1 00:00:07,620 --> 00:00:13,189 We're ready to go, Mr. Chair. Thank you very much. 2 00:00:13,189 --> 00:00:15,989 So welcome, everyone, to this special meeting of the one 3 00:00:15,989 --> 00:00:19,189 joint investment board and the purpose of this meeting is 4 00:00:19,189 --> 00:00:21,989 to do the last of our three part series on. 5 00:00:23,634 --> 00:00:29,811 Alternative investments conducted by Eckler and this part of. The 6 00:00:29,811 --> 00:00:33,611 education session will focus on portfolio construction. So we'll start 7 00:00:33,611 --> 00:00:37,531 with Oman. Acknowledgement we recognize that our work is the 8 00:00:37,531 --> 00:00:40,451 one joint investment board and the worker municipalities take place 9 00:00:40,451 --> 00:00:44,971 on traditional indigenous territories across Ontario. We recognize and we 10 00:00:44,971 --> 00:00:48,971 respect the history, languages and cultures of the first Nations. 11 00:00:50,068 --> 00:00:53,788 Mati, Inuit, and all indigenous peoples whose presence continues to 12 00:00:53,788 --> 00:00:57,958 enrich our communities. Are there any members of one jib 13 00:00:57,958 --> 00:01:00,238 who have a conflict to declare due to a monetary 14 00:01:00,238 --> 00:01:04,219 interest on any item on today's agenda. So, looking at 15 00:01:04,219 --> 00:01:07,219 my screen here, seeing none, we'll move on. We have 16 00:01:07,219 --> 00:01:09,979 staff from Eckler. Joining us again this morning. So, Jenny, 17 00:01:09,979 --> 00:01:14,055 I think you can invite them in. We'll just wait 18 00:01:14,055 --> 00:01:21,801 for Brad and Kyle to join us. There. I see. 19 00:01:26,308 --> 00:01:29,668 Let's see. I see kyle there. And I see Brad. 20 00:01:29,668 --> 00:01:34,185 Great. Welcome, gentlemen. Thank you for being with us again 21 00:01:34,185 --> 00:01:37,305 this morning. We're looking forward to the presentation. I think 22 00:01:37,305 --> 00:01:39,785 we've really appreciated the last two, and we're looking forward 23 00:01:39,785 --> 00:01:42,705 to this one, so we're ready to go whenever you 24 00:01:42,705 --> 00:01:46,585 are. Sounds great. So we'll kick it off, star Sharon, 25 00:01:46,585 --> 00:01:48,585 as always, if there's any questions that come up, we'll. 26 00:01:48,585 --> 00:01:54,412 Keep our eyes open. We're going to just share. Presentation 27 00:01:54,412 --> 00:02:02,086 here. Share that one. Okay. Let's do. 28 00:02:04,751 --> 00:02:08,311 Screen load. All right, I'll maybe just confirm you can 29 00:02:08,311 --> 00:02:12,359 see that and move to the next slide. A thumbs 30 00:02:12,359 --> 00:02:18,614 up. Okay. Thumbs up. Thank you. Okay. Obviously. Thanks so 31 00:02:18,614 --> 00:02:23,927 much having us back. This one is. We've gone through 32 00:02:23,927 --> 00:02:28,457 different asset classes, obviously. We've been through private, public, some 33 00:02:28,457 --> 00:02:31,817 different things, and this is really portfolio construction and monitoring. 34 00:02:31,817 --> 00:02:33,217 So this is like us, how? You would put it 35 00:02:33,217 --> 00:02:35,577 all together and then check in to see. If it's 36 00:02:35,577 --> 00:02:37,337 working long term. So we just wanted to kick off 37 00:02:37,337 --> 00:02:40,497 with portfolio. It is. Portfolio construction. I think there's a 38 00:02:40,497 --> 00:02:44,177 quote there by Blackrock, right? The world's largest investment manager. 39 00:02:44,177 --> 00:02:46,337 And really what it is, is, yeah, it's putting together 40 00:02:46,337 --> 00:02:50,180 the different. Asset classes and strategies in your portfolio and 41 00:02:50,180 --> 00:02:53,060 understanding how that kind of builds up to a whole 42 00:02:53,060 --> 00:02:57,021 strategy, right? For a lot of groups. Again, this is 43 00:02:57,021 --> 00:03:00,221 how you approach. This is probably somewhat similar, whether you're 44 00:03:00,221 --> 00:03:03,821 a pension plan, a trust fund, an endowment, probably similar 45 00:03:03,821 --> 00:03:06,621 structure, no matter what you are. Kind of starts with 46 00:03:06,621 --> 00:03:08,581 really objectives. Right? So when we talk to most of 47 00:03:08,581 --> 00:03:10,741 our clients, what are the key objectives you're trying to 48 00:03:10,741 --> 00:03:13,021 do. So give you the idea some groups may be 49 00:03:13,021 --> 00:03:15,795 very focused on capital protection. So if you were an 50 00:03:15,795 --> 00:03:18,595 endowment and you had 50 million given to you that 51 00:03:18,595 --> 00:03:21,155 says, listen, you can't spend anything if it takes me 52 00:03:21,155 --> 00:03:24,675 below the initial amount. You're going to. Be very cognizant 53 00:03:24,675 --> 00:03:27,755 of losing any capital. Right. We have other groups where 54 00:03:27,755 --> 00:03:30,475 really it's about generating returns. So you might have a 55 00:03:30,475 --> 00:03:32,875 pension plan that's maybe underfunded. And it needs to move 56 00:03:32,875 --> 00:03:35,035 to a certain position they might be willing to take. 57 00:03:35,765 --> 00:03:38,085 A little more risk because of that. Again, there's a 58 00:03:38,085 --> 00:03:40,005 lot of different goals that you can have. And what 59 00:03:40,005 --> 00:03:42,485 I would always say in the portfolio construction piece is 60 00:03:42,485 --> 00:03:44,845 that it tends to be a teeter totter, right? If 61 00:03:44,845 --> 00:03:47,365 you have one goal, that you push on something else. 62 00:03:47,365 --> 00:03:49,805 Has to move in the system, right? If you push 63 00:03:49,805 --> 00:03:52,165 on return, you have to accept the risk. That comes 64 00:03:52,165 --> 00:03:55,405 with that. If you really want capital protection, then you 65 00:03:55,405 --> 00:03:58,071 may have. To sacrifice some level of return to increase 66 00:03:58,071 --> 00:03:59,671 that. Right. So all of these are going to be 67 00:03:59,671 --> 00:04:02,551 competing at some level, right? So what a lot of 68 00:04:02,551 --> 00:04:05,701 groups talk about is, what are the pain? Points. And 69 00:04:05,701 --> 00:04:07,941 that second part of the process is there's really a 70 00:04:07,941 --> 00:04:10,221 risk budget. So what are the things that you really 71 00:04:10,221 --> 00:04:12,684 want to avoid. So there's the goals of what you 72 00:04:12,684 --> 00:04:16,544 would like to do. That's great. What's the other side 73 00:04:16,544 --> 00:04:18,504 of it? What's the thing that you can't. Stand. Right? 74 00:04:18,504 --> 00:04:21,144 So is it a capital impairment again? Is it corrective 75 00:04:21,144 --> 00:04:24,304 action? Is it decreasing spending? Is it going back to 76 00:04:24,304 --> 00:04:27,184 the beneficiaries or the members or whoever is obviously you're? 77 00:04:27,184 --> 00:04:29,264 Managing this money on behalf and asking them to do 78 00:04:29,264 --> 00:04:31,944 something that you'd rather not ask them to do right 79 00:04:31,944 --> 00:04:34,464 because the portfolio hasn't performed the extent that you've. Looked 80 00:04:34,464 --> 00:04:38,109 at too. So that's really what we would call establishing 81 00:04:38,109 --> 00:04:40,709 the risk budget. And then from what is that thing 82 00:04:40,709 --> 00:04:42,869 that you just don't want to happen or you want 83 00:04:42,869 --> 00:04:46,389 to minimize the risk. Of take whatever that is and 84 00:04:46,389 --> 00:04:48,629 you're willing to take some amount of risk as long 85 00:04:48,629 --> 00:04:51,629 as you can minimize this outcome. And then you spend 86 00:04:51,629 --> 00:04:53,589 that risk budget on the last one, right? So go 87 00:04:53,589 --> 00:04:56,767 out and invest the portfolio consistent with those. Goals and 88 00:04:56,767 --> 00:04:58,687 understanding. What are the things that you're trying to avoid? 89 00:05:00,380 --> 00:05:04,482 So when we do this, On doing this portfolio construction 90 00:05:04,482 --> 00:05:06,322 process. There's a few things that are going to be 91 00:05:06,322 --> 00:05:09,162 inputs. To the process, which a lot of his expected 92 00:05:09,162 --> 00:05:12,242 returns and risk. Right. So for the expected returns, it's 93 00:05:12,242 --> 00:05:15,202 really the forecasting of the long term average return that 94 00:05:15,202 --> 00:05:18,762 is expected to be achieved. Most groups would use some 95 00:05:18,762 --> 00:05:22,835 amount of a 510 15 year window, right? For. Planning 96 00:05:22,835 --> 00:05:26,313 purposes for this. Reno investment. If you're using a one 97 00:05:26,313 --> 00:05:28,713 year window or a two year window, you can still 98 00:05:28,713 --> 00:05:31,313 obviously come up with investment strategies, but it's going to 99 00:05:31,313 --> 00:05:34,513 be difficult if you're using a very short time horizon 100 00:05:34,513 --> 00:05:37,982 to kind of. Use statistic processes like you see in 101 00:05:37,982 --> 00:05:42,545 the industry, because realistically, It's harder. A one year. What's 102 00:05:42,545 --> 00:05:44,785 going to happen in twelve months is actually. More difficult 103 00:05:44,785 --> 00:05:47,265 to predict than what will happen in the next ten, 104 00:05:47,265 --> 00:05:49,345 because in the next ten there's the law of averages 105 00:05:49,345 --> 00:05:51,465 that come into it, which is something you'll see in 106 00:05:51,465 --> 00:05:54,945 this process. Right. So the variability of returns is really 107 00:05:54,945 --> 00:05:58,345 noting that you have an expectation. What's? The degree at 108 00:05:58,345 --> 00:06:00,305 which you think it'll be above or below. So give 109 00:06:00,305 --> 00:06:03,182 an example. If you have a gic. What do you 110 00:06:03,182 --> 00:06:04,982 think the return is going to be next year? It's 111 00:06:04,982 --> 00:06:07,502 almost guaranteed you. Now, there's no variability to that return, 112 00:06:07,502 --> 00:06:11,382 but what's? Canadian equity. You assume it might be 10%, 113 00:06:11,382 --> 00:06:13,622 but you're saying there's. A very good chance it could 114 00:06:13,622 --> 00:06:17,582 be 20 or minus ten. Right. Obviously around that expectation 115 00:06:17,582 --> 00:06:19,902 that's. Going to have a lot of variability. And again, 116 00:06:19,902 --> 00:06:22,963 it's trying to provide you the. Probability of what is 117 00:06:22,963 --> 00:06:25,763 the chance that your expected return is your actual return. 118 00:06:25,763 --> 00:06:28,563 Right. And a lot of what you see in these 119 00:06:28,563 --> 00:06:32,323 kind of processes. It talks about the correlation of expected 120 00:06:32,323 --> 00:06:35,763 returns, right? So not all asset classes perform the same, 121 00:06:35,763 --> 00:06:37,603 and they don't all perform the same during. The same 122 00:06:37,603 --> 00:06:40,203 events or at the same time and use Covid as 123 00:06:40,203 --> 00:06:43,463 examples. One of the most recent. Events. So canadian equities 124 00:06:43,463 --> 00:06:46,623 in the first three months of 2020, down 21% right 125 00:06:46,623 --> 00:06:49,263 far. Below the long term average. Right? So if anyone 126 00:06:49,263 --> 00:06:52,663 said, what do you think equities learn? 