payments. 36 00:02:08,060 --> 00:02:13,040 A brief update on asset liability management process, but really focusing on that 2021 investment 37 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:17,060 return impact and what you're all here to hear about. 38 00:02:17,660 --> 00:02:19,560 And, of course, to answer any other questions that we have. 39 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:26,840 So if you have questions, again, you know, put these through your question tab and we'll 40 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:29,560 filter those and get those to the speakers as best we can. 41 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,340 And of course, if you're having trouble with hearing and things like that, then I'll handle 42 00:02:32,340 --> 00:02:32,740 those. 43 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,300 But today, hopefully you're aware of who these speakers are. 44 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:37,280 That's why you're already here. 45 00:02:37,380 --> 00:02:40,660 You want to hear what they have to say, but just for a brief introduction, we've got Julian 46 00:02:40,660 --> 00:02:41,160 Robinson. 47 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:46,120 Julian is the senior pension actuary with the valuation services team at CalPERS. 48 00:02:46,640 --> 00:02:48,080 He's been with CalPERS since 2012. 49 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:54,220 And Mr. Robinson is responsible for the actual work for various CalPERS contracting agencies throughout the state of California. 50 00:02:55,480 --> 00:03:02,180 He's also on, excuse me, CalPERS is asset liability management advisory council another month full. 51 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:10,740 He is the actuary for the terminated agency pool, and for the judges retirement system part two, or the two, the second. 52 00:03:10,740 --> 00:03:15,540 In September 2018, he was elected to the Society of Actress Retirement Council and he frequently 53 00:03:15,540 --> 00:03:19,440 conducts webinars and current issues and represents CalPERS at conferences and other public 54 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:19,780 events. 55 00:03:20,380 --> 00:03:24,760 In other words, he's very good or at least he's used to having to communicate a lot of complicated 56 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:29,460 CalPERS information to people that don't exactly speak the way that they speak down at 57 00:03:29,460 --> 00:03:30,560 CalPERS or up big CalPERS. 58 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:35,980 Joining us also, if we're a color commentator today, is Ms. Onix Jones, the CFO or the Chief 59 00:03:35,980 --> 00:03:39,720 Financial Officer for the City of Culver City, California. 60 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,920 on accessing the CFO position for the city of back in February of 2019. 61 00:03:44,740 --> 00:03:46,140 So right before the good time started. 62 00:03:46,580 --> 00:03:48,740 Previously, she served for three years as the finance director 63 00:03:48,740 --> 00:03:50,320 and city treacher for the city Pomona, 64 00:03:50,860 --> 00:03:54,020 and three years as interim finance director for the city of Al-Dolanto, 65 00:03:54,340 --> 00:03:57,340 and seven years as deputy finance director for the city of Rialto. 66 00:03:58,020 --> 00:04:00,000 Mrs. Jones, excuse me, has accepted 67 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:01,980 of experience in financial analysis and budgeting. 68 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:04,680 She assisted two of her cities in creating utility, 69 00:04:04,940 --> 00:04:06,180 user tax revenue measures. 70 00:04:06,780 --> 00:04:08,480 And she's written budget manuals implemented 71 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,820 major capital improvement projects and has led creative team building workshops. 72 00:04:13,460 --> 00:04:16,740 She's actually also a motivational speaker and an award-winning author. 73 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:21,560 Her book, the Artificial Guide to Achieving Your Goals, won first place at the 2015 London 74 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,020 Book Festival Award for the How-To category. 75 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:28,760 Ms. Jones holds a master's degree in Professional Accountancy, from which a task to university. 76 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:33,400 So we're hoping that on, ex-joins us today, and really gives us a perspective of how 77 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:37,340 Culver City reacts to some of this information and how they address it and how they 78 00:04:37,340 --> 00:04:38,180 communicate it. 79 00:04:38,180 --> 00:04:43,680 So with that being said, I'd like to hand over the rains and controls to Julian. 80 00:04:57,270 --> 00:04:59,410 Julian, I think you might be muted. Let's see if we can fix it. 81 00:05:00,820 --> 00:05:09,100 Okay, let's try again. Welcome everybody this morning to the discussion on the valuation reports. 82 00:05:09,340 --> 00:05:18,380 I've been doing this for a number of years and I look forward to this each time, as a way to talk with my friends and colleagues at the CSMFO. 83 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:27,000 I've been working with a new minister quite a while and to enjoy the questions that I get all the time and their interactions. 84 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:35,100 I'm also happy that I'm sure it's here this morning to provide some kind of commentary to the discussion that we're going to have. 85 00:05:35,860 --> 00:05:44,820 The key takeaways we have to achieve this morning are understanding what your fiscal year 2022-23 contributions are. 86 00:05:44,820 --> 00:05:48,620 that's the main purpose of this funding port. 87 00:05:48,660 --> 00:05:51,720 We have looked at the fund that status of plans 88 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:55,960 by the contributions, which are included in the body 89 00:05:55,960 --> 00:06:00,040 of the report, have a few comments about the fiscal year 90 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:05,160 2021 investment return, and the brief discussion 91 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,040 on some of the alternative ways of handling 92 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:12,400 and funded approved legalities, or I may call that 93 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:21,040 as we go on. Just a little bit of background on the pool plans versus non pool plans. 94 00:06:23,060 --> 00:06:28,400 The, before we get to the polling question, the pool admin in our system, as I'm 95 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:34,940 sure you're all aware, we have two types of plans, plans which have less than 100 active members, 96 00:06:34,940 --> 00:06:42,780 are all part of the pools. We have two pools in the system. The miscellaneous pool and the safety 97 00:06:42,780 --> 00:06:49,120 pool. And of course, miscellaneous plant or a covered in the miscellaneous pool and the safety 98 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:58,880 plants are in the safety pool. The pool plants have a separate normal cost for each of the 99 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:04,060 plants in the pool. It's a standard normal cost and if there are certain additional benefits 100 00:07:04,060 --> 00:07:11,080 that a plan provides, there were surcharges for those. One of the unique things about the 101 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:18,500 pool plans is the gains and losses across all the plans in the pool are shared with all the 102 00:07:18,500 --> 00:07:24,760 participating plans in the pool. It's an insurance concept which gives the volatility of rates 103 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:32,740 lower than if each individual plan reflected its own gains and losses. On the other side, 104 00:07:32,740 --> 00:07:39,780 We have about 420 non-pull plants in the system. 105 00:07:40,260 --> 00:07:43,820 All of those plants have more than 100 active members. 106 00:07:44,100 --> 00:07:48,200 And again, there's two types of those plants in this land, yes, plants, safety plants. 107 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:55,340 There's a combined normal cost rate for all tiers in each report. 108 00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:01,480 We'll talk a little bit better a little bit more detail soon. 109 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:08,580 And the gains and losses for each plan are allocated to that specific plan. 110 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,940 So that's a unique feature of the non-pull plans. 111 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:19,500 And since there are sufficient size to handle those kinds of gains and losses in the volatility, 112 00:08:20,180 --> 00:08:22,180 that's why they're kept separate. 113 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:28,120 Right? That's here at our first full question. 114 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:43,760 All right. So the first poll question is, what type of plans do you have? So please select all that apply. Are you in a non pulled plan, a pool plan or both of the above? 115 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:54,580 So we'll take some time to allow people to answer the poll question. I do have a question for you, Julian. 116 00:08:54,580 --> 00:09:02,060 And do you notice amongst the pool or not pooled whether the gains in loss is very, very much 117 00:09:02,060 --> 00:09:04,060 between the two different plans? 118 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:14,200 In general, there's not significant difference unless there's some large advantage may affect 119 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:17,280 the particular large non-pull plan. 120 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:24,160 But in general, the, of course, the investment gains of losses are, you know, pretty much equal 121 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:29,940 between the pool of the non-pulled, it's just the non-investment gains of losses. In other words, 122 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:38,220 the demographic gains of losses, which potentially could have a bigger impact. But I'm right, 123 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:44,720 I personally haven't noticed any substantial difference above between pooled and non-pulled 124 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,260 That's when it comes to that. 125 00:09:46,540 --> 00:09:47,920 Oh, that's good to know. 126 00:09:49,220 --> 00:09:51,920 We would want one group to have a manager over the other. 127 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,400 You know, to certainly, uh, that's so good. 128 00:09:55,420 --> 00:09:55,540 Yes. 129 00:09:55,700 --> 00:09:56,820 I should have not been to 130 00:09:59,120 --> 00:09:59,620 you. 131 00:09:59,660 --> 00:09:59,960 Okay. 132 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:25,360 Let's see the results. So it looks like for the group that's on the call today 49% are in the pooled only. And then we do have 33% and non-pooled. And then 18% for both of the above. So we definitely will have information for everyone today, depending on which group they're in. I know you are presentation is going to speak to both. 133 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:30,180 Right, I'm trying to advance this, here we go. 134 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:38,140 So here's a couple of slides on highlighting some of the all the information. 