8%. So in 127 00:06:52,663 --> 00:06:55,903 three months, you lost 21. That would be an outsized 128 00:06:55,903 --> 00:06:58,023 event. Right. So. That was below what you thought would 129 00:06:58,023 --> 00:07:00,823 happen by quite a bit. Bonds on the other side, 130 00:07:00,823 --> 00:07:03,333 federal bonds. Were up five. Actually. That's above what you 131 00:07:03,333 --> 00:07:05,693 think they would have made over the long term. And 132 00:07:05,693 --> 00:07:08,915 again, the way they did that. Is quite interesting. Ones 133 00:07:08,915 --> 00:07:11,115 going up, one's going down at the same time. So 134 00:07:11,115 --> 00:07:15,209 correlation measures. The tendency. At which returns tend to be 135 00:07:15,209 --> 00:07:18,529 above or below their expectations at the same time. So 136 00:07:18,529 --> 00:07:21,689 on. Slide. Five. And again, this one's a bit busy. 137 00:07:21,689 --> 00:07:23,689 Sorry to kind of cram a few. Things in this 138 00:07:23,689 --> 00:07:26,769 one. Really? What we talk about at the top is 139 00:07:26,769 --> 00:07:29,329 expressing correlations, right? So. One of the things that you'll 140 00:07:29,329 --> 00:07:32,449 see is correlation is a measure from minus one to 141 00:07:32,449 --> 00:07:36,869 plus one, right? So. Perfect negative correlation. When one moves 142 00:07:36,869 --> 00:07:38,589 up, the other one moves down by the exact same. 143 00:07:39,656 --> 00:07:43,896 Obviously, frequency and amount at any given time. Perfect. Positive 144 00:07:43,896 --> 00:07:46,736 is the other way you're moving. Together perfectly. Right. Go 145 00:07:46,736 --> 00:07:48,616 up. Tang go up. Tan go down. Tan go down. 146 00:07:48,616 --> 00:07:51,929 Ten at the same. Time and then uncorrelate it. There 147 00:07:51,929 --> 00:07:55,009 is foreseeability, no correlation to how these two things move. 148 00:07:55,009 --> 00:07:58,129 They seem to be disconnected. Right. So there's no relationship 149 00:07:58,129 --> 00:08:02,009 that you can draw. So in designing a diversified portfolio, 150 00:08:02,009 --> 00:08:06,798 so. Most groups when we talk about diversification, Most groups 151 00:08:06,798 --> 00:08:09,718 strive to create a diversified portfolio. So to create a 152 00:08:09,718 --> 00:08:13,158 portfolio that doesn't have any. We're going to talk about 153 00:08:13,158 --> 00:08:16,958 unnecessary risks that you could diversify away. Right? So. When 154 00:08:16,958 --> 00:08:20,038 you're talking about that, you would typically want to see 155 00:08:20,038 --> 00:08:24,398 lower negatively correlated asset classes. Or patterns of returns together 156 00:08:24,398 --> 00:08:26,158 when you put things together. And we're just showing you 157 00:08:26,158 --> 00:08:28,376 an example. And in that first quarter of Covid, if 158 00:08:28,376 --> 00:08:32,640 you were an all canadian equity portfolio, You're down -21 159 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:34,760 but if you were half and half, half ball and 160 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:38,720 half canadian. Equity, you'd be down ten. Right. So obviously 161 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:42,800 those bonds provided somewhat of an offsetting. Risk right to 162 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:45,160 being an equity portfolio because they didn't behave the same 163 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,360 way. The same event. So if you take that one 164 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:49,800 step further, if you took a sampling of our client 165 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:53,093 base, which is very good portfolio. Portfolios, pension plans, insurance 166 00:08:53,093 --> 00:08:57,133 portfolios, foundations announcements, trust funds. They would have been down 167 00:08:57,133 --> 00:09:00,893 about minus seven or actually better during that same period, 168 00:09:00,893 --> 00:09:04,053 because again, they're even moving beyond just being half equities, 169 00:09:04,053 --> 00:09:06,973 half bonds, but have alternatives as well invested in them. 170 00:09:06,973 --> 00:09:09,693 Again, those asset classes. Really behaved in a way to 171 00:09:09,693 --> 00:09:13,444 dampen that volatility during a very. Extreme event, which is 172 00:09:13,444 --> 00:09:15,484 what you would have seen at the beginning of Covid. 173 00:09:15,484 --> 00:09:18,364 So the last bullet point there is interesting because all 174 00:09:18,364 --> 00:09:21,084 of this, all of this portfolio design is built upon 175 00:09:21,084 --> 00:09:23,364 the fact of you're using what you think is going 176 00:09:23,364 --> 00:09:27,367 to happen. And that's based on class performance and how 177 00:09:27,367 --> 00:09:30,567 capital market theory would tell you things will behave, but 178 00:09:30,567 --> 00:09:34,176 typically what you see. In very volatile periods is what 179 00:09:34,176 --> 00:09:37,256 we call market contagion. So you have events like the 180 00:09:37,256 --> 00:09:40,576 2008 financial crisis was a big one, where all of 181 00:09:40,576 --> 00:09:44,296 a sudden asset classes that didn't. Have a strong correlation 182 00:09:44,296 --> 00:09:46,896 become correlated all of a sudden during a market event, 183 00:09:46,896 --> 00:09:50,456 and hugely negatively when the market's down. And that can 184 00:09:50,456 --> 00:09:54,089 be just a factor that when panic sets. In on 185 00:09:54,089 --> 00:09:56,774 the market. Sometimes everyone gets it at once, right? All 186 00:09:56,774 --> 00:10:00,334 asset classes can be impacted and it can spread across. 187 00:10:00,334 --> 00:10:03,054 Markets quickly. So even it starts in the US and 188 00:10:03,054 --> 00:10:06,014 it hits Europe quickly, when typically you wouldn't think that 189 00:10:06,014 --> 00:10:08,694 those two different areas would necessarily be impacted by the 190 00:10:08,694 --> 00:10:11,854 same event. So a lot of modeling that you see 191 00:10:11,854 --> 00:10:14,870 in the portfolio world when somebody comes to you. And 192 00:10:14,870 --> 00:10:17,630 helps you design a portfolio. A lot of the times 193 00:10:17,630 --> 00:10:19,870 those models have what's built. In it is like a 194 00:10:19,870 --> 00:10:23,110 two stage model or a two event where there's a 195 00:10:23,110 --> 00:10:26,090 lot of view that. If you're testing the stress of 196 00:10:26,090 --> 00:10:28,330 a poor, if you're stress testing a portfolio, trying to 197 00:10:28,330 --> 00:10:31,050 see what will happen to it. In a very negative 198 00:10:31,050 --> 00:10:34,450 event, they tend to increase the correlation. So there's like 199 00:10:34,450 --> 00:10:36,770 a regime switch, is what it would be called, where 200 00:10:36,770 --> 00:10:40,250 you go. To correlations that are probably not as favorable 201 00:10:40,250 --> 00:10:43,010 as they once would have been in a normal market 202 00:10:43,010 --> 00:10:46,913 environment again, that just. Adds another complexity to these kind 203 00:10:46,913 --> 00:10:51,873 of processes. But fundamentally, understanding that these kind of contagions 204 00:10:51,873 --> 00:10:56,258 happen. Over the long term. Most correlations tend to hold 205 00:10:56,258 --> 00:10:58,818 true to some extent over the long term. And can 206 00:10:58,818 --> 00:11:01,938 help you build a portfolio that has diversification. And at 207 00:11:01,938 --> 00:11:04,538 the bottom there, this process really is about. What is 208 00:11:04,538 --> 00:11:07,538 that secret formula, right, that you're using to create a 209 00:11:07,538 --> 00:11:11,418 portfolio? That's going to minimize those risks, right? After fees, 210 00:11:11,418 --> 00:11:15,010 that's the other consideration. You potentially could create a very 211 00:11:15,010 --> 00:11:17,850 sophisticated portfolio. At some point, you have to measure against 212 00:11:17,850 --> 00:11:21,130 what's. It going to cost me, right, to do this? 213 00:11:21,130 --> 00:11:23,490 So when you look at it graphically, this is very 214 00:11:23,490 --> 00:11:26,090 simple. On this chart, if you move to the right. 215 00:11:27,626 --> 00:11:29,586 You're becoming more risky. If you move up, you're getting 216 00:11:29,586 --> 00:11:32,146 more return, right? So. If you started with just 100% 217 00:11:32,146 --> 00:11:35,708 bonds. And you look from that portfolio to the one 218 00:11:35,708 --> 00:11:38,708 with 20% equity, it's the next. One up. You've actually 219 00:11:38,708 --> 00:11:42,188 reduced your risk and increased your return by doing that. 220 00:11:42,188 --> 00:11:45,668 Anyone who's an investor would take that realistically because it's 221 00:11:45,668 --> 00:11:48,588 telling you it's less force, more return. Because even adding 222 00:11:48,588 --> 00:11:51,268 a small amount of equities and equities as it says 223 00:11:51,268 --> 00:11:54,568 at the top, most investment ris. Risk in a portfolio 224 00:11:54,568 --> 00:11:56,968 can be very tightly tied to how much equity exposure 225 00:11:56,968 --> 00:12:00,168 you have. But taking some equities when you're all fixed 226 00:12:00,168 --> 00:12:02,888 income will actually assist you because it's. Going to give 227 00:12:02,888 --> 00:12:05,808 you that uncorrelated source of return that the equities. Can 228 00:12:05,808 --> 00:12:07,968 offer. But you can see as you increase your equity 229 00:12:07,968 --> 00:12:12,266 amount quickly, You start becoming more risky, right? You start 230 00:12:12,266 --> 00:12:15,106 moving further to the right, because the equities. Are now 231 00:12:15,106 --> 00:12:19,386 dominating the portfolio right now. There's those two question mark 232 00:12:19,386 --> 00:12:22,386 portfolios that's what you're trying to get to. If you 233 00:12:22,386 --> 00:12:25,986 could be 40% bonds, 60%. Equity. That one in the 234 00:12:25,986 --> 00:12:28,706 middle, that's a balance fund. That's the bogey. In the 235 00:12:28,706 --> 00:12:31,620 industry for most investors. You can buy those. You can 236 00:12:31,620 --> 00:12:33,380 just go to someone and say, give me a balance 237 00:12:33,380 --> 00:12:36,620 fund, and. Balance fund is assumed to be a medium 238 00:12:36,620 --> 00:12:39,900 term investment. Rise in some bonds, some equities that other 239 00:12:39,900 --> 00:12:42,780 portfolio with the question mark is making you more money, 240 00:12:42,780 --> 00:12:46,300 and it essentially has less risk. Right. So you would 241 00:12:46,300 --> 00:12:49,220 take that if you could. You've got to figure out 242 00:12:49,220 --> 00:12:51,743 what is. That portfolio. Right. And obviously you can see 243 00:12:51,743 --> 00:12:54,663 by the number of pies in that thing, it obviously 244 00:12:54,663 --> 00:12:57,303 has. More and more asset classes than just bonds and 245 00:12:57,303 --> 00:13:00,063 equities. Right? So it's showing you. There's more diversification that 246 00:13:00,063 --> 00:13:03,143 you can get to inside of a portfolio like that. 247 00:13:03,143 --> 00:13:05,983 And fundamentally, that's this whole process is trying to figure 248 00:13:05,983 --> 00:13:08,663 out how can you get to those two question mark 249 00:13:08,663 --> 00:13:12,908 type portfolios again. From a fee perspective and then liquidity 250 00:13:12,908 --> 00:13:15,188 and other issues that you might want to try to 251 00:13:15,188 --> 00:13:18,188 manage. So on size seven. This is slide that we 252 00:13:18,188 --> 00:13:20,548 show quite often. And what this is, is. Every one 253 00:13:20,548 --> 00:13:23,428 of these boxes in this chart is. And you can 254 00:13:23,428 --> 00:13:26,505 see. The yellow is the emerging market return. And this 255 00:13:26,505 --> 00:13:30,958 is annually over the last 24 years, basically. You've got 256 00:13:30,958 --> 00:13:34,158 the EC index, international equities, you got small cap equities. 257 00:13:34,158 --> 00:13:38,318 Canadian equities bonds us and then a balance fund. And 258 00:13:38,318 --> 00:13:42,038 what we've done is we've just traced the SPSX and 259 00:13:42,038 --> 00:13:44,478 the red line. And you can see what's? Happening is 260 00:13:44,478 --> 00:13:46,718 there's many times it's near the top and then the 261 00:13:46,718 --> 00:13:48,878 next year. It's near the bottom, right? And then it 262 00:13:48,878 --> 00:13:51,796 goes back near the top and. It's constantly moving up 263 00:13:51,796 --> 00:13:54,316 and down in that chart, canadian equities on whether they're 264 00:13:54,316 --> 00:13:57,036 the best or the worst asset class, right? And again, 265 00:13:57,036 --> 00:14:00,036 that's the equity roller. Coaster that you're in if you 266 00:14:00,036 --> 00:14:03,396 could call all of those peaks and sell off and. 267 00:14:03,396 --> 00:14:05,436 Buy back in at the bottom. You'd be an amazing 268 00:14:05,436 --> 00:14:08,636 investment manager. It's difficult. To do that. Right. So, what, 269 00:14:08,636 --> 00:14:11,588 the balance fund is that gray? Line and goes through 270 00:14:11,588 --> 00:14:17,224 the gray boxes. That's 40% bonds, 30% canadian equity, 30% 271 00:14:17,224 --> 00:14:20,304 global equity. So that's. A balanced strategy and you can 272 00:14:20,304 --> 00:14:24,807 see. It's tops and bottoms, it's peaks and trows are 273 00:14:24,807 --> 00:14:28,487 much more muted than the pure equity portfolio is because, 274 00:14:28,487 --> 00:14:30,767 again, it's hedging some of the risk off. With the 275 00:14:30,767 --> 00:14:34,287 bonds, and it's got more diversification than just canadian equities 276 00:14:34,287 --> 00:14:36,607 and we show you the results over 24 years on 277 00:14:36,607 --> 00:14:39,727 the bottom. So 24 years in canadian equities. With all 278 00:14:39,727 --> 00:14:43,251 the ups and downs would have averaged. A 6.6% a 279 00:14:43,251 --> 00:14:47,451 year. Right. Volatility of 15 points. So the standard deviation. 280 00:14:47,451 --> 00:14:52,091 Of 15.6%. So that's a pretty high volatility right around 281 00:14:52,091 --> 00:14:54,691 that. Mean of 6.6. So if you look at the 282 00:14:54,691 --> 00:14:58,571 balance fund, it's made a percent less. So ultimately, yes. 283 00:14:58,571 --> 00:15:01,011 If you knew you had a full 24 years and 284 00:15:01,011 --> 00:15:02,989 you never had to check in on this. Money, you're 285 00:15:02,989 --> 00:15:05,509 never going to need it. 100% equity would have got 286 00:15:05,509 --> 00:15:07,869 you better, but. We're only got. You better buy a 287 00:15:07,869 --> 00:15:10,509 better percent a year. But the volatility. Of the balance 288 00:15:10,509 --> 00:15:15,029 fund is significantly lower. Like half, right, 8.6%. So when 289 00:15:15,029 --> 00:15:17,549 you look at the risk adjusted ratio. So that's just 290 00:15:17,549 --> 00:15:21,549 the return by the risk, right? The balance. Fund, technically, 291 00:15:21,549 --> 00:15:24,774 is a more efficient. Portfolio. So for every unit of 292 00:15:24,774 --> 00:15:27,414 risk or every unit of return you're taking or. Sorry. 293 00:15:27,414 --> 00:15:29,654 For every unit risk you'd in zero point 65 in 294 00:15:29,654 --> 00:15:32,254 return, or the canadian equity for every unit of risk. 295 00:15:32,254 --> 00:15:35,174 You're getting zero point 42 and return back to you. 296 00:15:35,174 --> 00:15:38,014 Right. So. Again. Equities would have made you more, but 297 00:15:38,014 --> 00:15:40,494 would have taken you on that ride to get you 298 00:15:40,494 --> 00:15:44,497 that through the whole period, right? So portfolio modeling, all 299 00:15:44,497 --> 00:15:47,217 of this stuff, all of these inputs and this correlation, 300 00:15:47,217 --> 00:15:51,057 this all comes into a portfolio modeling process, which, again, 301 00:15:51,057 --> 00:15:54,057 if you're in a board position, this is typically what 302 00:15:54,057 --> 00:15:57,057 you're being shown as somebody's showing you. These are different 303 00:15:57,057 --> 00:16:00,457 portfolios and different expectations we've come up with, and they 304 00:16:00,457 --> 00:16:03,623 all tend to come out of a stochastic. Model. Like 305 00:16:03,623 --> 00:16:07,772 this. What this is. Pretty. This would be the industry 306 00:16:07,772 --> 00:16:10,772 standard today of what most groups would do is you 307 00:16:10,772 --> 00:16:15,372 look at driving probability distributions out of these asset classes. 308 00:16:15,372 --> 00:16:18,532 So for canadian equities, you forecast them out. Over again. 309 00:16:18,532 --> 00:16:20,332 I'm going to show you in this example, could be 310 00:16:20,332 --> 00:16:23,932 30 years, and that path you build is based on 311 00:16:23,932 --> 00:16:27,423 all the expectations of how you think canadian equ. Equities 312 00:16:27,423 --> 00:16:31,010 might perform. In different environments. Maybe a high inflationary environment. 313 00:16:31,010 --> 00:16:33,770 Maybe an environment where you have an equity market. Correction. 314 00:16:33,770 --> 00:16:37,250 So you make this probability distribution, and again, you can 315 00:16:37,250 --> 00:16:39,370 do a single asset class, but what? Typically you do, 316 00:16:39,370 --> 00:16:42,490 you start putting different asset classes together. So a portfolio 317 00:16:42,490 --> 00:16:46,570 of bonds, equities. May be real estate infrastructure. Again, it 318 00:16:46,570 --> 00:16:50,793 considers the past, but. Focus considers future expectations. If you're 319 00:16:50,793 --> 00:16:53,953 in a very low interest rate environment, statistically interest rates 320 00:16:53,953 --> 00:16:56,473 will probably increase in the future because they, like, won't 321 00:16:56,473 --> 00:17:00,934 go below zero unless maybe Japan. But most economies, you 322 00:17:00,934 --> 00:17:04,225 would assume. What's the chance of interest rates going up 323 00:17:04,225 --> 00:17:06,945 or down? Pretty much depends on where they're at today, 324 00:17:06,945 --> 00:17:09,305 right? A lot of the modeling, at least the way 325 00:17:09,305 --> 00:17:11,505 Eckler would approach it is, you would assume that if 326 00:17:11,505 --> 00:17:14,865 active management would pay for its fees, so you typically 327 00:17:14,865 --> 00:17:17,665 wouldn't build in a premium that your investment managers are 328 00:17:17,665 --> 00:17:19,225 going to beat the market, that might be a bit 329 00:17:19,225 --> 00:17:21,025 of grass. Step to assume that over the whole way 330 00:17:21,025 --> 00:17:24,564 you could again. Active management might be the cherry on 331 00:17:24,564 --> 00:17:27,964 top, but realistically, we'd assume almost passive is really what 332 00:17:27,964 --> 00:17:30,404 this is saying to you. So you model the expected 333 00:17:30,404 --> 00:17:33,324 risk return of the various asset. Classes. So, again, someone 334 00:17:33,324 --> 00:17:35,764 showed you three portfolios. You could take each portfolio and 335 00:17:35,764 --> 00:17:37,444 put it through. This kind of process and see what 336 00:17:37,444 --> 00:17:40,124 the outcomes look like. So what we would do here 337 00:17:40,124 --> 00:17:41,844 in the example I'm going to show you is modeling 338 00:17:41,844 --> 00:17:45,335 5000. Possible outcomes a year. And we do this over 339 00:17:45,335 --> 00:17:47,695 ten to 15 plus year horizon. And what we end 340 00:17:47,695 --> 00:17:51,255 up with is an enormous set of returns. Right? And 341 00:17:51,255 --> 00:17:52,815 what we try to do is we look. Well, what's 342 00:17:52,815 --> 00:17:56,415 the expected return? And it's really the median outcome in 343 00:17:56,415 --> 00:17:59,015 that. Universe. So if you're on the prices, right, and 344 00:17:59,015 --> 00:18:02,393 you had to bet, you would bet. The media. The 345 00:18:02,393 --> 00:18:05,673 middle one. You'd be the least wrong again. What's the 346 00:18:05,673 --> 00:18:09,153 chance? It's exactly that number. Almost zero, to be honest 347 00:18:09,153 --> 00:18:11,553 with you. But it's the closest want out of what 348 00:18:11,553 --> 00:18:14,433 you think the outcomes would be, and then the risk 349 00:18:14,433 --> 00:18:18,593 for most groups. Is about? What's that? Lowest fifth percentile 350 00:18:18,593 --> 00:18:21,553 return. What's the chance that things go really bad. Most 351 00:18:21,553 --> 00:18:23,984 group. Groups aren't concerned with what's the chance everything becomes 352 00:18:23,984 --> 00:18:26,864 amazing, we end up in the very 95th. That's great. 353 00:18:26,864 --> 00:18:28,384 That probably means you got more money than you think. 354 00:18:28,384 --> 00:18:31,424 You would have. And that's just usually, you probably don't 355 00:18:31,424 --> 00:18:33,384 have to be concerned. About that one ahead of time. 356 00:18:33,384 --> 00:18:36,624 Unless you've got kind of any. Some clients we have. 357 00:18:36,624 --> 00:18:39,024 Maybe in negotiation positions, or maybe that would be an 358 00:18:39,024 --> 00:18:40,824 issue if they had too much money, but. Most groups 359 00:18:40,824 --> 00:18:43,600 are in a position. Of too much money is not 360 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,800 really the thing we're worried about. It's what if we 361 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,320 lose a lot. Right? And this is what these processes 362 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,960 get you, which is slide nine. This is an actual 363 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,880 output from this kind of model. This is assuming if 364 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,160 you had a balance fund. Right. So that again, what 365 00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:58,960 have you had? Kind of a middle of the road 366 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,558 investment strategy? So in the one year that first. Column 367 00:19:02,558 --> 00:19:06,478 in this chart. What that's telling you is that 5.9% 368 00:19:06,478 --> 00:19:10,262 is the median of. That 5000 outcomes in the first 369 00:19:10,262 --> 00:19:13,462 year, 5.9 is right in the middle at the very 370 00:19:13,462 --> 00:19:16,702 top. It says 19.2 at the very top of that 371 00:19:16,702 --> 00:19:20,742 chart. That's the 95th. Percentile. So what that means is 372 00:19:20,742 --> 00:19:25,302 95% of the time you'd be making 19% or less. 373 00:19:26,556 --> 00:19:28,676 There's only 5% of outcomes where they would ever be 374 00:19:28,676 --> 00:19:31,956 above 19% the same. Thing at the bottom. The minus 375 00:19:31,956 --> 00:19:35,356 eight. That's the bottom fifth. So instead of telling you 376 00:19:35,356 --> 00:19:38,196 95% of the time, you should be better than that. 377 00:19:38,196 --> 00:19:41,196 5% of the time it could be worse, right? So 378 00:19:41,196 --> 00:19:42,916 if you ask me, in a given year, what do 379 00:19:42,916 --> 00:19:45,556 I think you'll? Make. I could go. Well, 90% of 380 00:19:45,556 --> 00:19:47,666 the time you're between. 