135 00:10:38,540 --> 00:10:44,900 There's a section two pool report which covers all of the plans and the particular pool. 136 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,620 So here we have some information about the miscellaneous 137 00:10:47,620 --> 00:10:55,400 or, as you can see, the middle of the screen with the blue highlighting of their all the basic formulas, 138 00:10:56,300 --> 00:11:04,260 which are covered in the miscellaneous pool with two prisoners 62, two prisoners 60, et cetera, et cetera. 139 00:11:04,700 --> 00:11:12,600 Those are the basic formulas which are provided in the benefit which are provided in those pools. 140 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:19,060 And by looking at that table, you can see the relative costs of these benefits structures. 141 00:11:20,560 --> 00:11:30,280 Also of interest, perhaps at the bottom of the page, you can see the market value of assets in the miscellaneous pool is about $15 billion. 142 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:40,320 was the liabilities of $19 billion approximately 76% funded so you can compare your individual 143 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:44,440 plan to see how it compares to the rest of the pool. 144 00:11:45,520 --> 00:12:00,260 The next slide is similar information, but with respect to the safety pool, there's a 145 00:12:00,260 --> 00:12:07,200 the most generous benefits of the 3% at age 50 formula. 146 00:12:07,500 --> 00:12:11,620 And you can see the basic contribution rates, 147 00:12:11,900 --> 00:12:20,360 normal cost contribution, the range in 20% up to the 30%. 148 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:26,720 The safety policy is a little bit larger than the miscellaneous pool 149 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:34,780 with $19,000,000,000 in assets and approximately $26,000,000,000 of liabilities, 150 00:12:35,340 --> 00:12:41,300 when it has a slightly lower funded status in the miscellaneous pool. 151 00:12:42,540 --> 00:12:51,660 And you can compare your safety pool to the average of the safety pools here. 152 00:12:55,180 --> 00:13:05,900 So, in terms of the way we put together reports for the various pools, the non-pult plans are all contained in one report. 153 00:13:06,700 --> 00:13:21,200 For the pooled plans, there are going to be multiple reports, and those with pooled plans know that if you have different tiers of benefits and pretty much every agency has at least two, 154 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:27,880 because we have a at least one classic tier and a pepper tier. So there's at least two section 155 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:35,040 one reports that you receive and then there's a section two report which is available on the 156 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:41,940 Kelpa's website that you can see all of the information and all of the analysis for the entire 157 00:13:42,500 --> 00:13:51,180 entire poll. So feel free to find that on the Kelpa's website I believe it is up already or 158 00:13:51,180 --> 00:13:55,200 has been recently posted or a little bit quite soon. 159 00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:00,080 Some highlights of the actual report. 160 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:04,640 Let's get into the meeting potatoes this and to know as I've said before, 161 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,420 these evaluations are for funding purposes, 162 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:10,800 and the first three letters are for funding is fun, 163 00:14:11,060 --> 00:14:13,960 so let's strap on our seat belts and have some fun 164 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,880 in the discussion that we're going to have. 165 00:14:17,300 --> 00:14:20,800 So come questions which I often get in my colleagues 166 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:29,260 the other actress who serve the agencies this webinar this morning. What other required 167 00:14:29,260 --> 00:14:36,600 contributions everyone needs to know what their obligations are to help us, what's the 168 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:41,840 how good a shape is the plan. Why do the contributions change for me to year? 169 00:14:44,550 --> 00:14:45,670 Where the contributions 170 00:14:45,670 --> 00:14:55,350 had it higher or lower or relatively stable. And funded a good liability is a very popular topic 171 00:14:55,350 --> 00:14:59,970 we get many calls about that, so understanding the schedules ends up. 172 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:12,160 All alternative approaches to handling them is very important. It remembers where my peppermembers we get questions about that and what additional information is available in the reports. 173 00:15:14,570 --> 00:15:17,510 Let's tackle each of these questions about them. 174 00:15:18,730 --> 00:15:28,350 So on the front page of the report, we show the information for 2022-2023. It's we're already in the 175 00:15:28,350 --> 00:15:37,190 21-22 fiscal year and you're making contributions currently for that year. This allows you to plan for 176 00:15:37,190 --> 00:15:43,110 what is going to happen in the next fiscal year. You also put on the front page of the report, 177 00:15:43,110 --> 00:15:55,330 a projection of the results of the 2023-24 valuation and here we put an estimate as you know the rates for 178 00:15:55,330 --> 00:16:02,910 2023-24 will only be finalized when we do our next funding valuation next year. 179 00:16:04,530 --> 00:16:12,290 I have a little list of providers over here that the rates don't reflect any 180 00:16:12,290 --> 00:16:18,350 cost sharing information, so if you have any of those arrangements with your employees, that is 181 00:16:19,250 --> 00:16:24,830 willing to impact the rates which are shown on the front of the report. 182 00:16:27,050 --> 00:16:34,870 We didn't include any impact of the risk of the S again, the last year, the 21.2% 183 00:16:34,870 --> 00:16:43,070 Also, there's no impact in the projection of the front page with respect to any impact 184 00:16:43,070 --> 00:16:51,650 of risk mitigation or any other assumption changes, which are likely to be made over the 185 00:16:51,650 --> 00:16:54,210 next few months by kelp's board. 186 00:16:57,990 --> 00:17:03,870 There's a summary on page four of the report again of the contribution requirements, 187 00:17:07,790 --> 00:17:07,790 the 188 00:17:07,790 --> 00:17:15,530 of the contribution, and then the second component of the contribution is the payment of the 189 00:17:15,530 --> 00:17:24,030 unfunded availability. And as you know, there's an option in how you can handle the UAL payment 190 00:17:24,030 --> 00:17:31,470 of required UAL payment, you can either make a monthly payment or there's an up a disoption 191 00:17:31,470 --> 00:17:40,770 July of each year to pay the full unfunded afford liability commitment in one payment 192 00:17:41,210 --> 00:17:51,870 and if you take advantage of that, you get a half a year of interest and credit for if you 193 00:17:51,870 --> 00:17:55,470 make the payment in July of each year. 194 00:17:57,990 --> 00:18:01,690 Again, as I mentioned, the normal cost component, 195 00:18:01,690 --> 00:18:07,710 no cost is compared to components, the normal cost, which you pay on the monthly basis, 196 00:18:08,090 --> 00:18:12,990 or at least on the monthly basis depending on how often you submit the payroll to the 197 00:18:12,990 --> 00:18:16,730 workers and the UAL payment. 198 00:18:18,130 --> 00:18:26,290 Point which I always like to highlight is please don't pay your UAL that you're making 199 00:18:26,290 --> 00:18:34,010 that contribution to the injury and that's for some reason some agencies hate 12 times 200 00:18:34,010 --> 00:18:38,130 the monthly amount and that's more than required. 201 00:18:38,130 --> 00:18:44,610 But of course, if in the event that you do make that an extra payment by accident, we do 202 00:18:44,610 --> 00:18:51,010 credit it to your unfundered reliability, so it's not like the money just disappears. 203 00:18:52,810 --> 00:18:59,770 But for more precision, it's better and for our counting purposes, if the proper amount 204 00:19:00,370 --> 00:19:08,110 is paid on the next slide, I show what the invoice looks like. 205 00:19:08,110 --> 00:19:17,390 like for the first month of the year, and no, here and in the invoice, I light it in yellow here, 206 00:19:18,030 --> 00:19:26,890 is the annual amount, even though it shows at the bottom the total amount due, which is the monthly 207 00:19:26,890 --> 00:19:32,750 amount, but if you want to pre-pay, it does show that amount in the invoice. 208 00:19:40,450 --> 00:19:41,310 It is my planning 209 00:19:41,310 --> 00:19:49,730 of a shape. So one of the most common measures of a plan's financial stability is the 210 00:19:49,730 --> 00:19:59,830 funded ratio. So on this page, from front of you, we showed that 2019 and 2020 results for 211 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:07,700 Now, there are some purposes only. Just to run through the items on the shown shown here, the present 212 00:20:07,700 --> 00:20:15,400 value of projected benefits. That's how actual estimate of what the total benefits payable for the 213 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:22,160 plan will be for all current members. And assuming that the active members will continue working 214 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:29,740 through retirement. The number two item, the entry-age approved liability for what we call 215 00:20:29,740 --> 00:20:36,420 the equity liability entry-age is a technical actuarial method which we use to come up with 216 00:20:36,420 --> 00:20:49,740 this number is the value of benefits which have accrued back to the valuation date and the 217 00:20:49,740 --> 00:20:57,480 project benefits and the NCH, a good liability is the expected benefits that current active 218 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:05,780 members are expected to earn in the future with their working lifetimes. Number three is the 219 00:21:05,780 --> 00:21:12,400 market value of assets and we can take the difference between two and three, in this case the 220 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:17,900 It's between 34 and 74 million and 254 million, 221 00:21:18,180 --> 00:21:22,780 approximately 120 million of unfunded liability. 222 00:21:23,620 --> 00:21:27,820 Let me look at the ratio, the assets divided by the liabilities 223 00:21:28,070 --> 00:21:31,980 to come up with the funded ratio amount. 224 00:21:34,460 --> 00:21:37,300 I have a question, Julian, for you. 225 00:21:37,700 --> 00:21:41,600 Is there ever a funded ratio where a city should sound the alarm 226 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:43,580 agencies should be concerned? 227 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,160 We get that question quite frequently. 