19 and minus eight. And you'd 381 00:19:47,666 --> 00:19:49,746 say, that's not very helpful to me, that's. A very 382 00:19:49,746 --> 00:19:52,826 big window, and I would say that's the difficulty. If 383 00:19:52,826 --> 00:19:55,346 you tried to guess one year out, right. But what 384 00:19:55,346 --> 00:19:58,106 you see is if you move across 510, 15 is 385 00:19:58,106 --> 00:20:01,306 that that distribution becomes much tighter. Right. So maybe we'll 386 00:20:01,306 --> 00:20:03,506 look at the ten years or. Sorry. The 15 one 387 00:20:03,506 --> 00:20:06,266 I have in the middle that's highlighted that 15 still 388 00:20:06,266 --> 00:20:09,211 has. A median return of about 5.9, but the fifth 389 00:20:09,211 --> 00:20:11,891 percentile, instead of being minus eight, is now minus is 390 00:20:11,891 --> 00:20:15,491 1.8. So that's a big change. So the reason why 391 00:20:15,491 --> 00:20:18,331 these models work for a lot of groups, and planning 392 00:20:18,331 --> 00:20:21,491 over the long term is the chance of you experiencing? 393 00:20:22,756 --> 00:20:26,803 A one in 5000 event. Every year for 15 years 394 00:20:26,803 --> 00:20:31,789 is statistically insignificant. It's basically very unlikely you would have 395 00:20:31,789 --> 00:20:34,509 these multiple, like, seven COVIds back to. Back to back 396 00:20:34,509 --> 00:20:36,869 to back to back for eight years. So what this 397 00:20:36,869 --> 00:20:39,069 can do is when you use this kind of modeling 398 00:20:39,069 --> 00:20:41,389 is it can help you over the longer time get 399 00:20:41,389 --> 00:20:43,869 a sense of well, what is the expected return? And 400 00:20:43,869 --> 00:20:46,469 what's that bottom return risk that I'm going to have. 401 00:20:46,469 --> 00:20:49,269 And you can use this through multiple asset classes. So 402 00:20:49,269 --> 00:20:52,762 as you add. Infrastructure you could see. Does infrastructure increase 403 00:20:52,762 --> 00:20:55,522 the medium? But what's it doing to the fifth? Percentile. 404 00:20:55,522 --> 00:20:58,162 Am I seeing a better result because of these different 405 00:20:58,162 --> 00:21:00,842 asset classes? And this is what you will likely see 406 00:21:00,842 --> 00:21:04,602 as somebody showing you portfolio modeling in different asset classes. 407 00:21:04,602 --> 00:21:07,402 Is this kind of analysis over the time periods that 408 00:21:07,402 --> 00:21:11,599 you want to plan over, right? So all this leads 409 00:21:11,599 --> 00:21:13,719 into kind of the goal setting, which is really from 410 00:21:13,719 --> 00:21:15,919 a board's perspective. What are you trying to do? And 411 00:21:15,919 --> 00:21:19,599 what are you trying to probably tell your ocio? Manager, 412 00:21:19,599 --> 00:21:21,999 your consultant. Like, what are the goals that we're trying 413 00:21:21,999 --> 00:21:26,039 to set that will influence that portfolio modeling. Right? So 414 00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:27,799 a lot of it. I mean, we'd ask groups, why 415 00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:29,519 are you here? What are you trying to achieve? You're 416 00:21:29,519 --> 00:21:33,596 obviously investing a port. Portfolio for some purpose. What are 417 00:21:33,596 --> 00:21:36,716 your measurable goals like? What is the success for the 418 00:21:36,716 --> 00:21:39,476 portfolio? What do you hope? To achieve. If you can 419 00:21:39,476 --> 00:21:42,036 answer some of these high level questions, that should again 420 00:21:42,036 --> 00:21:44,796 set the foundation. For your decision making, right? About what 421 00:21:44,796 --> 00:21:47,596 are the asset classes? So again, if you said, listen, 422 00:21:47,596 --> 00:21:50,756 we. Really need to prioritize liquidity. We might need to 423 00:21:50,756 --> 00:21:53,988 spend 20% of this portfolio. At any given. Year because 424 00:21:53,988 --> 00:21:56,588 our liability of what we're trying to do is, could 425 00:21:56,588 --> 00:21:59,948 be variable that would tell you. Maybe I have significant 426 00:21:59,948 --> 00:22:02,588 liquidity requirements, and I don't think I would look. At 427 00:22:02,588 --> 00:22:04,708 infrastructure or real estate as an asset class, because I 428 00:22:04,708 --> 00:22:06,428 don't know if they'll have the liquidity I need, but 429 00:22:06,428 --> 00:22:09,228 you could say, listen, long term, I think we know. 430 00:22:09,228 --> 00:22:11,348 The liquidity of the portfolio. We're only going to need 431 00:22:11,348 --> 00:22:13,228 to draw a few percent. So we think we can. 432 00:22:13,940 --> 00:22:17,660 Take on some of those risks and hopefully be compensated 433 00:22:17,660 --> 00:22:20,300 for that. Right. But again, one thing we would always 434 00:22:20,300 --> 00:22:23,620 say is that goals and objectives here that you sat 435 00:22:23,620 --> 00:22:26,300 typically might set them independent of the investment strategy because 436 00:22:26,300 --> 00:22:28,300 you're kind of thinking of them first, right? What are 437 00:22:28,300 --> 00:22:29,940 the things? You're trying to achieve, but they should be 438 00:22:29,940 --> 00:22:32,900 consistent. And when we give you an example, is, some 439 00:22:32,900 --> 00:22:35,939 groups may have es. ESG beliefs. So environmental, social, governance 440 00:22:35,939 --> 00:22:39,227 concerns, where they say, listen. We want to have a 441 00:22:39,227 --> 00:22:43,267 fossil fuel free portfolio, or you want to have no, 442 00:22:43,267 --> 00:22:45,867 say, arms or anything like that, or tobacco or anything 443 00:22:45,867 --> 00:22:49,379 in our portfolio. But then you're going to implement the 444 00:22:49,379 --> 00:22:52,579 strategy and pooled funds. We're an investment manager selling a 445 00:22:52,579 --> 00:22:54,859 pool fund that already exists. You may have an example 446 00:22:54,859 --> 00:22:58,379 where the ESG believe can't be implemented through the process 447 00:22:58,379 --> 00:23:02,099 of, obviously, the pool funds that you've chosen. So when 448 00:23:02,099 --> 00:23:03,819 you think of how your goals are going to be 449 00:23:03,819 --> 00:23:06,819 structured, sometimes the tail does wag the dog back and 450 00:23:06,819 --> 00:23:08,676 that you'll have to make sure that if. You have 451 00:23:08,676 --> 00:23:11,676 a goal that it's likely implementable based on the size 452 00:23:11,676 --> 00:23:15,076 of your portfolio. Based on what's available to you, right? 453 00:23:15,076 --> 00:23:16,996 So a lot of what we have is you. Make 454 00:23:16,996 --> 00:23:19,676 goals smart. This is actually what we do for everybody 455 00:23:19,676 --> 00:23:21,716 in Eckler when they set their goals for the year 456 00:23:21,716 --> 00:23:24,676 in terms of performance management is try to use this 457 00:23:24,676 --> 00:23:30,170 right, which is specific, measurable, attainable, realistic. Time down. And 458 00:23:30,170 --> 00:23:31,610 really a good example. So an example we'd have for 459 00:23:31,610 --> 00:23:35,090 a portfolio would be achieve a ten year annualized gross 460 00:23:35,090 --> 00:23:37,850 rate return of 6% to sport, a real spending target 461 00:23:37,850 --> 00:23:40,570 of four while limiting capital impairment. So just give you 462 00:23:40,570 --> 00:23:43,777 an idea. So it's specific. That goal is giving you 463 00:23:43,777 --> 00:23:47,125 a pretty specific thing. It isn't. Just let's make some 464 00:23:47,125 --> 00:23:49,885 money. That would be pretty vague, right? This is giving 465 00:23:49,885 --> 00:23:52,245 a very specific goal that you're trying to do. It's 466 00:23:52,245 --> 00:23:54,925 measurable. Because you've given exactly what you're hoping to do 467 00:23:54,925 --> 00:23:58,565 and you can measure the amount of return you make 468 00:23:58,565 --> 00:24:03,188 attainable. That's probably a little harder to assess, but ultimately, 469 00:24:03,188 --> 00:24:06,108 are you willing to invest in asset classes that could 470 00:24:06,108 --> 00:24:08,428 get you that kind of return. So that would maybe 471 00:24:08,428 --> 00:24:12,628 be obtainable. Realistic. So. Realistic. I'll come back to time 472 00:24:12,628 --> 00:24:15,948 bound. It's obviously ten years. The realistic one. In the 473 00:24:15,948 --> 00:24:18,908 obtainable is the one most groups get probably thinking about 474 00:24:18,908 --> 00:24:22,741 is. Do we think that this is realistic for what 475 00:24:22,741 --> 00:24:25,261 we're willing to take on for risk? And again, the 476 00:24:25,261 --> 00:24:28,341 last bullet point. There is this goal that this group's 477 00:24:28,341 --> 00:24:30,821 and again, to be honest, it is a realistic goal 478 00:24:30,821 --> 00:24:33,701 that we would have somebody make. Satisfies most of those 479 00:24:33,701 --> 00:24:37,541 criteria, but may not be realistic depending on what happens 480 00:24:37,541 --> 00:24:39,261 in the first few years. So you can set a 481 00:24:39,261 --> 00:24:41,580 goal and it might be realistic in year. One. But 482 00:24:41,580 --> 00:24:44,820 by year three, it's not anymore. Again. Any example? You 483 00:24:44,820 --> 00:24:47,420 might not want any. Capital impairment. But what if you 484 00:24:47,420 --> 00:24:50,100 set this goal in 2019 and then you walk into 485 00:24:50,100 --> 00:24:52,260 the Covid environment, and you might have to sit there 486 00:24:52,260 --> 00:24:55,060 and go, wow. I think that goal now has become 487 00:24:55,060 --> 00:24:58,260 unrealistic for us to achieve based on what's happened in 488 00:24:58,260 --> 00:25:01,768 the market and you may have to reassess. Right. So 489 00:25:01,768 --> 00:25:05,408 the risk management framework that really you build around this 490 00:25:05,408 --> 00:25:08,688 process and your goals, typically when we go through it 491 00:25:08,688 --> 00:25:11,528 is try to identify the risks that are most significant. 492 00:25:13,011 --> 00:25:15,331 And greatest impact on you to achieve your goals. Call 493 00:25:15,331 --> 00:25:18,371 that like a risk ranking? Again, that's? Really that idea 494 00:25:18,371 --> 00:25:23,171 of capital impairment, liquidity risk. Can you take that? All 495 00:25:23,171 --> 00:25:27,491 of these ideas not making enough money. Inflation, obviously. If 496 00:25:27,491 --> 00:25:31,116 you're worried about maintaining spending in real terms, For most 497 00:25:31,116 --> 00:25:33,956 institutional investors in that second bullet point, you have to 498 00:25:33,956 --> 00:25:36,516 accept some level of investment risk. If you're going to 499 00:25:36,516 --> 00:25:39,796 support the goals of the portfolio. So most groups acknowledge 500 00:25:39,796 --> 00:25:42,036 at some level, we have to accept some amount of 501 00:25:42,036 --> 00:25:44,716 risk to invest. Right? Or else we're just. Holding cash. 502 00:25:45,918 --> 00:25:47,358 And again, that comes with a risk in and of 503 00:25:47,358 --> 00:25:51,591 itself. We're not even going to maintain spending at inflation 504 00:25:51,591 --> 00:25:54,391 levels if we're not willing to take at least some 505 00:25:54,391 --> 00:25:56,911 amount of return. Right? And then you decide on how 506 00:25:56,911 --> 00:25:59,791 to approach eat. Risk. So this is a pretty standard 507 00:25:59,791 --> 00:26:02,911 process in risk management is identify the risk. Obviously, you 508 00:26:02,911 --> 00:26:04,271 want to try to identify the risk that are out 509 00:26:04,271 --> 00:26:08,751 there. Sometimes. You can only identify or mitigate the risk 510 00:26:08,751 --> 00:26:10,751 you know about, right? There may be risk out. There 511 00:26:10,751 --> 00:26:13,551 that you just can't even think about and can't assess 512 00:26:13,551 --> 00:26:15,511 and there's. Not a lot you can do about that, 513 00:26:15,511 --> 00:26:18,151 but you identify it, you assess the risk and then 514 00:26:18,151 --> 00:26:20,551 you either assume the risk and monitor it or avoid 515 00:26:20,551 --> 00:26:23,031 it and mitigate it, which is really in the next 516 00:26:23,031 --> 00:26:26,791 piece, right? So risk realistically for most groups can be 517 00:26:26,791 --> 00:26:29,387 class. Classified as rewarded, so you're rewarded for the risk. 518 00:26:29,387 --> 00:26:32,027 You're unrewish. I'll give you an example. A rewarded risk 519 00:26:32,027 --> 00:26:35,747 could be like illiquidity risk, right? By investing in private 520 00:26:35,747 --> 00:26:37,467 markets. Right. So that's a risk you're not going to 521 00:26:37,467 --> 00:26:38,987 be able to get your money back quickly if you 522 00:26:38,987 --> 00:26:42,947 need it. But typically there's an illiquidity premium that's paid 523 00:26:42,947 --> 00:26:45,507 to you for investing in those asset classes. You accept 524 00:26:45,507 --> 00:26:49,167 that risk, and you're. Being rewarded for. You're being paid 525 00:26:49,167 --> 00:26:52,527 unrewarded. Risk could be like idiosyncratic. Risk in a stock, 526 00:26:52,527 --> 00:26:55,887 right? So you invest your entire canadian equity portfolio in 527 00:26:55,887 --> 00:27:00,228 RBC, right? That comes with a big risk. What if 528 00:27:00,228 --> 00:27:03,899 something happens to that one company? You're going to be. 529 00:27:04,847 --> 00:27:08,287 Very impacted by it. You could diversify across all the 530 00:27:08,287 --> 00:27:12,766 banks if you wanted to. So again, idiosyncratic or concentration 531 00:27:12,766 --> 00:27:16,246 risk typically is not rewarded because you can easily not 532 00:27:16,246 --> 00:27:19,286 have that risk and be diversified and not take it. 533 00:27:19,286 --> 00:27:22,686 So again, only risk that should be rewarded. Technically are 534 00:27:22,686 --> 00:27:24,766 the ones you want to take, the ones that are 535 00:27:24,766 --> 00:27:26,966 not rewarding you. You want to try to mitigate or 536 00:27:26,966 --> 00:27:29,966 remove. And again, you may want to hedge them. Right. 537 00:27:29,966 --> 00:27:32,354 So. Insure against the risk. So for a lot of 538 00:27:32,354 --> 00:27:35,945 groups, currency risk is one you can hedge. There is 539 00:27:35,945 --> 00:27:38,865 a risk to being a canadian investor and assuming other 540 00:27:38,865 --> 00:27:43,091 currencies, because, again, When you invest in Canada in an 541 00:27:43,091 --> 00:27:45,451 equity, what you get is the return of the equity 542 00:27:45,451 --> 00:27:47,331 that's what impacts your return. But if you invest in 543 00:27:47,331 --> 00:27:49,731 the United states, there's the return of the equity and 544 00:27:49,731 --> 00:27:51,611 the return of the US dollar to you as a 545 00:27:51,611 --> 00:27:54,851 Canadian, that now adds a different risk to it. So 546 00:27:54,851 --> 00:27:57,171 you can hedge that you can easily mitigate it or 547 00:27:57,171 --> 00:27:59,651 sometimes you can't hedge your risk, right? Something might be 548 00:27:59,651 --> 00:28:02,365 harder for you to hed. Hedge away and whether or 549 00:28:02,365 --> 00:28:05,965 not you should hedge it or unhedge it typically involves 550 00:28:05,965 --> 00:28:09,233 the risk. What are you getting for not hedging it? 551 00:28:09,233 --> 00:28:10,713 What's the return? You're going to get and how much 552 00:28:10,713 --> 00:28:12,913 is it going to cost you to hedge it? So, 553 00:28:12,913 --> 00:28:15,433 again, currency. Is a good example. Some groups currency heads, 554 00:28:15,433 --> 00:28:18,753 some groups don't because they view long term they just 555 00:28:18,753 --> 00:28:21,753 think that there's not enough there to justify the costs 556 00:28:21,753 --> 00:28:24,313 that are involved in maintaining the hedges, right? They think 557 00:28:24,313 --> 00:28:27,393 you're better off not paying that cost. And assuming that 558 00:28:27,393 --> 00:28:29,447 risk because they don't. Feel that the risk is material 559 00:28:29,447 --> 00:28:32,407 enough to wear it. And again, some risks are simply 560 00:28:32,407 --> 00:28:35,647 unforeseen or unavoidable, like we get political regulatory. Obviously, it's 561 00:28:35,647 --> 00:28:39,526 a very recent political one that's happened. Could you have 562 00:28:39,526 --> 00:28:42,006 hedged against that? It would be hard for you to 563 00:28:42,006 --> 00:28:44,806 assume how to hedge. Against that? What are the things 564 00:28:44,806 --> 00:28:47,966 you're going to hedge against that outcome? And so some 565 00:28:47,966 --> 00:28:50,949 things. You have to assume them, and you can't necessarily 566 00:28:50,949 --> 00:28:52,909 know what the risk or the outcome. Of that risk 567 00:28:52,909 --> 00:28:56,229 is ahead of time, right? So I think that's really 568 00:28:56,229 --> 00:28:59,749 the portfolio construction. Process. I don't see any questions to 569 00:28:59,749 --> 00:29:02,549 lay that out for you. That's really. About, I think, 570 00:29:02,549 --> 00:29:06,269 goal setting, trying to arrive at what's the purpose of 571 00:29:06,269 --> 00:29:09,589 the funds, why? Are you investing and then understanding that? 572 00:29:09,771 --> 00:29:12,451 When somebody's coming and showing you different portfolios that are 573 00:29:12,451 --> 00:29:16,051 trying to achieve the goals that you've outset. What are 574 00:29:16,051 --> 00:29:20,617 the inputs to that process? Obviously, the expected returns, variability, 575 00:29:20,617 --> 00:29:22,977 all those things you saw, and then the risk part 576 00:29:22,977 --> 00:29:26,377 of it, which is, how can different portfolios potentially help 577 00:29:26,377 --> 00:29:29,177 you mitigate some of those risks that you've. Had and 578 00:29:29,177 --> 00:29:31,857 understanding that some level of risk likely has to be 579 00:29:31,857 --> 00:29:36,387 taken to achieve a return. Right, or else. You're likely 580 00:29:36,387 --> 00:29:39,867 not going to invest. There for 1 second and see 581 00:29:39,867 --> 00:29:42,587 if there's any questions before we move on to implementation. 582 00:29:44,995 --> 00:29:53,413 Board member giles. Thank you, chair Hughes. Yeah. A few 583 00:29:53,413 --> 00:29:56,813 questions and or comments. So far, so good. Thanks, Kyle. 584 00:29:58,439 --> 00:30:01,279 We have to be careful about treating bonds and equities 585 00:30:01,279 --> 00:30:06,823 as monoliths. You can adjust. The risk profile of your 586 00:30:06,823 --> 00:30:11,648 bond portfolio. Quite a lot. And the correlations will change 587 00:30:11,648 --> 00:30:14,638 in your risk profile will change. And one thing you 588 00:30:14,638 --> 00:30:16,878 have to think about is what type of bond portfolio 589 00:30:16,878 --> 00:30:19,598 do you want to get the total risk for the 590 00:30:19,598 --> 00:30:23,595 portfolio that you're looking for. So if you have a 591 00:30:23,595 --> 00:30:26,555 bond portfolio with fairly low quality, like a lot of 592 00:30:26,555 --> 00:30:29,675 double b's, it's going to react a lot more like 593 00:30:29,675 --> 00:30:33,568 the equities do. The economic considerations will be more important. 594 00:30:35,097 --> 00:30:37,497 I would agree, Cole. I think for purposes of this, 595 00:30:37,497 --> 00:30:41,568 I think we've kind of just given. Again, 10,000 foot 596 00:30:41,568 --> 00:30:44,728 view of government bond and a canadian equity, but I 597 00:30:44,728 --> 00:30:48,528 agree 100%. Some bonds look more like equities, and how 598 00:30:48,528 --> 00:30:52,568 you define that, that probably gets into the implementation very 599 00:30:52,568 --> 00:30:54,728 tightly on. You got the strategy, how you're going to 600 00:30:54,728 --> 00:30:58,601 implement it. Yeah. There's a huge spectrum of strategies you 601 00:30:58,601 --> 00:31:02,618 could pick. I 100% agree. And the last comment you 602 00:31:02,618 --> 00:31:06,381 made about currency hedging? To me, it's not so much. 603 00:31:08,684 --> 00:31:12,644 Where the security trades, but what its underlying business is. 604 00:31:12,644 --> 00:31:16,523 So if you have a canadian listed company, But it 605 00:31:16,523 --> 00:31:21,040 does most of its business. In Chile, for example. You 606 00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:24,316 may have chile. And currency exposure, which is not easy 607 00:31:24,316 --> 00:31:28,516 to either know about or hedge. So hedging is not 608 00:31:28,516 --> 00:31:31,356 as easy as just looking at where the current the 609 00:31:31,356 --> 00:31:35,493 security trades and hedging that. Yeah, 100%. I think there's 610 00:31:35,493 --> 00:31:37,733 almost two ways to think about that. Yeah, you could. 611 00:31:37,733 --> 00:31:40,773 Invest in a business and it has exposure. So again, 612 00:31:40,773 --> 00:31:42,653 a lot of people, you could say, do you have 613 00:31:42,653 --> 00:31:46,253 emerging market securities in your portfolio, right? And you might 614 00:31:46,253 --> 00:31:49,453 say, oh, I only invested United. States. I don't. Arguably, 615 00:31:49,453 --> 00:31:51,413 there's a ton of companies in the United States that 616 00:31:51,413 --> 00:31:54,975 drive revenue from emerging markets. So you're getting. That exposure 617 00:31:54,975 --> 00:31:57,095 through those companies, I think for a lot of groups, 618 00:31:57,095 --> 00:31:59,735 and they think are currency, hedging I think it's more 619 00:31:59,735 --> 00:32:03,295 about what's the security denominated in. Because I think that 620 00:32:03,295 --> 00:32:06,523 carries. A very clear, like, canadian dollar to us that's 621 00:32:06,523 --> 00:32:09,243 traded every day, and it's posted. And to that point, 622 00:32:09,243 --> 00:32:11,163 you can know exactly what it is in hedge it. 623 00:32:13,174 --> 00:32:16,534 Exactly. You can't necessarily go to, like, for example, Michelin 624 00:32:16,534 --> 00:32:18,614 and try to hedge away. The fact that they're trying 625 00:32:18,614 --> 00:32:21,694 to drive more business in China by selling more tires 626 00:32:21,694 --> 00:32:23,934 and there's a risk to that. I will say the 627 00:32:23,934 --> 00:32:27,574 last piece is a lot of companies. Internally, maybe doing 628 00:32:27,574 --> 00:32:29,774 currency hedging on their own. So if you're Michelin and 629 00:32:29,774 --> 00:32:32,854 you're selling a bunch of contracts in China, you may 630 00:32:32,854 --> 00:32:35,043 already. Be trying to hedge out that currency risk inside 631 00:32:35,043 --> 00:32:38,323 of your own business, not necessarily thinking about what investors 632 00:32:38,323 --> 00:32:42,299 are doing when they buy your stock, right? It's probably 633 00:32:42,299 --> 00:32:44,099 a russian doll. You know what I mean? That you 634 00:32:44,099 --> 00:32:45,939 could open up and. There's like ten more that come 635 00:32:45,939 --> 00:32:50,193 out. Yeah. So all I'm trying to say is currency. 