228 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,380 We're aiming to reach 229 00:21:53,380 --> 00:22:02,640 a hundred percent. Yes. Backbunders. If a plan drops to fifty percent, so that essentially 230 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:10,100 means that the assets need to double in order to reach what the liabilities are to have 231 00:22:10,100 --> 00:22:18,320 the liabilities. So that's quite a extreme position, and we obviously know when to try to avoid 232 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:27,500 that at all costs. But the most important thing is for there to be assets or times to cover, 233 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:34,680 the benefit payment says they can do. That's the most pressing obligation and 234 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:42,680 and calipers, but as a management, it also takes that into account that they maintain some 235 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:50,780 level of liquidity to make sure that the benefits that are due to current retirees are made. 236 00:22:52,060 --> 00:22:55,900 And I should have mentioned that if anybody has questions, I'm not sure if people are sending 237 00:22:55,900 --> 00:23:06,700 questions yet, but no faces. Some questions as the discussion goes on, so we can deal with them as 238 00:23:06,700 --> 00:23:14,760 as you submit them. So this is the fund as that is as of June 30, 2020. 239 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,430 The next question we 240 00:23:20,430 --> 00:23:28,050 free point to get is why did my plan have a change in the required contributions? 241 00:23:29,570 --> 00:23:35,490 So generally, the normal cost component, the normal cost component represents the amount 242 00:23:35,490 --> 00:23:43,510 of benefits which the count active, members are accruing each year that remains relatively 243 00:23:43,510 --> 00:23:44,150 stable. 244 00:23:44,150 --> 00:23:53,070 what does change as gains and losses for the plan? Gains and losses means that we have 245 00:23:53,070 --> 00:23:59,110 various expectations about how much we're going to earn on the assets invested and 246 00:23:59,110 --> 00:24:05,330 many people are going to live for what retirement age people are going to elect to retire 247 00:24:05,330 --> 00:24:12,330 out or kind of salary increases are given. So we have a whole slew of actual assumptions 248 00:24:12,330 --> 00:24:19,190 which are baked in to our liability numbers. Whenever there's a difference between those 249 00:24:20,130 --> 00:24:27,790 the assumptions and the actual experience that develops a gain of loss. So the gain of loss 250 00:24:27,790 --> 00:24:34,510 flows through to the into the liabilities and the unfunded approved liabilities and that's why 251 00:24:34,510 --> 00:24:40,850 this changes in the contribution he chair to handle those against muscles. 252 00:24:41,310 --> 00:24:44,950 We never ask you to pay a game unless often, immediately, 253 00:24:45,630 --> 00:24:52,070 but we have a whole amortization process depending on what the source of the game unless it's. 254 00:24:52,190 --> 00:24:58,670 So, in non-pull plans, there's a full-red reconciliation on page 15 of all the against muscles. 255 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:14,260 For pool plans, there is a reconciliation in this section to report. And each plan in the pool is allocated a portion 256 00:25:14,260 --> 00:25:20,560 of the gains and losses based on the size of the plans, assets, based on the size of the plans, 257 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:29,300 what liabilities and that's having the occasion to begin to losses for each of the plans in the pool is performed. 258 00:25:34,620 --> 00:25:46,600 We provide a five-year projection of where we expect contributions to be based on the assumptions in the plan. 259 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:53,180 Now, what you see in front of you here is a projection for a non-poled plan. 260 00:25:53,460 --> 00:26:01,900 A non-poled plan contains both classic numbers and all the classic tiers as well as 261 00:26:01,900 --> 00:26:02,700 pepperminted. 262 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:11,780 What we do in this projection, you can see the normal cost rate is decreasing over the 263 00:26:11,780 --> 00:26:20,800 five years and this is a reflection of the expectation that more members become peppermembers 264 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:27,680 over that time. And peppermembers have lower benefits and lower normal costs, so that's 265 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:41,760 why there's a decrease in the normal cost percent. There is a similar projection in the 266 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:48,740 its own report and each paper tier has its own report. So you won't see a change in the normal 267 00:26:48,740 --> 00:26:53,860 costs contribution rate in the finalier projection for those plans. 268 00:26:55,320 --> 00:27:11,740 Our UAL payment here is the finalier projection of what the UAL payments is based on the current 269 00:27:11,740 --> 00:27:17,060 The point that they think to remember, particularly that this year's report is that it doesn't 270 00:27:17,060 --> 00:27:31,460 reflect the 2021 investment gain of 21.2%, so that's a very significant no gain which 271 00:27:31,460 --> 00:27:39,880 the plan is going to experience. Now the, as a result of that, we did have a risk mitigation 272 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:46,000 event, which meant that since we earned more than the more than the 7% target and significantly 273 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:55,660 more than the 7% target, it's kicked down our discount rate from 7% to 6.8% currently. 274 00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:04,640 So, that drop in the discount rate is going to be an impact for the next next year's valuation. 275 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:20,860 The clock of that, and I'll talk about a little bit more detail, we're going through the whole ALM process, which I'm sure everybody is very focused on whether the board is going to be looking at the overall asset allocation for the whole fund. 276 00:28:20,860 --> 00:28:27,860 and they end up with the different discount rate in the 6.8%. 277 00:28:31,470 --> 00:28:36,730 At the bottom of the page, we have an estimate of what the percentage of payroll is, 278 00:28:36,730 --> 00:28:43,750 because I know what agencies or the rest put this thing as a lot of agencies budget based on a projection 279 00:28:43,750 --> 00:28:49,450 of the percentage of payroll based rather than based on fixed all the numbers. 280 00:28:49,450 --> 00:29:05,350 We put in the percentage of, we put in our estimate of what the projected peril is and this is based on no information from no June 30, 2020, which is arguably a little bit old. 281 00:29:06,570 --> 00:29:19,430 So you are much more able to come up with a more accurate payroll or your current peril and probably a projection that we are. 282 00:29:19,430 --> 00:29:31,710 So you can replace those payroll numbers there and then do a divide the UAL into the payroll and then add the normal cost per cent in order for you to 283 00:29:31,710 --> 00:29:41,050 misshop and there's total percentage of payroll numbers, but we provide this as a starting point for you. 284 00:29:41,050 --> 00:29:47,910 And Julian, there are some questions coming in and one is about the pension outlook tool. 285 00:29:47,990 --> 00:29:53,130 And I know that is also very useful for doing projections as well. 286 00:29:53,390 --> 00:29:59,570 And I think the question was, do you know when that will be updated with the 2020 valuation? 287 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:08,800 Yes, a very great question. I'm going to be talking about the pension outlook tool later on, but I believe it's actually this week. 288 00:30:09,820 --> 00:30:22,400 So, very good. By the end of the week or by the beginning of next week, I mean, it should be updated because no, it's a very useful tool. We know many agencies are using it for 289 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:32,380 for packaging purposes for more calculating UAL and other other impacts. So we're happy to be 290 00:30:32,380 --> 00:30:37,520 now submitted. It's going to be available. No, I spoke to my colleague, Kerry Walgain, 291 00:30:37,660 --> 00:30:44,700 who's very instrumental in the whole inch now look tool and the talking that it's going to 292 00:30:44,700 --> 00:30:59,980 available as of October. So let's see if you guys have access to it and it has a new new features 293 00:30:59,980 --> 00:31:04,600 which allow a little bit more flexibility and to introduce this for projections. 294 00:31:15,820 --> 00:31:16,440 With 295 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:23,740 additional discretionary payments. This page was added, I think, last year or fairly recently, 296 00:31:24,700 --> 00:31:31,500 just giving agencies some basic information about what the required contribution is, 297 00:31:31,620 --> 00:31:38,760 the required employer contribution, and then the potential of making an additional contribution 298 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:44,920 with different funding targets. What these funding targets mean is if I want to pay off 299 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:53,820 My total unfunded UAL, for example, over 15 years is going to be this first line in the, I mean, the table. 300 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,440 Obviously, you have to make your normal cost and minimum UAL payment. 301 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:10,720 But if you made an additional payment, additional discretionary payment, ADP of $1 million in this example, 302 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:20,240 It will achieve a payoff of all of the unfunded approved liability over a 15-year period. 303 00:32:21,060 --> 00:32:26,320 And similarly for the other target, unfunded target numbers here. 304 00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:32,520 Again, no five years is very aggressive, and you can see it's a significant additional contribution, 305 00:32:32,980 --> 00:32:39,880 but just to give agencies a ballpark of if they want to pay off their liabilities, 306 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:41,480 these more rapidly, 307 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:49,420 these are some sample numbers, which are, we put out, they're just 308 00:32:49,420 --> 00:32:51,020 sort of analysis purposes, 309 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:59,600 all right, looks like we've reached a polling question number 310 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:00,300 two. 311 00:33:00,740 --> 00:33:07,800 So, we'll give everybody a chance to answer, but it says, has your strategy for ADP changed 312 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:15,960 do the COVID. So option one is no, we never had a strategy. No, we are still on course, 313 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:23,540 consistent to pre-COVID. And yes, please submit how in the question tab. So you are 314 00:33:23,540 --> 00:33:32,640 allowed to add a little narrative as well. I will say that I'm sure many cities have had to 315 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:41,380 rethink their forecast due to COVID and I know for us we did have a strategy not so much for the 316 00:33:41,380 --> 00:33:48,380 ADPs but we were trying to address OPEV as well and we had to shift during COVID because we weren't 317 00:33:48,380 --> 00:33:56,780 sure not only how much the revenues were going to be impacted by COVID but how long this was going to 318 00:33:56,780 --> 00:34:04,160 continue. So it will be interesting to see feedback from this poll and see what the responder say. 319 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:12,440 Have you had any experiences Julian with the city's providing feedback because as a result of COVID 320 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:17,340 in the strain it may have had on their current strategies for ADPs? 321 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:26,620 Yeah, some cities have indicated they wanted to regularly make additional contributions 322 00:34:26,620 --> 00:34:37,740 But, as you mentioned, because of the financial stress on their budgets from different areas, 323 00:34:38,100 --> 00:34:42,660 they've had to head back on potential additional payments. 324 00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:54,620 Other agencies have somehow added additional funds available and have accelerated some of their ADP payments. 325 00:34:54,620 --> 00:34:59,860 So that across the board has been some different experience. 326 00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:15,380 So the results for the group is, no, we are still on course consistent with pre-COVID, that was 61%. So that's really good news. 327 00:35:15,380 --> 00:35:19,300 And we lost the rest of the results. 328 00:35:20,340 --> 00:35:21,520 There we go. 329 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,220 Thanks for working on it. 330 00:35:25,540 --> 00:35:26,400 Yeah, it's coming. 331 00:35:26,940 --> 00:35:29,280 And then no, we never had a strategy, 332 00:35:29,620 --> 00:35:31,620 so maybe after today's presentation, 333 00:35:32,500 --> 00:35:37,420 this is something that the people who are attending may want to discuss 334 00:35:37,420 --> 00:35:41,160 with management to create a strategy, 335 00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,220 but there's 33% that said no, 336 00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:44,500 they never had a strategy. 337 00:35:44,500 --> 00:35:53,900 And then six percent said yes, and they have various, probably various ways of how they changed their strategy. 338 00:35:54,820 --> 00:35:56,540 Okay, all right. 339 00:35:56,540 --> 00:35:58,560 That's a very interesting results. 340 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:00,340 That was. 341 00:36:00,980 --> 00:36:03,160 So this count, right, change. 342 00:36:04,220 --> 00:36:07,940 We did, so the valuation that we just completed the June 30, 343 00:36:13,180 --> 00:36:13,180 2020, 344 00:36:13,180 --> 00:36:21,940 have, as I mentioned before, a risk mitigation policy event was triggered this year and those 345 00:36:21,940 --> 00:36:33,140 get triggered by earning more than the 7% discount rate, which was kind of the target for 346 00:36:33,140 --> 00:36:40,340 the year. And since there's various triggers above the 7% if it's we get 2% above that 347 00:36:40,340 --> 00:36:48,680 we significantly exceeded it, so that meant that our discount rate was reduced at least 348 00:36:48,680 --> 00:37:01,540 from 7% to 6.8% and in general the effect of a lower discount rate is an increase in the 349 00:37:01,540 --> 00:37:09,680 crude liabilities and in the normal costs. So the notion behind the risk mitigation event and 350 00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:17,520 change in the discount rate, is that now after having a very good investment year, we – that's 351 00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:24,700 a feeling that there should be some risk taken off the table in some of the investments that 352 00:37:24,700 --> 00:37:33,940 so that reduces the expectation, the long-term return asset expectation, and the share in the 353 00:37:33,940 --> 00:37:51,360 is shared between the system and the employers that's why the lives may be high, but the assets are also going to be higher, and then there's a little bit of an increase potentially in normal costs. 354 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:59,720 And I will say that we had to explain this concept to some of our members, especially those 355 00:37:59,720 --> 00:38:05,140 from the different unions and bargaining units, because they were very elated when the 356 00:38:05,140 --> 00:38:11,060 results of last year's interest rate return last fiscal year were announced and they thought, 357 00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:18,080 yes, so that means it's going to be smooth sailing. And we just kind of had to let them know that 358 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:21,580 with the implementation of the policy, there is an offset. 359 00:38:21,740 --> 00:38:26,500 But it is much better situation now than years ago, 360 00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:30,040 when we lower down to the 7% discount rate. 361 00:38:30,060 --> 00:38:34,020 That was a significant hit to the city's budget. 362 00:38:34,100 --> 00:38:35,920 But this is nicer. 363 00:38:36,220 --> 00:38:37,740 This is an easier transition. 364 00:38:38,780 --> 00:38:41,160 And I agree that discount rate probably 365 00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:44,040 needs to be realigned to where it's more realistic. 366 00:38:44,820 --> 00:38:46,940 So I think this is great change. 367 00:38:51,000 --> 00:39:01,440 So a few comments about our asset liability management were in the middle of this process at the moment. 368 00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:16,760 It's conducted every four years. There's a deep analysis about the set allocation of the funders and what the potential earnings are for each class of assets. 369 00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:25,540 and the risks associated with that and then I hope folks who are on this call are 370 00:39:25,540 --> 00:39:37,380 tuning into the monthly regular board meetings that CalPERS has the meeting a few weeks ago 371 00:39:37,380 --> 00:39:42,680 September meeting and you can go on to the CalPERS website and listen to the presentation 372 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:50,820 to the investment committee about the some some of the preliminary presentations of what 373 00:39:50,820 --> 00:39:59,600 the potential candidate portfolios look like and the expected discount rates which are 374 00:39:59,600 --> 00:39:59,980 Thank you. 375 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:19,000 Associated with them, we're going to need enough further discussion at the November board meeting and we encourage all of the folks on this quarter, number one, tuning in and also participate in this opportunity for public comment. 376 00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:31,120 or I'm at all of all of these meetings, so, and I think it's like that this an event of meeting will also be a virtual meeting as well. 377 00:40:31,460 --> 00:40:44,180 So to be able to have a phone in and have your three minutes of opportunity to share your thoughts with the board and your concerns and the very responsive to that. 378 00:40:44,180 --> 00:40:53,260 And it's a valuable way of being able to express your views to the management of the system. 379 00:40:55,820 --> 00:41:03,560 So there's been no webinar's also associated with the asset-level management review. 380 00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:09,920 there also hosted on the kelpers web site and if you go to the kelpers web site and 381 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:14,460 the search for as a liability management AOLM, you should be able to 382 00:41:14,460 --> 00:41:24,320 find pretty quickly some of the earlier webinars, which are being presented on this topic. 383 00:41:24,420 --> 00:41:28,420 I think there's another one scheduled for the month of October. 384 00:41:28,420 --> 00:41:34,680 So please check out the Kelps website for more information about that. 385 00:41:35,260 --> 00:41:40,920 So besides the review of the assets side of the portfolio and some of the information you can see here, 386 00:41:40,980 --> 00:41:49,600 see on the screen in front of you, we also do a review of the demographic assumptions in our experience study. 387 00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:58,440 So we look at some, for example, the our expected mortality rates and the actual mortality rate experience. 388 00:41:59,340 --> 00:42:09,840 Now what one point to mention that the dates that we used for this review only goes through June 30, 2019. 389 00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:16,020 So it doesn't reflect any of the impact of COVID on the mortality experience. 390 00:42:16,020 --> 00:42:27,220 in some significant impact, because of COVID, the big question from an actual standpoint is, 391 00:42:28,780 --> 00:42:35,440 is this just a temporarily temporary impact on mortality rates or is there believe that there 392 00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:45,020 could be potentially longer-term impacts on the mortality rates. And of course, the jury is still out 393 00:42:45,020 --> 00:42:52,960 with respect to that and we're kind of in the middle of this whole event anyway so it's a 394 00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:58,940 private charter where anybody to reach any conclusions at this point however the different people 395 00:42:58,940 --> 00:43:03,740 have different views and have started potentially impacts on liability is going forward. 396 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:14,640 This was a recent change in 2000 to 19. We introduced a new 397 00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:27,800 and metysation policy, which effectively limits the period of MSATs into 20 years, which is 398 00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:36,680 shorter than now, 30-year period, which means the MSATs contains losses, is done more rapidly. 399 00:43:39,340 --> 00:43:46,420 Okay, are there any alternative unfunded or crude libel to more amortization schedules? 400 00:43:47,620 --> 00:43:56,080 So I'm sure everybody is familiar with this site here with our very imposing schedule 401 00:43:56,080 --> 00:44:09,320 of amortization bases, no brainactory and for finance people, numbers is a very exciting 402 00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:14,840 of art in my mind, but other people have different views on that. 403 00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:26,340 So the amitization schedule, basically, show how the unfunded afford liability has emerged 404 00:44:27,300 --> 00:44:39,140 over the, almost two decades, if you can see at the bottom of the screen, it's a $19.5 million 405 00:44:39,140 --> 00:44:44,740 that was found at a food liability as of evaluation date and you can see all the component 406 00:44:44,740 --> 00:44:51,360 pieces over the years. 407 00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:59,980 So essentially what ADP does is you're selecting an amount and it goes to... 408 00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:10,180 What's paying down, sound or all of the basis that we see? There were a number of agencies over 409 00:45:10,180 --> 00:45:16,960 the past year that did a pension obligation bond and a pay off significant amounts of their 410 00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:25,740 unsundered accrued liability. And there were many other agencies which were made around a plan to make 411 00:45:25,740 --> 00:45:33,820 significant contributions each year paying off various, the basis, the components of this 412 00:45:33,820 --> 00:45:42,980 unfunded recruit liability. One other option which we have in the emergencies, some have adopted 413 00:45:42,980 --> 00:45:53,160 is what we call a fresh start. So they take their complex series, a table of amortization basis 414 00:45:53,160 --> 00:46:02,160 And say, hey, what happens if we want to pay that off in an orderly manner over 15 years, or 10 years, or a fixed period of time? 415 00:46:03,380 --> 00:46:14,420 So there's a schedule in each of the reports, which in the straightive purposes shows what would happen if it gets paid off over 15 years, or 10 years. 416 00:46:15,540 --> 00:46:18,840 the Bammet Session period may be different in different reports. 