636 00:32:50,193 --> 00:32:53,643 How are you going to do complicated? We could have 637 00:32:53,643 --> 00:32:58,906 a two hour run on that easily. Okay, thanks. No, 638 00:32:58,906 --> 00:33:04,641 great points. Anything else? So if everyone's good, we can 639 00:33:04,641 --> 00:33:09,776 talk a little bit about the implementation. Think everyone's good. 640 00:33:09,776 --> 00:33:14,968 Yeah. No, thanks. We'll jump into that. Okay, you got 641 00:33:14,968 --> 00:33:17,648 your policy. You've designed these asset classes. You've gone through 642 00:33:17,648 --> 00:33:20,728 this. Risk budgeting. You're tired now. Again, how are you 643 00:33:20,728 --> 00:33:23,597 going to go and. Put it to youth. Right. So 644 00:33:23,597 --> 00:33:26,037 the idea of the investment policy is really the blueprint, 645 00:33:26,037 --> 00:33:28,917 right? Like you design a house, you're probably very much 646 00:33:28,917 --> 00:33:31,917 concerned about whether it's got five bathrooms or one kitchen 647 00:33:31,917 --> 00:33:34,357 or the rest. That's probably what you want to know. 648 00:33:34,357 --> 00:33:37,157 What? Color the floor is might be interesting to you, 649 00:33:37,157 --> 00:33:39,877 but probably less material. Right, but this is really. I 650 00:33:39,877 --> 00:33:41,957 think, kind of how you think about this a bit, 651 00:33:41,957 --> 00:33:44,688 the policy. Piece is really good. The portfolio construction is 652 00:33:44,688 --> 00:33:46,728 going to be whether you have gym sport where they 653 00:33:46,728 --> 00:33:48,728 have corporate bonds, high yield bonds, some of these other 654 00:33:48,728 --> 00:33:51,088 things, whether you have equities at all that's coming into 655 00:33:51,088 --> 00:33:54,789 the. Portfolio. The implementation now is how you're putting that 656 00:33:54,789 --> 00:33:57,709 plan into action. Right? So one of the first. Again, 657 00:33:57,709 --> 00:34:00,869 not that you wouldn't be concerned about it, but again, 658 00:34:00,869 --> 00:34:03,389 what tends to drive. The biggest risk profile of your 659 00:34:03,389 --> 00:34:06,829 portfolio is what asset classes you pick less so exactly 660 00:34:06,829 --> 00:34:09,709 who's implementing them. So one of the first things you 661 00:34:09,709 --> 00:34:12,876 typically look at is active or passive. Management, right? And 662 00:34:12,876 --> 00:34:15,156 we've shown you this year passive management with that little 663 00:34:15,156 --> 00:34:18,636 arrow there's going to be a narrow range of results. 664 00:34:18,636 --> 00:34:21,796 Active management is huge, right? So passive management is trying 665 00:34:21,796 --> 00:34:24,076 to replicate an index. So you can just buy the 666 00:34:24,076 --> 00:34:26,956 S and P TSX index and RBC. Will be the 667 00:34:26,956 --> 00:34:29,556 biggest holding you have, and everyone else is just based 668 00:34:29,556 --> 00:34:31,636 on what their weight is. In the index for most 669 00:34:31,636 --> 00:34:34,966 market weighted inde. Indexes. If you go to active management, 670 00:34:34,966 --> 00:34:38,526 you now hired someone that says, listen, I think I 671 00:34:38,526 --> 00:34:42,246 can outperform the market. Let me outperform it for you. 672 00:34:42,246 --> 00:34:45,326 There's going to be a fee to that. Typically, active 673 00:34:45,326 --> 00:34:48,726 management costs more than passive because passive is very easy. 674 00:34:48,726 --> 00:34:52,806 To implement active management requires more effort. Right? So the 675 00:34:52,806 --> 00:34:56,349 buy. And sell decisions. Passive management is constantly trading just 676 00:34:56,349 --> 00:34:59,828 to match the index. There's no forethought to trying to 677 00:34:59,828 --> 00:35:04,588 do it. Asterisks is a lot of fixed income. Passive 678 00:35:04,588 --> 00:35:08,061 management does require a little more. Decision making because you 679 00:35:08,061 --> 00:35:10,861 can't perfectly replicate a bond index the way you can 680 00:35:10,861 --> 00:35:14,581 an equity. Index. But that's another point. Active Management now 681 00:35:14,581 --> 00:35:17,181 is about the investment manager having the decision. On what 682 00:35:17,181 --> 00:35:19,541 to buy and sell and how to wait again, there's 683 00:35:19,541 --> 00:35:24,907 multiple approaches at the bottom right, like fundamental. The Warren 684 00:35:24,907 --> 00:35:27,963 Buffett approach of trying to determine. Do I think this 685 00:35:27,963 --> 00:35:30,163 company is going to make money? What are their suppliers 686 00:35:30,163 --> 00:35:32,483 saying? Do I think they know something about this business 687 00:35:32,483 --> 00:35:37,156 that other people don't. Quantitative is usually more driven. On. 688 00:35:38,068 --> 00:35:41,508 You have statistical models now analyzing the price of stocks 689 00:35:41,508 --> 00:35:43,668 and the trading of them and the behavior and trying 690 00:35:43,668 --> 00:35:48,028 to make decisions based on that. Right. So equity style, 691 00:35:48,028 --> 00:35:50,348 so quickly, just a few things. You'll see in your 692 00:35:50,348 --> 00:35:53,994 life when you're looking at the implementation. There's 100 ways 693 00:35:53,994 --> 00:35:57,409 to skin a cat in the investment industry. There's many 694 00:35:57,409 --> 00:35:59,649 ways. The first one being value managers are a big 695 00:35:59,649 --> 00:36:01,809 one that have existed. For a long time. That's the 696 00:36:01,809 --> 00:36:05,369 idea that you're looking to buy stocks at bargains realistically. 697 00:36:05,369 --> 00:36:08,289 So stock trading below its fair price right has the 698 00:36:08,289 --> 00:36:12,049 market miscalculated. The value of this stock. So typically, these 699 00:36:12,049 --> 00:36:15,209 managers look for low price to earnings ratios, low price 700 00:36:15,209 --> 00:36:18,640 to book ratios. They're really concerned about the valuation of 701 00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:22,240 the stock relative to the merits of the business. Right. 702 00:36:22,240 --> 00:36:24,200 Growth managers are at the other end of the spectrum. 703 00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,040 They tend to care less about those Matt tricks what 704 00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:29,280 they're really concerned about. So if you invest in a 705 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,240 company like Apple, Apple can have at times, like, pe 706 00:36:32,240 --> 00:36:35,680 ratios of, like, 80, which would be like. That basically 707 00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:37,731 means what you're paying for the stock. Would take you 708 00:36:37,731 --> 00:36:40,651 80 years to get your money back. Based on current 709 00:36:40,651 --> 00:36:43,371 price to earnings, how much? The stocks worth based on 710 00:36:43,371 --> 00:36:45,971 what you're paying on it. So in that scenario, that 711 00:36:45,971 --> 00:36:48,611 manager is less concerned about today, but very much focused 712 00:36:48,611 --> 00:36:51,611 on what is this company doing into the future. And 713 00:36:51,611 --> 00:36:54,771 they're going to increase revenue and increase growth at kind 714 00:36:54,771 --> 00:36:57,846 of exponential levels, potentially. That will pay you. For that 715 00:36:57,846 --> 00:37:00,686 investment back. A growth manager and a value manager not 716 00:37:00,686 --> 00:37:02,606 going to agree with each other. On what is the 717 00:37:02,606 --> 00:37:04,846 right way to run a portfolio, and they likely will 718 00:37:04,846 --> 00:37:07,366 not hold the same. Stocks and a core or a 719 00:37:07,366 --> 00:37:10,246 blended portfolio could be mixture of both. And what we 720 00:37:10,246 --> 00:37:12,086 say on the second one is. It's usually not that 721 00:37:12,086 --> 00:37:15,006 clear cut. There's a lot of growth managers that do 722 00:37:15,006 --> 00:37:18,391 things that are called growth, quality growth, where they're. Saying, 723 00:37:18,391 --> 00:37:20,511 okay, I'm a growth manager, but I'm not going to 724 00:37:20,511 --> 00:37:23,071 outpay. For what I'm buying. I'm still very much focused 725 00:37:23,071 --> 00:37:26,191 on some of these fundamental metrics. You can have value 726 00:37:26,191 --> 00:37:29,191 investors that tend to be deep, deep value. And now 727 00:37:29,191 --> 00:37:31,391 you're. Looking at like they're going to be very volatile. 728 00:37:31,391 --> 00:37:33,271 They might look more like a growth manager in terms 729 00:37:33,271 --> 00:37:35,911 of the return profile, but they're focused on different kinds 730 00:37:35,911 --> 00:37:39,565 of companies. All right, so. Capitalization approach at the bottom. 731 00:37:41,374 --> 00:37:44,898 Again. Classifications can be different here. 's kind of view 732 00:37:44,898 --> 00:37:48,768 of it, I guess. So company capitalization is really, again, 733 00:37:48,768 --> 00:37:51,288 is there share price by number of shares outstanding? Right? 734 00:37:51,288 --> 00:37:54,528 So. Some managers are small cap managers. They're focused on 735 00:37:54,528 --> 00:37:58,248 smaller companies in the index. Their view is that small 736 00:37:58,248 --> 00:38:02,128 companies are less researched and tend to be areas where 737 00:38:02,128 --> 00:38:04,608 you can add value because the market is not covering 738 00:38:04,608 --> 00:38:06,986 them as well. If you think of a company. Like 739 00:38:06,986 --> 00:38:11,346 again, Microsoft. There are thousands of analysts looking at Microsoft 740 00:38:11,346 --> 00:38:12,906 and trying to come up with what's the fair value 741 00:38:12,906 --> 00:38:14,946 of Microsoft. Do you think you're going to figure out 742 00:38:14,946 --> 00:38:17,426 something that everyone else hasn't. But again, if you're a 743 00:38:17,426 --> 00:38:20,266 very small company, right, and. You have one or two 744 00:38:20,266 --> 00:38:23,506 bank analysts following you. There might be something getting missed 745 00:38:23,506 --> 00:38:26,346 at investment manager. Can pick up, right? So small cap 746 00:38:26,346 --> 00:38:28,553 mid. Cap. Now you're coming up, you're a bit bigger 747 00:38:28,553 --> 00:38:31,713 and then into large cap. Companies. And there's also mega 748 00:38:31,713 --> 00:38:36,021 cap today, so some companies. That can really, once talk 749 00:38:36,021 --> 00:38:38,901 alone, can move the index based on its performance, based 750 00:38:38,901 --> 00:38:42,341 on how big it gets right. So one thing that 751 00:38:42,341 --> 00:38:45,541 you'll often see when you look at different strategies again, 752 00:38:45,541 --> 00:38:48,181 correlation. So even though you've talked about correlation of different 753 00:38:48,181 --> 00:38:51,021 asset classes, you can see correlation of different investment managers, 754 00:38:51,021 --> 00:38:52,981 different strategies. And what we've done here is you can 755 00:38:52,981 --> 00:38:55,351 have two investment managers say a value. And a growth 756 