417 00:46:20,060 --> 00:46:23,760 Of course, we're not going to let you choose an Mammet Session period, 418 00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:29,600 which is going to generate a lower UAL payment than the required payment. 419 00:46:30,060 --> 00:46:34,980 So it has to generate a more rapid payoff, which means you're going to get 420 00:46:34,980 --> 00:46:35,960 to generate savings. 421 00:46:36,460 --> 00:46:40,900 So if you see at the bottom of this page here in the estimate savings, 422 00:46:40,900 --> 00:46:54,320 If an agency went to a 15-year amortization, they would end up saving the 15 and a $15 and a half million dollars over the whole lifetime of the amortization. 423 00:46:55,320 --> 00:47:07,980 So it's also some agencies that see the significant savings that can be achieved in making additional contributions or electing a fresh start. 424 00:47:07,980 --> 00:47:15,060 as you can see in these schedules here. One point to remember is that if you an agency does choose 425 00:47:15,060 --> 00:47:24,180 to make a fresh start, you can't unpop the balloon service speaker, so it's an irrevocable 426 00:47:24,180 --> 00:47:32,720 decision to make a fresh start decision collection. What some agencies do is instead of making 427 00:47:32,720 --> 00:47:44,300 the election may make an ADP, as if they had made that election, so it has an impact on 428 00:47:45,460 --> 00:47:50,660 the savings, but it maintains the flexibility in the future. If the funds are not there 429 00:47:50,660 --> 00:47:59,680 for the commitment, for a 15-year commitment, to nearly do it on an out-hot basis, and mirroring 430 00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:05,580 the payment would have been had and the election didn't make. But all these kind of discussions, 431 00:48:05,980 --> 00:48:13,720 no, please contact your actuary and your actuary's name is in each of the reports. So to have 432 00:48:13,720 --> 00:48:15,980 no discussions about this kind of thing. 433 00:48:18,740 --> 00:48:23,500 How much savings for ADP is generated? What we do have a tool 434 00:48:23,500 --> 00:48:32,460 managing employer contribution tools, which, at quest, we put early, a customized spreadsheet 435 00:48:32,460 --> 00:48:40,660 together for each plan that you have, and you can run different ADP scenarios with 436 00:48:40,660 --> 00:48:48,060 that spreadsheet. You can also do some of the analysis with the pension outlook tool as 437 00:48:48,060 --> 00:48:54,500 And there's a mention of Contecua Actory if you're interested in this tool. 438 00:48:56,860 --> 00:49:02,460 So here's just a couple of screenshots from that tool. 439 00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:10,180 I know there's a lot of numbers on here, but to know around this area here in the middle you can 440 00:49:10,180 --> 00:49:19,900 choose the amount of the ADP. You can choose the date on which you want to make the ADP. And 441 00:49:19,900 --> 00:49:28,340 you can also select, which of the basis you want to pay off when you make that selection. 442 00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:36,580 A lot of agencies choose to pay off the longest basis first because that helps achieve the most 443 00:49:36,580 --> 00:49:44,080 in just savings when you pay off a bass with the 25 years of outstanding 444 00:49:46,220 --> 00:49:51,620 less and too, till it's fully paid off rather than the shorter space, but there's 445 00:49:51,620 --> 00:49:56,920 this different options and we encourage you to take advantage of that. 446 00:49:57,120 --> 00:49:59,880 So here is also a number. 447 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:11,980 The tab on this tool where you can make a projection of what happened in the base of the 21.3% investment earnings and what 448 00:50:11,980 --> 00:50:21,900 no future earnings are likely to be. And you see what the impact on your unfunded credibility is for those changes. 449 00:50:21,900 --> 00:50:31,260 So it's quite a powerful tool, and it allows you to do some modeling and projections and things along those lines. 450 00:50:32,460 --> 00:50:45,160 So Julian, if you're an agency and we have a large sum of money, it's one time, it comes into the agency and the decision is, let's do an advanced payment or a direct payment to CalPERS. 451 00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:58,160 And we can use the tool to help us, but is it actually very also available to help us decide which basis would be best for our agency to make a direct payment to? 452 00:50:59,580 --> 00:51:00,000 Yes. 453 00:51:00,720 --> 00:51:09,180 You should definitely have a discussion with your actual about that because in the event that you do want to make a payment. 454 00:51:09,180 --> 00:51:16,060 that actually has to request the paperwork to be put together for you to complete at the time that 455 00:51:16,060 --> 00:51:24,360 you send in the additional payment, but then there's a discussion on the pros and cons of 456 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:32,640 which, which, which basis, which basis, I'm laughing, you know, pay off yes, so we're here to help you 457 00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:36,680 with all of that kind of decision making in analysis. 458 00:51:40,240 --> 00:51:40,260 Okay, 459 00:51:42,510 --> 00:51:44,150 where are the pepper members? 460 00:51:44,650 --> 00:51:52,990 We get asked. So for a non-pull plan, all of the members in the plan, whatever tier, 461 00:51:53,150 --> 00:52:00,250 whether it's a classic tier 1, classic tier 2 and pepper, they're all included in the same report. 462 00:52:00,250 --> 00:52:07,370 And non-planned requires the same employer rate for all members in the plan. 463 00:52:08,810 --> 00:52:13,270 That's the employer makes a contribution for all members of the plan. 464 00:52:13,750 --> 00:52:21,670 So what essentially happens is it turns out to be a blended rate for all the different tiers from the employer side. 465 00:52:22,730 --> 00:52:26,850 Now, for the employee contribution, that's completely different. 466 00:52:26,850 --> 00:52:33,890 You know, the classic members rates are set by statute and the paper rates are also, 467 00:52:34,790 --> 00:52:41,810 I mean, members are required to pay 50% of the normal cost. 468 00:52:42,070 --> 00:52:55,450 And there's a page in the non-pull report, which note directly shows what the pepper calculation is. 469 00:52:55,450 --> 00:53:02,790 and the pepper contribution rate for members can change from time to time. 470 00:53:03,410 --> 00:53:15,810 And the basic principle is if there's a change of 1% or more since the previous change in the pepper rate, 471 00:53:16,430 --> 00:53:19,170 then the member rate will be adjusted. 472 00:53:19,170 --> 00:53:27,470 If the difference is less than 1% in the pepura and employee contribution rate remains the same. 473 00:53:29,290 --> 00:53:37,650 So, for this particular plan, in front of you, you can see that the change in the rate from the basis was 12.59. 474 00:53:38,230 --> 00:53:43,930 The total normal cost rate was 13.16 for the pepura members benefits. 475 00:53:43,930 --> 00:53:52,070 again, it's a new looking at the normal cost for peppermint events. Of course, and then 476 00:53:52,070 --> 00:53:58,670 so since the difference here is less than 1%, there was no change needed for peppermint 477 00:53:58,670 --> 00:54:08,090 events for the upcoming fiscal year. But please keep in mind that with changes of assumptions, 478 00:54:08,090 --> 00:54:17,990 as I mentioned, the drop from 7 to 6.8% and wherever the board may end up, potentially 479 00:54:17,990 --> 00:54:24,890 called lead to a change in the paper contribution rate for different members. 480 00:54:27,610 --> 00:54:35,290 We show in non-pool plans the normal cost rate for the different, for the different tiers. 481 00:54:35,290 --> 00:54:42,790 So you can see this plan is plan has two classic level benefits and a pepper level, which 482 00:54:42,790 --> 00:54:50,830 should the normal cost for each of the levels and the number of active members have at 483 00:54:50,830 --> 00:54:56,470 the particular plans. We have been seeing a lot of plans, of course, where the 484 00:54:56,470 --> 00:54:59,150 Pepper, membership is no. 485 00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:29,780 Increasing, it's kind of rare to see, you know, any significant increases in classic tiers, essentially, there are those are, those are closed, and there's a transfer from what, from one kelp is planned for another kelp is planned. So we, we, we wanted to those changes and overall that leads to a, a decreasing normal cost for, for 486 00:55:49,830 --> 00:56:02,250 We have some other additional information in the reports, which show the sensitivity to changes in the assumptions, what's interesting to you. 487 00:56:02,250 --> 00:56:11,090 Here on this one, the rate of return sensitivity of the discount rate gets moved from 7% down to 6% 488 00:56:11,090 --> 00:56:21,250 You can see that there's a significant increase in the crude liabilities as well as a significant increase in the normal cost rate. 489 00:56:21,250 --> 00:56:34,590 Similarly, if there was an increase in the normal cost rate, we would see a decrease in both a good liability and the normal cost rate. 490 00:56:35,010 --> 00:56:44,950 We also show in the next slide what a change in the inflation rate would have on the liabilities. 491 00:56:44,950 --> 00:56:54,050 And then find when you also show what the normal cost and what the the impact of a change of the mortality rates, 492 00:56:54,070 --> 00:57:02,930 because that's a significant assumption how long retirees are expected to earn their benefits. 493 00:57:03,670 --> 00:57:09,490 We have a slide in here, which summarizes some of the impact on these liabilities. 494 00:57:09,490 --> 00:57:15,630 I mean, up to 11 o'clock, so I have to let our needs to start our part of the presentation 495 00:57:16,490 --> 00:57:20,130 as a couple of more slides to cover before I hand over the controls. 496 00:57:20,770 --> 00:57:26,470 On these, we have a slide in here, which discusses the hypothetical termination liabilities 497 00:57:26,470 --> 00:57:34,710 in the plan. No, most of the plans, I'm sure all of the folks on the call here have ongoing plans, 498 00:57:35,150 --> 00:57:38,450 but we do have on occasion plans which terminate. 499 00:57:38,450 --> 00:57:43,510 and the underlying assumptions for terminating plan 500 00:57:43,510 --> 00:57:47,570 or significantly different, much, much lower discount rates 501 00:57:47,570 --> 00:57:53,270 and that reflects the very conservative investment strategy 502 00:57:53,270 --> 00:57:58,170 that assets for terminated plans are, 503 00:57:58,710 --> 00:58:02,650 because we essentially use government bonds 504 00:58:02,650 --> 00:58:05,950 for the terminated poll assets. 505 00:58:10,470 --> 00:58:20,050 polling question number three. Now this is one where everybody needs their crystal ball. It says I think the pandemic will last until. 506 00:58:21,370 --> 00:58:31,930 So, in the end of 2021, which is this year, early 2022, late 2022 and after 2022, so we'll 507 00:58:31,930 --> 00:58:36,230 give some time for attendees to select their option. 508 00:58:37,070 --> 00:58:39,790 And I just have a question for you, Julian. 509 00:58:40,750 --> 00:58:45,870 And, you know, of course, it's hard to tell how long the impact of this pandemic is going 510 00:58:45,870 --> 00:58:47,090 to go on for. 511 00:58:47,090 --> 00:58:59,510 But what are your thoughts on when our numbers that are being produced for CalPERS are going to start reflecting different mortality rates as a result of this pandemic? 512 00:59:00,630 --> 00:59:04,770 Will it take a couple of years or how long will it be, you think? 513 00:59:07,050 --> 00:59:31,870 Well, this is two issues. So number one is no black thing. The number of people that have actually passed away from COVID and the impact that has on the pension plans. That's one thing. And then this is the second impact is the longer term impact on mortality rates in general. 514 00:59:32,730 --> 00:59:44,190 So, regarding the first issue, the, you know, when we do our valuations as of next year from 2021. 515 00:59:45,970 --> 00:59:47,570 Sorry about the background noise. 516 00:59:51,240 --> 00:59:59,960 The valuations will reflect, you know, any deaths through June 30, 2021 reflected in. 517 01:00:00,680 --> 01:00:10,780 The next graduation. So we've got to see some gains and losses in marriage with respect to that. Again, the following year's 518 01:00:10,780 --> 01:00:17,040 valuation will never reflect even more than that data as well. 519 01:00:17,660 --> 01:00:29,120 I'm with respect to a lot of the longer term. Okay. Let's see what the group says late 2022, which I think 520 01:00:29,120 --> 01:00:30,660 is actually optimistic. 521 01:00:32,220 --> 01:00:37,140 The others, let's see, 2% says the end of this year, 522 01:00:37,820 --> 01:00:42,500 19% says early next year, and then after 2022, 523 01:00:42,620 --> 01:00:46,960 which is probably where my vote would be 35%. 524 01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,460 So kind of mixed across the board, 525 01:00:50,620 --> 01:00:54,000 but a lot of people are hopeful by the end of next year, 526 01:00:54,380 --> 01:00:56,480 this will kind of be over. 527 01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:57,840 So we hope so. 528 01:00:59,400 --> 01:01:02,840 We certainly need to thank you. 529 01:01:04,740 --> 01:01:07,840 So here, this was your question about the impact on the actual valuation. 530 01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:14,560 So, I wish you this year or how they had anything but the valuation ending June 30, 2021, 531 01:01:15,120 --> 01:01:22,860 will have a significant information on the COVID impact. 532 01:01:23,680 --> 01:01:29,140 There's other information in the reports, which you can see there on the slide. 533 01:01:30,040 --> 01:01:36,360 We talked about pension outlook before and I mentioned that the new tool is going to be available 534 01:01:37,080 --> 01:01:41,600 in the beginning of October tomorrow or the next week. 535 01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:43,580 So we can do a question. 536 01:01:44,580 --> 01:01:48,440 Our next polling question, which is a good one, 537 01:01:48,440 --> 01:01:52,460 Are you using the pension outlook tool? 538 01:01:52,940 --> 01:01:54,900 The option is yes, not yet. 539 01:01:55,140 --> 01:01:59,620 I will once it's available for pool plans or no. 540 01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:05,960 And I do know that the pension tool is very helpful and useful. 541 01:02:07,140 --> 01:02:15,040 And I encourage everyone to go out to the site and just play around with it. 542 01:02:15,260 --> 01:02:15,920 That's the whole plan. 543 01:02:15,920 --> 01:02:21,180 actually we should have updated this slide because it is available for pool plans 544 01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:29,340 awesome and has been for quite a while so hopefully all of our participants are aware of that 545 01:02:29,920 --> 01:02:39,000 and again it's a very pretty user-friendly tool to use you get access to it from the regular 546 01:02:39,000 --> 01:02:50,280 help us wet website. Anybody can sign up to get access to it. Okay, so 23% or using it. 547 01:02:52,500 --> 01:02:53,940 Hopefully, we'll. 548 01:02:54,380 --> 01:03:01,780 So 41% then I think the information you just shared will be very helpful to the 41% 549 01:03:01,780 --> 01:03:08,120 for those that are part of the pool plan. Just know that the tool is available for you now. And hopefully 550 01:03:08,120 --> 01:03:13,640 for those that say know that they'll at least venture out to the website and take a look at the 551 01:03:13,640 --> 01:03:21,000 tool. I know I had to use it during the first time we you CalPERS lowered the discount rate 552 01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:27,460 and there was a template that went around but then this tool was created and it's been really helpful 553 01:03:28,500 --> 01:03:35,840 when you want to play around with you know the different scenarios so please go out and check that out. 554 01:03:37,180 --> 01:03:45,460 good, and in the last thing, or well, for couples or wrapping up things, not the actually that's 555 01:03:45,460 --> 01:03:50,180 put together your report and signed it, it's right there in the report, so you can 556 01:03:50,180 --> 01:03:56,740 ways reach out to that actually, or, you know, that's a preferred method, 557 01:03:57,060 --> 01:04:02,920 you call the support center, you'll eventually get connected with your actually, but that may take 558 01:04:02,920 --> 01:04:12,260 a little bit longer, just want to throw it in. One word about the Calpis educational forum, 559 01:04:12,500 --> 01:04:18,480 which is online. This year is coming up in October. So please check it out website, whether 560 01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:24,760 it's for you or other folks in your agency. There's a lot of stuff about Calpis and 561 01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:44,580 aspects of benefits and administration and things along those lines, so you or many members of your staff may be interested in looking at or joining the educational forum later on in the October. 562 01:04:45,940 --> 01:04:51,620 But the key takeaways are a no contribution rates for next year. 563 01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:54,560 We took out the fund status of your contributions. 564 01:04:55,220 --> 01:04:59,960 Some issues about handling your unsundant criminal abilities in the impact of 20. 565 01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:10,980 May 2021 for you to invest in returns and use the recommendation to the virtual education forum and all. 566 01:05:11,380 --> 01:05:14,880 And everything else is my grandend on experience. 567 01:05:16,810 --> 01:05:23,030 Thank you so much, Julian. I learned a lot myself from the presentation. 568 01:05:23,030 --> 01:05:31,510 And so I appreciate that and to remind her for me too to go back out to look at the tool once it's been updated. 569 01:05:32,890 --> 01:05:33,970 Let's see here. 570 01:05:34,430 --> 01:05:35,430 Do I have? 571 01:05:36,210 --> 01:05:37,410 Yes, I am. 572 01:05:39,460 --> 01:05:40,240 I'm in control. 573 01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:41,480 Here we go. 574 01:05:41,940 --> 01:05:51,020 So how do we communicate information about CalPERS to city council and members of the public? 575 01:05:51,020 --> 01:05:59,580 So, in this slide here, we have our CalPERS annual valuation and this is actually from Page Six. 576 01:05:59,600 --> 01:06:05,220 This is the slide that Julian showed previously the table there as a five-year projection. 577 01:06:06,140 --> 01:06:12,880 And so, we do use, oops, let's see. We went forward to the polling. 578 01:06:15,060 --> 01:06:15,600 There we go. 579 01:06:15,600 --> 01:06:23,620 We do use this table, but I also do a 10 year forecast for city council and the members of the public. 580 01:06:24,080 --> 01:06:34,720 So we take it a step further, and we actually send our data and our report over to Bartel, which is also an agency we use for actually services. 581 01:06:35,640 --> 01:06:38,380 And so Bartel gives us a 10 year projection. 582 01:06:38,380 --> 01:06:51,400 And you can see there in the graph there that number one, some of the assumptions that Bartell factors into our numbers is the investment returns for the previous year. 583 01:06:51,640 --> 01:07:03,680 So fiscal year 2020, the 4.7% return is factored in the 21% return 21.2% return is factored in to this forecast as well. 584 01:07:03,680 --> 01:07:05,780 And that was from fiscal year 21. 585 01:07:07,040 --> 01:07:10,180 And so we also have employee cost sharing. 586 01:07:10,660 --> 01:07:13,720 And as Julian indicated, that's not built into these numbers. 587 01:07:13,940 --> 01:07:15,580 So they factor that in. 588 01:07:15,580 --> 01:07:20,300 And as Julian indicated, the projected payroll figures may need to be updated. 589 01:07:20,720 --> 01:07:22,560 Because we know our payroll figures best. 590 01:07:22,700 --> 01:07:24,700 So all that information is factored in. 591 01:07:24,880 --> 01:07:27,680 And we get this 10 year forecast that we can use. 592 01:07:27,780 --> 01:07:30,000 What you have here is the miscellaneous group. 593 01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:42,540 The green line is the normal cost, the red line is our unfundant liability payment, so the blue is represented of the total annual amount that we could expect to pay over the next 10 years. 594 01:07:43,180 --> 01:07:51,000 However, because we do have cost sharing agreements for both miscellaneous and safety group, the purple line represents the cost sharing. 595 01:07:51,000 --> 01:08:05,540 So when we combine that, we get a net employer cost, which is the gray line, so that's really the information we're communicating to council. It also shows the savings that we're realizing as a result of the employee cost share agreement. 596 01:08:06,000 --> 01:08:10,520 But as you can see even for the miscellaneous group, the safety is even higher. 597 01:08:10,880 --> 01:08:17,360 This is a significant contribution amount each year, so it becomes a major part of our budget. 598 01:08:17,360 --> 01:08:23,060 And when we're forecasting out 10 years, we definitely want to factor that in and it helps us make decisions. 599 01:08:23,880 --> 01:08:30,060 And in fact, we have done tax measures as a result of looking at our forecast 10 years out. 600 01:08:30,380 --> 01:08:37,720 Just to make sure that we have enough revenue for the next 10 years, we had a tax measure that was going to sunset in fiscal year 23. 601 01:08:37,960 --> 01:08:44,440 We went back to the community and explained why we needed to continue it for another 10 years. 602 01:08:44,440 --> 01:08:53,240 And so this is really helpful, and so I encourage you to look at the five-year forecast and really get familiar with the information. 603 01:08:55,080 --> 01:09:13,000 Next slide, do you use the five-year employer contribution projection for budgeting? So yes, yes, but we updated, you may update it for payroll calculations for cost sharing agreements, things of that nature, or no, you don't look at it. 604 01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:15,140 let's see what the results are. 605 01:09:19,220 --> 01:09:21,980 And we'll give people time to answer. 606 01:09:25,080 --> 01:09:27,400 And I will, I will go ahead, Julian. 607 01:09:28,020 --> 01:09:31,600 In I was gonna say that, I think you can also use 608 01:09:31,600 --> 01:09:34,380 the pension outlook tool to, yes. 609 01:09:34,660 --> 01:09:36,200 In the rate of five or 10 year, 610 01:09:36,340 --> 01:09:38,780 maybe even longer projection as well. 611 01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:40,880 Absolutely. 612 01:09:43,040 --> 01:09:47,680 It's definitely useful to try to get all your resources 613 01:09:47,680 --> 01:09:55,960 that you have because, you know, the information and let's see what results are, 40% say yes, 614 01:09:56,380 --> 01:09:59,960 42% say yes and they update it and make sure. 615 01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:08,140 And then 18% said no. So we need to get the 18% on board with this. It's very helpful. 616 01:10:09,740 --> 01:10:23,560 All right. Next slide. And why is doing the 10 year forecast helpful? Well, one of the reasons, as you see here, this is a report from the CalPERS annual evaluation report. 