00:38:55,351 --> 00:38:57,911 manager in the same portfolio, and they're going to be 757 00:38:57,911 --> 00:39:00,391 going up and down at different times. Right. But what 758 00:39:00,391 --> 00:39:03,191 you can potentially try to create for yourself is that 759 00:39:03,191 --> 00:39:06,351 middle line, which is if you utilize more than one 760 00:39:06,351 --> 00:39:09,471 strategy, you can sometimes create a portfolio that actually is 761 00:39:09,471 --> 00:39:11,631 better than the sum of its parts. Right? So these 762 00:39:11,631 --> 00:39:14,071 two managers offset each other, and we'll give you some 763 00:39:14,071 --> 00:39:17,528 diversification. And when favors fall in or, sorry, when different 764 00:39:17,528 --> 00:39:19,328 equity styles fall in and out of favor of the 765 00:39:19,328 --> 00:39:23,288 market. There's many times value investing has been a hard 766 00:39:23,288 --> 00:39:26,648 place to be over the last five plus years, the 767 00:39:26,648 --> 00:39:30,155 growth managers have won. The kind of contest lately when 768 00:39:30,155 --> 00:39:33,155 you look at the US market especially, right? So the 769 00:39:33,155 --> 00:39:35,795 kind of stocks, tech stocks, these other stocks that value 770 00:39:35,795 --> 00:39:38,395 managers don't like. You might have value managers out there 771 00:39:38,395 --> 00:39:41,754 today that are just. They're pretty depressed, right? They're going 772 00:39:41,754 --> 00:39:44,314 to their client meetings, and the numbers are. All red 773 00:39:44,314 --> 00:39:46,194 and they're saying, listen, I bet you it's going to 774 00:39:46,194 --> 00:39:49,474 turn right. And it could. And if it does turn, 775 00:39:49,474 --> 00:39:51,274 they're all going to shoot to the top. Right. And 776 00:39:51,274 --> 00:39:53,594 the growth managers will crash. Right. And this is the 777 00:39:53,594 --> 00:39:56,394 thing, they both have views the value manager, a growth 778 00:39:56,394 --> 00:39:59,594 manager. It can be hard to determine who's right and 779 00:39:59,594 --> 00:40:02,748 who can see what's going to happen. Potentially, by diversifying 780 00:40:02,748 --> 00:40:05,548 across them, you can kind of get yourself some obviously 781 00:40:05,548 --> 00:40:07,868 offsetting styles and that's what. Again, we have a lot 782 00:40:07,868 --> 00:40:11,188 of clients that utilize this approach and equities. Sometimes in 783 00:40:11,188 --> 00:40:13,948 other asset classes like bonds, you may see less ability 784 00:40:13,948 --> 00:40:16,868 for managers to create these kind of profiles, but we 785 00:40:16,868 --> 00:40:19,228 won't get into that. So one of the things we 786 00:40:19,228 --> 00:40:21,491 got asked a little bit about last time. Was a 787 00:40:21,491 --> 00:40:24,171 bit about funds and how should boards look at different 788 00:40:24,171 --> 00:40:26,731 things. So we just wanted to. Really kind of recap 789 00:40:26,731 --> 00:40:29,371 a little bit in a few minutes. There's different ways 790 00:40:29,371 --> 00:40:32,891 you can approach implementing a portfolio. Right. One of the 791 00:40:32,891 --> 00:40:35,811 ways that a lot that you can do is called 792 00:40:35,811 --> 00:40:39,886 again. And the pop bullet point there. Following decisions related 793 00:40:39,886 --> 00:40:42,686 to active management and equity style. Those are typically the 794 00:40:42,686 --> 00:40:45,926 first ones you might make usually. Then you might talk 795 00:40:45,926 --> 00:40:49,126 about segregated or funds. So a segregated account or fund 796 00:40:49,126 --> 00:40:51,246 about how you want to set up the investment or 797 00:40:51,246 --> 00:40:54,488 the strategy. Both approaches here have pros and cons, which 798 00:40:54,488 --> 00:40:58,048 we'll talk about. Segregated accounts were typically years ago, really 799 00:40:58,048 --> 00:41:01,088 what most people had, that was actually the standard, a 800 00:41:01,088 --> 00:41:05,027 segregated account is where you have a custodian? And you 801 00:41:05,027 --> 00:41:07,987 own the securities directly. So if you have a canadian 802 00:41:07,987 --> 00:41:11,627 equity manager, you own every single security in your portfolio. 803 00:41:11,627 --> 00:41:14,387 And what happens is the manager has authority to trade 804 00:41:14,387 --> 00:41:17,547 in your portfolio, so. Basically, they're making the calls of 805 00:41:17,547 --> 00:41:20,667 what to buy and sell. But you hold those securities. 806 00:41:20,667 --> 00:41:24,427 Directly. Right. They're in your name. The segregated accounts can. 807 00:41:24,993 --> 00:41:27,353 Have some advantages, so they can allow you to customize 808 00:41:27,353 --> 00:41:30,233 the strategy to yourself. So if you told the manager. 809 00:41:30,233 --> 00:41:33,233 Listen, I don't want you to buy this one stock 810 00:41:33,233 --> 00:41:36,113 again. This can sometimes happen in the corporate world where 811 00:41:36,113 --> 00:41:37,873 you go. Listen, I don't want you buying any. Of 812 00:41:37,873 --> 00:41:41,273 my competitors inside of this portfolio, they can say, okay, 813 00:41:41,273 --> 00:41:43,313 I won't buy that one. Stock for you. We'll take 814 00:41:43,313 --> 00:41:45,607 it out because all the. Securities are in your name 815 00:41:45,607 --> 00:41:48,487 and they're trading in the portfolio, and you can potentially 816 00:41:48,487 --> 00:41:51,447 make securities lending income. So a lot of portfolios on 817 00:41:51,447 --> 00:41:55,567 the segregated side will lend out securities, right? For securities 818 00:41:55,567 --> 00:41:58,887 lending to managers that engage in that, you can make 819 00:41:58,887 --> 00:42:03,007 some money beyond just holding your securities. Right. The segregated 820 00:42:03,007 --> 00:42:06,455 account structures can be difficult sometimes. To implement depending on 821 00:42:06,455 --> 00:42:10,095 how much money you have and the market. Canadian equities 822 00:42:10,095 --> 00:42:15,068 simpler if you want a segregated emerging market portfolio? Your 823 00:42:15,068 --> 00:42:17,548 custodian has to open markets in all of these different 824 00:42:17,548 --> 00:42:20,668 parts of the world that are maybe more difficult to 825 00:42:20,668 --> 00:42:23,028 do, and it could be cumbersome for you to be 826 00:42:23,028 --> 00:42:25,068 able to implement it that way. So depending on the 827 00:42:25,068 --> 00:42:28,102 strategy, how big you are, A lot of investment managers 828 00:42:28,102 --> 00:42:30,862 tend to would rather have you go into their fund, 829 00:42:30,862 --> 00:42:32,982 which is the last one at the bottom. So the 830 00:42:32,982 --> 00:42:35,302 industry has moved a lot towards investment manager will make 831 00:42:35,302 --> 00:42:38,022 their own pooled fund or a mutual fund. Same idea. 832 00:42:39,369 --> 00:42:42,849 Where basically they are managing the strategy, and every investor 833 00:42:42,849 --> 00:42:45,889 buys units of the funds. So instead of owning the 834 00:42:45,889 --> 00:42:48,489 physical securities. You own units of a fund that owns 835 00:42:48,489 --> 00:42:51,729 the physical securities. It's like inception. Right. How many levels 836 00:42:51,729 --> 00:42:54,129 down? Right. Do you go before you own the thing? 837 00:42:54,129 --> 00:42:55,929 A lot. Of the pool funds that you see today 838 00:42:55,929 --> 00:42:59,249 can provide flexibility around having a custodian. You may not. 839 00:42:59,704 --> 00:43:02,024 Necessarily need a custodian. You need a custodian for a 840 00:43:02,024 --> 00:43:04,624 segregated account? You don't. Necessarily need that for a pool 841 00:43:04,624 --> 00:43:07,904 fund and can potentially reduce fees depending on the manager. 842 00:43:07,904 --> 00:43:10,344 Scale. Sometimes investment manager will charge you less on a 843 00:43:10,344 --> 00:43:13,905 pool fund than they will on a segregated account. And 844 00:43:13,905 --> 00:43:16,625 again, pool funds, they'll reduce your ability to have client 845 00:43:16,625 --> 00:43:19,465 specific constraints. So in that example, where you might not 846 00:43:19,465 --> 00:43:22,305 want to own your competitor pool fund won't allow it 847 00:43:22,305 --> 00:43:25,545 because. They can't make one decision for you that affects 848 00:43:25,545 --> 00:43:28,105 everyone else in the pool fund. The pool fund has 849 00:43:28,105 --> 00:43:30,705 its own investment policy. And you're going in on that 850 00:43:30,705 --> 00:43:34,260 policy, right? That's the way it runs. And then typically, 851 00:43:34,260 --> 00:43:37,540 trading costs and securities lending are spread across the whole 852 00:43:37,540 --> 00:43:42,300 pool, so everyone is paying together for trading. Everyone's receiving 853 00:43:42,300 --> 00:43:46,024 their share of the securities lending and again. There is 854 00:43:46,024 --> 00:43:47,624 sometimes pool funds can have additional, well, they do it. 855 00:43:47,624 --> 00:43:50,464 They have additional operating costs that may or may not 856 00:43:50,464 --> 00:43:52,544 be less than what you would pay on your own 857 00:43:52,544 --> 00:43:56,493 if you had a segregated account. We can't necessarily say 858 00:43:56,493 --> 00:43:59,133 exactly. It depends on the size of the manager, size 859 00:43:59,133 --> 00:44:01,773 of your. Portfolio and who the manager is, right? So 860 00:44:01,773 --> 00:44:05,693 that's really fundamentally kind of two approaches, right? And when 861 00:44:05,693 --> 00:44:08,413 you move over to the, that's really public markets, when 862 00:44:08,413 --> 00:44:11,533 you over the private markets. You would have to be 863 00:44:11,533 --> 00:44:14,213 very large to have a private market manager, like an 864 00:44:14,213 --> 00:44:17,916 infrastructure manager. Make you a segregated portfolio, because in this 865 00:44:17,916 --> 00:44:20,676 case, you can think they're not just putting the securities 866 00:44:20,676 --> 00:44:23,076 in your portfolio, they're buying you a bridge or a 867 00:44:23,076 --> 00:44:26,716 hospital, and they're putting it in your portfolio. Right. So 868 00:44:26,716 --> 00:44:30,436 segregated accounts on the private side really exist only at 869 00:44:30,436 --> 00:44:33,756 the mega end of the spectrum again. There's asterisks to 870 00:44:33,756 --> 00:44:36,304 that. You could potentially have kind of. Co investments with 871 00:44:36,304 --> 00:44:39,504 some managers, that would look like a segregated portfolio. But 872 00:44:39,504 --> 00:44:44,534 in general. Most investors on the institutional side exist in 873 00:44:44,534 --> 00:44:47,614 the private market through fund investment, so the manager has 874 00:44:47,614 --> 00:44:50,534 a fund has created it for you. And there's two 875 00:44:50,534 --> 00:44:54,454 main structures there's open ended and closed ended. Right. Open 876 00:44:54,454 --> 00:44:57,574 ended funds are evergreen exist forever. Right. And so the 877 00:44:57,574 --> 00:45:00,494 idea is you buy into a fund, you get ownership 878 00:45:00,494 --> 00:45:03,086 of all the assets that are already. In the fund, 879 00:45:03,086 --> 00:45:08,119 but again, typically very much on the valuation. Last meeting. 