617 01:10:23,560 --> 01:10:28,020 And it shows the history of the investment returns. 618 01:10:28,800 --> 01:10:32,160 And so, you know, as those investment returns vary, 619 01:10:32,820 --> 01:10:35,820 it impacts what your contribution costs are. 620 01:10:36,040 --> 01:10:38,280 And so this is just one small example. 621 01:10:38,360 --> 01:10:42,840 So we received a report from Bartel back in April 2019 622 01:10:42,840 --> 01:10:44,320 with our projections. 623 01:10:44,900 --> 01:10:49,660 And you can see with the blue line that the contribution costs 624 01:10:49,660 --> 01:10:52,340 were pretty significant and they were increasing each year. 625 01:10:52,340 --> 01:11:05,820 And now with our updated report, that does factor in the investment returns of the 4.7% and the 21.2% from fiscal year 21, you see a significant difference. 626 01:11:06,620 --> 01:11:14,620 And so actually when you get out to fiscal year 27, 2627, the variance is about $2 million. 627 01:11:15,300 --> 01:11:17,860 So it's almost like we got a $2 million raise. 628 01:11:17,860 --> 01:11:27,160 Thank you CalPERS because the investment return really did make a shift in our forecasting. 629 01:11:28,180 --> 01:11:35,930 So it's just important. The only point here is take a look at it each year, do the projections each year. 630 01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:44,200 And just see where you are and communicate that information to the public to council, whoever would be interested in this information. 631 01:11:44,200 --> 01:11:53,180 But the investment returns from fiscal year 21 are definitely going to have a positive impact on our contributions cost going forward. 632 01:11:53,540 --> 01:11:58,900 And we hold that discontinues, but it's just something you have to monitor every year. 633 01:11:59,840 --> 01:12:00,720 Next slide. 634 01:12:01,780 --> 01:12:14,180 Now this is a discussion about the funded status and you discussed this Julian and showed us where to go and the report to find out what is the funded status of the agency. 635 01:12:14,180 --> 01:12:24,520 And I see that, you know, not only is this something of interest to council, but the bigger question is they do want to know, when are we going to get 100% funded? 636 01:12:25,060 --> 01:12:31,460 This is another report we received from Bartel. This is more of a stochastic report. So there's different. 637 01:12:31,460 --> 01:12:42,100 The most likely result is there the old green line there to we would be 100% funded around fiscal year 2039. 638 01:12:43,080 --> 01:12:50,500 That would be the most likely time that the agency this is for the miscellaneous group only would be fully funded. 639 01:12:50,500 --> 01:13:00,480 However, there is a 75% chance by this report that we would be fully funded at 100% in fiscal year 2029. 640 01:13:01,380 --> 01:13:09,060 And then there's also 25% chance that we would not be fully funded in the near future. 641 01:13:09,060 --> 01:13:19,040 24 or not, it would be sometime after 24, 9. Again, we just look at this annually, we want to make sure we're going in the right direction. 642 01:13:19,680 --> 01:13:23,900 We do communicate what our unfunded liability is to counsel. 643 01:13:24,460 --> 01:13:30,980 In fact, our unfunded liability is 280 million, and this was in the report just released from CalPERS. 644 01:13:31,760 --> 01:13:36,940 And so that's a material amount for our city, so it is something to monitor. 645 01:13:36,940 --> 01:13:40,380 and make sure we're just moving in the right direction. 646 01:13:40,520 --> 01:13:43,200 That number should be getting larger each year. 647 01:13:44,420 --> 01:13:46,900 And I do say, I did want to share, 648 01:13:47,000 --> 01:13:49,340 as a result of fiscal year 21, 649 01:13:50,160 --> 01:13:54,540 we do show that our projection is that we will be at 70, 650 01:13:54,780 --> 01:13:59,420 what is that 70, 177% in fiscal year 21. 651 01:13:59,740 --> 01:14:02,400 So that is up from the 68.3%. 652 01:14:02,400 --> 01:14:04,920 So that's good news, we're headed in the right direction. 653 01:14:04,920 --> 01:14:12,780 So you want to check that for your agency just to make sure that you're going to be seeing similar type results. 654 01:14:15,940 --> 01:14:15,960 Oops. 655 01:14:17,000 --> 01:14:18,440 Let's go back. 656 01:14:21,020 --> 01:14:22,400 I'm not going backwards. 657 01:14:25,300 --> 01:14:28,920 I may need some help from from Craig. 658 01:14:29,580 --> 01:14:30,260 There we go. 659 01:14:30,340 --> 01:14:31,760 Thank you. 660 01:14:32,460 --> 01:14:39,160 So this next slide is the work of art that Julian says that he sees when he sees this table. 661 01:14:40,220 --> 01:14:45,920 And I don't know if it's a work of art for us, but I will tell you why I like this table. 662 01:14:47,000 --> 01:14:55,220 As he discussed, depending on if you wanted to make a direct payment and you wanted to make it to your short bases or your long bases, 663 01:14:56,380 --> 01:14:59,240 you know, it would vary on how much money you would save. 664 01:15:00,900 --> 01:15:14,600 This is from our schedule. This is page 16. The lines that are highlighted in blue. If we took those and those are our short bases and we did a pre-payment. 665 01:15:15,200 --> 01:15:23,500 So, for the city of Culver City, we did set up a section 115 pension trust. In fiscal year 2019, we invested $10 million. 666 01:15:23,500 --> 01:15:31,040 And now is worth about 13.7 million projected to be around 14 million by the end of this year. 667 01:15:31,300 --> 01:15:34,080 Give her take, we'll see how the market does. 668 01:15:34,800 --> 01:15:38,660 But say we took that and we wanted to do a direct payment. 669 01:15:39,240 --> 01:15:42,760 And so we applied a portion to miscellaneous and a portion to safety. 670 01:15:43,180 --> 01:15:46,000 And as you can see here at the bottom of the slide, 671 01:15:46,360 --> 01:15:49,500 if we took 5.3 million towards miscellaneous, 672 01:15:50,520 --> 01:15:52,960 we would have a savings of 1.3 million. 673 01:15:52,960 --> 01:16:01,560 I will say if we took the rest of the money and applied it to the safety group, we would have a savings of 3.7 million. 674 01:16:02,180 --> 01:16:09,700 So it would be a total interest savings of about $5 million if we applied it to the short bases. 675 01:16:10,680 --> 01:16:19,940 Now if we in turn took the same amount of money but applied it to the long bases, which are the rows that are highlighted in kind of peach color. 676 01:16:19,940 --> 01:16:25,980 And we took the same amount of money, we would have a contribution savings for the miscellaneous 677 01:16:25,980 --> 01:16:33,960 group of 7.2 million, which is significantly more, and if we did the remainder of our balance 678 01:16:33,960 --> 01:16:40,660 and did a direct payment to the safety group, we would have a savings of 10.7 million. 679 01:16:40,660 --> 01:16:47,720 So we would have a total interest savings of about $17.9 million dollars. 680 01:16:48,460 --> 01:16:54,620 And so they're definitely advantages to making their direct payments if you have the funds available. 681 01:16:55,600 --> 01:17:02,620 Again, I, one-time money is also helpful to use those direct payments for one-time money. 682 01:17:03,160 --> 01:17:08,160 If it's not something that can be built into the budget on a regular basis. 683 01:17:08,160 --> 01:17:27,840 But definitely worth the savings there, and other option that we have looked at when communicating to council is taking the section 115 trust and pulling payments from it each year. 684 01:17:27,840 --> 01:17:37,600 And so, what you do is establish a target contribution amount, which on the graph on the left would be the orange line. 685 01:17:38,040 --> 01:17:42,740 And so, we've decided, okay, this is our target, our contribution budget. 686 01:17:42,840 --> 01:17:46,740 This is what we want to build into our budget. It's consistent. 687 01:17:47,440 --> 01:17:55,440 We can budget for it. We know the amount each year, so for the next, you know, seven years or so, we know how much we're going to pay. 688 01:17:55,440 --> 01:18:02,460 But when the actual contribution amount comes in, it is likely that it may come in higher than your target. 689 01:18:02,940 --> 01:18:09,000 And so in that scenario, what you can do is pull money from the section 115 trust to make up the difference. 690 01:18:09,780 --> 01:18:20,440 And so the graph on the right, the bar chart on the right shows pulling money from the section 115 trust, so the balance is going down each year. 691 01:18:20,440 --> 01:18:25,720 But Bartel did some analysis for us to see, you know, how much 692 01:18:26,400 --> 01:18:30,440 intersavings could we earn on this money over the years? 693 01:18:30,920 --> 01:18:34,740 And so again, we started out with an investment of 10 million, as I indicated, 694 01:18:35,880 --> 01:18:41,820 today it's worth about 13.7 million, if we used a 6% rate of return, 695 01:18:42,540 --> 01:18:47,060 which we think is, you know, doable over the next few years, 696 01:18:47,060 --> 01:18:52,200 We could potentially earn about 11.3 million dollars in interest. 697 01:18:52,840 --> 01:18:59,740 And so that is money that basically is helping us kind of lower our expenditures each year. 698 01:19:00,440 --> 01:19:11,400 So we would take money out the first year in this graph you see the funds would be withdrawn in fiscal year 2023. 699 01:19:12,320 --> 01:19:16,460 and it would continue through 2033, fiscal year 2033. 700 01:19:17,680 --> 01:19:20,220 And for the safety group, which is not here on this slide, 701 01:19:20,640 --> 01:19:23,140 we would continue to make payments to 2035. 702 01:19:23,620 --> 01:19:25,920 So over a 16 year period, 703 01:19:26,800 --> 01:19:29,580 we would be able to utilize these funds. 704 01:19:30,400 --> 01:19:34,460 So this is another idea that agencies consider as well. 705 01:19:35,060 --> 01:19:36,640 So with that, 706 01:19:37,480 --> 01:19:40,460 we are at discussion and Q&A. 707 01:19:41,080 --> 01:19:47,380 So, if there are any questions from the group that they would like to ask Julian or myself, 708 01:19:48,260 --> 01:19:49,760 you can send those through. 709 01:19:50,280 --> 01:19:54,740 There should be a panel there for questions and answers that you can submit. 710 01:19:57,640 --> 01:19:59,360 And we will read off your questions. 711 01:20:05,500 --> 01:20:22,560 I'm not seeing any questions come in, so obviously, I mean, we did get into some detail questions throughout the session, but I just, sorry, we went to a little too far. So just on a couple other issues though, obviously, if anybody in the audience has questions, oh, sorry. I think Julie and someone might have control here, let me take that slide. 712 01:20:26,480 --> 01:20:34,560 You know, if you do guys have any questions, I did clear beforehand to give out Julie's email, you know, you could be a very popular person and obviously on it. 713 01:20:35,260 --> 01:20:39,860 In in showing and sharing how she works with her board in her city. 714 01:20:40,500 --> 01:20:45,260 Either or are willing to answer questions that maybe if we don't get to today, we just have a question. 715 01:20:45,960 --> 01:20:47,620 And I'm a little just asking on it. 716 01:20:47,620 --> 01:20:52,800 Okay, for help, as CalPERS noticed an increase in retirement and if so, what effective 717 01:20:52,800 --> 01:20:56,820 any is that having, um, that's a good one, that is. 718 01:20:57,900 --> 01:21:05,460 Yeah, I think we have noticed, you know, impact on retirement rates, I guess, my most 719 01:21:05,460 --> 01:21:08,140 impacted by COVID, 720 01:21:10,320 --> 01:21:17,000 um, difficult to say exactly what the impact is going to be on the, on the 721 01:21:17,000 --> 01:21:25,160 funding status. Possibly there could be gains. People taking the benefit early on the other 722 01:21:25,160 --> 01:21:32,880 hand, the benefits will now be in retirement rather than actively working, so people will 723 01:21:32,880 --> 01:21:40,760 be expected to be receiving benefits for a longer period of years, so there's kind of offsetting 724 01:21:40,760 --> 01:21:48,820 impacts on the potential of setting impacts on the liability so until we actually sit down 725 01:21:48,820 --> 01:21:56,000 with paint papers that I speak and do the actual calculations. It's not separate, but certainly 726 01:21:56,000 --> 01:22:07,040 there we have noticed that agencies have had some higher retirement episodes and then we'll 727 01:22:07,040 --> 01:22:14,180 to see if it's also made up by additional new highest coming in as well, and generally for a new 728 01:22:14,180 --> 01:22:19,580 higher, there's going to be a pepper employee compared to a retiring classic, so you would expect 729 01:22:19,580 --> 01:22:29,860 the overall costs to decrease from that factor though, a number of different impacts put potentially here. 730 01:22:30,460 --> 01:22:35,280 Here's a question that just came in, Julian, thank you for that. The latest report factors and the 731 01:22:35,280 --> 01:22:39,100 returns from which fiscal year is the 2019 or the 2020, I believe? 732 01:22:40,000 --> 01:22:47,100 Right, through June 30, 2020, 2020, the next report will factor in the large game that 733 01:22:47,100 --> 01:22:56,140 we had plus the potentially offset by any decision the board makes with respect to and changes 734 01:22:56,140 --> 01:22:58,040 of the discount rate. 735 01:22:58,860 --> 01:23:04,340 And, Julie, it isn't true that the investment returns, for example, from 2021, you don't 736 01:23:04,340 --> 01:23:09,940 really start to see the effects of that until maybe some of the later years. 737 01:23:10,780 --> 01:23:18,920 Right, so the next report, which will do be the June 30, 2021 report, which will set the 738 01:23:18,920 --> 01:23:26,480 contribution rates for 2324. So it will take a little bit of time for, before we see the impact 739 01:23:26,480 --> 01:23:29,400 of that. Yeah. So into the right, yes. 740 01:23:30,300 --> 01:23:33,520 And Julie, here's another question. Can you please walk through the difference of the pepper 741 01:23:33,520 --> 01:23:42,300 normal costs, shown on page 22 and 23. So, pardon the movement, but let me go back to navigate 742 01:23:42,300 --> 01:23:43,240 back to those pages. 743 01:23:45,890 --> 01:23:46,370 The fees, 744 01:23:50,020 --> 01:23:56,940 22 and 23. Right. Yes. So, on, let's go back to the previous page, 745 01:23:58,240 --> 01:24:05,300 yeah, that page there. Okay. So, I mentioned what when we were looking at the normal cost projection, 746 01:24:05,300 --> 01:24:10,060 over this five year period for a non-pull plan. 747 01:24:10,960 --> 01:24:13,260 We can see the normal costs rate, 748 01:24:13,500 --> 01:24:15,240 no decreasing, it's 9. 749 01:24:15,820 --> 01:24:19,760 For the 22, 23 fiscal year, it's 9.83. 750 01:24:20,300 --> 01:24:22,560 Then we're having a decrease to 9.6, 751 01:24:22,880 --> 01:24:25,280 like 0.4, and 1.2 and 0.8. 752 01:24:25,420 --> 01:24:28,440 So the, because in general, 753 01:24:28,720 --> 01:24:32,380 no if you're dealing with the same group of employees, 754 01:24:32,540 --> 01:24:34,580 the normal costs should stay the same. 755 01:24:34,580 --> 01:24:39,500 But what we're factoring in here is based on the experience of the plan, 756 01:24:40,200 --> 01:24:45,600 the newer as new Pepper members, join in, join the plan, 757 01:24:45,960 --> 01:24:49,640 normal costs rate for those Pepper members. 758 01:24:50,260 --> 01:24:57,620 And has the overall effect of reducing the average normal cost for the entire plan. 759 01:24:58,400 --> 01:24:59,960 So what we do in the package. 760 01:25:00,000 --> 01:25:07,380 Reaction here is reflect, note the change in the balance of the number of paper employees, increases. 761 01:25:08,660 --> 01:25:19,420 The number of that is an impact of reducing the average normal costs of the whole group and similarly the normal cost percentage for the employer. 762 01:25:20,700 --> 01:25:23,780 So that's all we're demonstrating here. 763 01:25:23,780 --> 01:25:30,920 I don't think there was anything on, no more cost related on that second slide. 764 01:25:32,640 --> 01:25:36,820 Yeah, there was nothing specifically, no more cost related to you. 765 01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:39,400 And, honestly, we got a question actually for you too. 766 01:25:39,580 --> 01:25:43,340 Why not make the contribution directly to Galpers versus the 115 trust? 767 01:25:44,980 --> 01:25:47,520 You know, it really is a decision of the agency. 768 01:25:47,720 --> 01:25:50,860 I think for city council at the time, 769 01:25:50,860 --> 01:25:57,280 it, you know, when you look at our unfinished liability, it was just 10 million. It wasn't a whole lot. 770 01:25:58,060 --> 01:26:06,120 And they really focus on the forecast significantly, um, put a lot of weight into, will we be 771 01:26:06,120 --> 01:26:13,260 able to meet our expenditures five, seven years down the road. And the decision was one, 772 01:26:13,260 --> 01:26:19,860 let's see if we can get a better rate of return with our pension trust. But then also, let's have 773 01:26:19,860 --> 01:26:26,760 available so it can kind of even out our budget projections because it was really clear we had a structural 774 01:26:26,760 --> 01:26:34,220 deficit moving forward. Now we may want to revisit that because as I indicated we did recently 775 01:26:34,220 --> 01:26:40,440 get a new tax measure passed and you know kind of as a result of COVID and things going on we went 776 01:26:40,440 --> 01:26:46,460 to the community and said you know we need this tax measure and they supported it so it is something 777 01:26:46,460 --> 01:26:49,160 that may need to be revisited going forward. 778 01:26:49,280 --> 01:26:53,540 The decision at that time was, let's secure our budget 779 01:26:53,540 --> 01:26:58,360 so that we know, yes, so one more. 780 01:26:58,360 --> 01:26:59,840 Oh, you're going to do a different thing. 781 01:27:00,200 --> 01:27:01,300 I'm going back to there. 782 01:27:01,420 --> 01:27:03,120 We got a follow-up question to the patient. 783 01:27:03,120 --> 01:27:04,280 OK, I'm going to point through. 784 01:27:04,340 --> 01:27:05,140 Got it. 785 01:27:05,780 --> 01:27:10,980 And so, you know, let's make our budget so we can manage it. 786 01:27:10,980 --> 01:27:13,480 And we'll have that money available to make the difference 787 01:27:13,480 --> 01:27:22,720 When we get those increased contribution costs, we can make that with, you know, the funds in the section 115 address. 788 01:27:23,420 --> 01:27:25,280 Sorry to throw you off on, I said, and I know what to do. 789 01:27:25,340 --> 01:27:26,060 No worries. 790 01:27:26,500 --> 01:27:27,000 No worries. 791 01:27:27,180 --> 01:27:27,540 Go right ahead. 792 01:27:27,680 --> 01:27:28,520 But I just want to follow up. 793 01:27:28,540 --> 01:27:31,360 I think there's going to be the last opportunity for a question this today. 794 01:27:31,660 --> 01:27:34,380 Oh, if I mean that if you look on pages 22, sorry. 795 01:27:34,420 --> 01:27:34,920 I'm reading the question. 796 01:27:35,380 --> 01:27:41,980 And 23 of the valuation reports, the normal cost for the same year for Petra members is different. 797 01:27:41,980 --> 01:27:48,320 For example, our report shows 13.98% on page 22, and 12.95% on page 23, 798 01:27:48,640 --> 01:27:52,700 both are for the normal cost for fiscal year 22 to 23. Does that make sense? 799 01:27:54,220 --> 01:28:02,420 Yes. So what's going on there? It's a complicated answer. I'll try to do it in the nutshell. 800 01:28:03,600 --> 01:28:12,860 We, we determine the pepper contribution rate that employees pay a looking at the percentage 801 01:28:13,840 --> 01:28:18,420 of members in the plan, which are representatives. 802 01:28:19,100 --> 01:28:24,080 So basically it's less than a quarter of the active people, and this is only from the non-co plans. 803 01:28:24,880 --> 01:28:31,980 So in the non-co plan, if there's less than 25% of the members who are pepper members, 804 01:28:31,980 --> 01:28:40,240 the more we effectively do is we run all of the active members through and treat them as if 805 01:28:40,240 --> 01:28:47,620 they were peppermembers, notionally, and come up with a contribution rate as if all the members 806 01:28:47,620 --> 01:28:57,820 of the plan were peppermembers. If there's more than 25% or maybe 50% that can remember exactly, 807 01:28:57,820 --> 01:29:03,200 then we just run the Pepper members as a standalone group, 808 01:29:04,060 --> 01:29:06,440 lowering all of the classic members. 809 01:29:07,020 --> 01:29:08,920 So there are some demographic differences 810 01:29:08,920 --> 01:29:13,140 between the entire group and Pepper group 811 01:29:13,140 --> 01:29:16,060 that stand alone, so that generates the difference 812 01:29:16,060 --> 01:29:18,960 between the Pepper rates you see on one page 813 01:29:18,960 --> 01:29:20,700 and the following page, 814 01:29:20,940 --> 01:29:23,020 and getting into the details and the full figure. 815 01:29:23,820 --> 01:29:33,020 Which is exactly why we put your email up there and so just as we wrap up today, folks, let me just launch our last poll of the day and just which of today's session were of the greatest value. 816 01:29:34,300 --> 01:29:40,240 Provide guns on how to extract the most value from your 20 report that's pretty that's pretty valuable I would think. 817 01:29:40,400 --> 01:29:47,420 Discuss the changes you were seeing in the reports review the five of your contribution projections talk about the 80 p changes or all of the above. 818 01:29:47,420 --> 01:29:52,460 And obviously, we say goodbye today to Julie and Anonix. 819 01:29:52,520 --> 01:29:54,640 Thank you both so much for spending time. 820 01:29:54,740 --> 01:29:57,740 I know Julie and your kind of, this is kind of like a recurring theme for you, 821 01:29:57,740 --> 01:29:58,940 like, about the same time every year. 822 01:29:59,780 --> 01:29:59,980 And, you know, 823 01:30:00,000 --> 01:30:04,040 It's an encore performance because I think it's so useful for people and our members. 824 01:30:04,760 --> 01:30:07,940 And so we definitely thank you for repeating the performance again. 825 01:30:08,360 --> 01:30:12,860 And on X, I think it's especially helpful when we take this sort of state-wide information 826 01:30:12,860 --> 01:30:17,640 and really make it come to life and talk about, you know, in your particular example, the city of Culver City 827 01:30:17,640 --> 01:30:23,100 and how you can get it. We really do appreciate you guys taking the time today to kind of share that information with us. 828 01:30:23,460 --> 01:30:24,320 You're very welcome. 829 01:30:27,440 --> 01:30:33,720 And so with that, I'd like to again, thanks everyone for joining us today, and until next time, 830 01:30:34,480 --> 01:30:41,000 the just for everyone's clarification, the current copy of the handout will be available 831 01:30:41,000 --> 01:30:46,740 on the CSMO website, which is available here at this audio archive. 832 01:30:46,980 --> 01:30:54,000 There will be a video recording of this session, which I'm sure people will need to go through 833 01:30:54,000 --> 01:30:57,640 and recall those detailed pages that we looked at. 834 01:30:58,100 --> 01:30:59,820 But all that should be available by tomorrow afternoon. 835 01:31:00,600 --> 01:31:02,500 So if anybody has any issues or questions with that, 836 01:31:02,660 --> 01:31:03,540 feel free to let me know. 837 01:31:03,660 --> 01:31:05,440 But in the meantime, thanks, everyone, 838 01:31:05,800 --> 01:31:06,900 and have a great day. 839 01:31:07,660 --> 01:31:08,200 Thank you. 840 01:31:08,640 --> 01:31:09,120 Thank you.