880 00:45:08,119 --> 00:45:11,079 There's talk about appraisal policies and the like. That is 881 00:45:11,079 --> 00:45:13,679 a factor. In these funds because how the assets are 882 00:45:13,679 --> 00:45:15,599 being appraised is how you're going. To move in and 883 00:45:15,599 --> 00:45:17,479 out of the fund. So an open ended fund offers 884 00:45:17,479 --> 00:45:21,199 you liquidity, but is getting that acquittal off of appraised 885 00:45:21,199 --> 00:45:23,999 values. Right? So close ended funds are the other side, 886 00:45:23,999 --> 00:45:26,839 where you have an investment manager that goes to market 887 00:45:26,839 --> 00:45:30,198 fundraises. For a strategy. And then once they put, it's 888 00:45:30,198 --> 00:45:32,438 like an auction. They put up their hand for last 889 00:45:32,438 --> 00:45:35,558 calls. You can commit, and after that it's over. They 890 00:45:35,558 --> 00:45:38,998 go and implement. The strategy. Nobody leaves or comes until 891 00:45:38,998 --> 00:45:41,198 the fund winds up at the end and it's. Fulfilled 892 00:45:41,198 --> 00:45:45,518 its investment strategy. More restrictive for redemptions you can't redeem. 893 00:45:45,518 --> 00:45:47,438 You can try. To sell your interest in the second. 894 00:45:47,252 --> 00:45:50,802 Secondary market. But again, that can be difficult. You can 895 00:45:50,802 --> 00:45:54,042 imagine. Try selling your car on Kojigi. Right? Somebody comes 896 00:45:54,042 --> 00:45:56,474 in. It looks like you drove it into a tree 897 00:45:56,474 --> 00:45:59,434 one day. Right? Imagine when you're looking. At an infrastructure 898 00:45:59,434 --> 00:46:01,754 fund and trying to sell that to someone. Right. It 899 00:46:01,754 --> 00:46:04,074 comes more difficult as you can imagine to do those 900 00:46:04,074 --> 00:46:07,234 kind of transactions. So again, what happens in the private 901 00:46:07,234 --> 00:46:09,234 space can be a little bit different than what's available 902 00:46:09,234 --> 00:46:11,434 in the traditional, and we want to drive us back 903 00:46:11,434 --> 00:46:14,154 to what's the focus for most boards, right? And I 904 00:46:14,154 --> 00:46:17,080 would say the decisions made. At the investment policy level. 905 00:46:18,195 --> 00:46:21,835 That idea of portfolio construction. They're typically the largest focus 906 00:46:21,835 --> 00:46:24,275 for most boards because they have the largest impact on 907 00:46:24,275 --> 00:46:27,075 the risk and return. The expected results of the portfolio 908 00:46:27,075 --> 00:46:29,435 are really going to be driven by the decisions you 909 00:46:29,435 --> 00:46:32,613 make at the policy level. So the second one. It's 910 00:46:32,613 --> 00:46:35,213 important to understand what you've invested in from a strategy 911 00:46:35,213 --> 00:46:38,773 perspective, but typically where if you utilize an ocio, you've 912 00:46:38,773 --> 00:46:42,973 delegated the implementation. To this third party. So again, there's 913 00:46:42,973 --> 00:46:45,493 a cost to delegation, right? You've hired. Them to do 914 00:46:45,493 --> 00:46:47,253 this for you if you've hired someone to do it. 915 00:46:47,253 --> 00:46:50,594 And then again, you hire. Somebody to come in and 916 00:46:50,594 --> 00:46:53,434 renovate your house, a general contractor. And then you're constantly 917 00:46:53,434 --> 00:46:55,994 over a shoulder. Ask them every decision he's making. You 918 00:46:55,994 --> 00:46:57,794 might not be getting the value. What you've hired this 919 00:46:57,794 --> 00:46:59,954 professional to go out and do, right? So the idea 920 00:46:59,954 --> 00:47:03,314 is most boards, especially in an ocio structure, are focused 921 00:47:03,314 --> 00:47:06,994 on the policy. But again, you want to see reporting 922 00:47:06,994 --> 00:47:10,228 on the strategies you're in, but there has to. Be 923 00:47:10,228 --> 00:47:13,228 a position of the implementation is being delegated and we're 924 00:47:13,228 --> 00:47:16,908 retaining these policy decisions. Right again because most boards can 925 00:47:16,908 --> 00:47:20,148 commit the time required to review all aspects at the 926 00:47:20,148 --> 00:47:23,428 implementation stage. There's a lot of work at the implementation 927 00:47:23,428 --> 00:47:26,252 stage that you have to consider. You may not have 928 00:47:26,252 --> 00:47:30,621 your fiduciary duty. Maybe better spent in other areas. If 929 00:47:30,621 --> 00:47:33,261 you're kind of taking effort that could be spent in 930 00:47:33,261 --> 00:47:35,501 areas where you can drive. More value because you're getting 931 00:47:35,501 --> 00:47:38,221 into the weeds. In some spots, you might determine is 932 00:47:38,221 --> 00:47:41,381 this the best outcome for us. Right? And then ongoing 933 00:47:41,381 --> 00:47:43,741 monitoring and strong governance is really what you try. To 934 00:47:43,741 --> 00:47:46,101 do. You try to have a feedback loop where obviously 935 00:47:46,101 --> 00:47:48,421 you're dictating or. Delegating to someone, they're giving you the 936 00:47:48,421 --> 00:47:52,254 reporting you need to determine. That you're satisfied that the 937 00:47:52,254 --> 00:47:56,494 implementation, that the policies being carried out. As you wanted 938 00:47:56,494 --> 00:47:58,294 to. Right? So I know we've got about another ten 939 00:47:58,294 --> 00:48:00,414 minutes for the. Last section, hopefully a little bit quicker. 940 00:48:00,414 --> 00:48:02,734 This is really the oversight and the monitoring that we 941 00:48:02,734 --> 00:48:04,294 can touch on. So I don't know if there's any 942 00:48:04,294 --> 00:48:07,014 questions through the implementation, but. This one's going to look 943 00:48:07,014 --> 00:48:10,280 a little bit about the results. Not seeing any questions. 944 00:48:15,953 --> 00:48:17,633 So keep going. So that's a mari. So, monitoring function. 945 00:48:17,633 --> 00:48:19,433 This is that feedback loop, right? I think on the 946 00:48:19,433 --> 00:48:21,393 first day, we showed you, like, a recycling sign, right? 947 00:48:21,393 --> 00:48:24,593 Like, policy implementation, monitoring. So monitoring is trying to assess 948 00:48:24,593 --> 00:48:27,433 those other two areas. Right. So an institutional and monitoring 949 00:48:27,433 --> 00:48:31,033 function in most institutional portfolios, typically monthly to quarterly. Right. 950 00:48:31,033 --> 00:48:34,313 You're getting reports sent to you on performance assets. Here's 951 00:48:34,313 --> 00:48:37,625 what's happening. All right. And then more and more probably 952 00:48:37,625 --> 00:48:41,625 in depth policy reviews are being conducted more annually, right? 953 00:48:41,625 --> 00:48:43,625 So there's kind of an annual function for most groups, 954 00:48:43,625 --> 00:48:47,385 and then quarterly or monthly, frequently. Reporting. Again, performance reporting 955 00:48:47,385 --> 00:48:49,745 should link back to the investment policy. Right. And the 956 00:48:49,745 --> 00:48:51,625 metrics benchmark set up by the board. So if you 957 00:48:51,625 --> 00:48:53,985 have the objective, if you put objectives in the policy, 958 00:48:53,985 --> 00:48:55,665 that says over the next five years, we want to 959 00:48:55,665 --> 00:48:58,890 earn. 6%. Well, the monitoring should probably be incorporating. Well, 960 00:48:58,890 --> 00:49:00,770 what has been the five year return is it meeting 961 00:49:00,770 --> 00:49:03,890 that objective. Right. So we talk about both absolute and 962 00:49:03,890 --> 00:49:07,410 relative performance assessments. So how is an invested again. If 963 00:49:07,410 --> 00:49:10,650 you're a value manager, you're underperforming the benchmark. But how 964 00:49:10,650 --> 00:49:12,930 do you look like next to other value managers? Are 965 00:49:12,930 --> 00:49:15,010 you the best? Are you the best of the worst, 966 00:49:15,010 --> 00:49:17,305 right? So those. Are things you want to see. A 967 00:49:17,305 --> 00:49:20,305 relative assessment can give you some barometer to what a 968 00:49:20,305 --> 00:49:23,145 strategy is doing right, and then qualitative assessment, we would 969 00:49:23,145 --> 00:49:26,105 say, is crucial, if not more. Important than the quantitative, 970 00:49:26,105 --> 00:49:28,105 right? So the numbers are one thing, but what's happening? 971 00:49:29,481 --> 00:49:31,980 Obviously. At the investment firms or the OCI managers that 972 00:49:31,980 --> 00:49:34,580 you've employed. Those are factors you would want to know. 973 00:49:34,580 --> 00:49:37,780 Right? Firm changes. So one of the things straight from 974 00:49:37,780 --> 00:49:39,900 the c, if anyone's a CFA Turner. Holder has gone 975 00:49:39,900 --> 00:49:42,020 through this. They made you learn this. This is basically 976 00:49:42,020 --> 00:49:44,900 how you set a good benchmark. There's this acronym, Samurai, 977 00:49:44,900 --> 00:49:47,540 right? So specified in advance. If you're going to have 978 00:49:47,540 --> 00:49:49,820 a benchmark, that investment manager is going to be accountable. 979 00:49:49,820 --> 00:49:53,943 To. Should be specified in advance. Should be appropriate. Right. 980 00:49:53,943 --> 00:49:56,749 So you should know about it. Again. Shouldn't benchmark an 981 00:49:56,749 --> 00:49:59,029 equity manager to a bond index that doesn't make a 982 00:49:59,029 --> 00:50:02,149 lot of sense, measurable. Should be able to actually calculate 983 00:50:02,149 --> 00:50:05,749 it, right? Unambiguous. It should be clear what securities are 984 00:50:05,749 --> 00:50:09,775 in it. The relative of current market opinions means. You 985 00:50:09,775 --> 00:50:12,015 shouldn't have kind of obscure securities in it that no 986 00:50:12,015 --> 00:50:14,535 one can form an opinion. On because there's no information 987 00:50:14,535 --> 00:50:18,015 available. Accountable. The manager will take ownership of it and 988 00:50:18,015 --> 00:50:20,815 investable. Should be able to recreate it or invest in 989 00:50:20,815 --> 00:50:23,535 the benchmark. If you didn't. Want to be active. Not 990 00:50:23,535 --> 00:50:26,295 all benchmarks meet all of these, right? So if you're. 991 00:50:26,295 --> 00:50:28,015 A real estate manager and you say I'm going to 992 00:50:28,015 --> 00:50:32,981 benchmark myself. To cpi plus four. Yeah. That might be 993 00:50:32,981 --> 00:50:36,261 somewhat specified in advance might be accountable, but it's not 994 00:50:36,261 --> 00:50:38,581 investable. You can't invest in it. So there's always going 995 00:50:38,581 --> 00:50:40,221 to be areas where you have to give and take 996 00:50:40,221 --> 00:50:43,981 on making a benchmark, but these are technically the concepts 997 00:50:43,981 --> 00:50:45,621 you should be. Trying to look at when you put 998 00:50:45,621 --> 00:50:48,061 one in place. Right. So we've given you a modern 999 00:50:48,061 --> 00:50:50,981 example. This is this example client, right? So you get 1000 00:50:50,981 --> 00:50:54,284 results, right? June 30. So this portfolio you can see 1001 00:50:54,284 --> 00:50:58,164 made 1.67% in the quarter, and it underperformed its benchmark 1002 00:50:58,164 --> 00:51:01,524 by 00:15 so this report you'd hopefully want to see 1003 00:51:01,524 --> 00:51:03,924 well, what were the areas that underperformed in the benchmark? 1004 00:51:03,924 --> 00:51:05,964 But over the five years this client might have had 1005 00:51:05,964 --> 00:51:09,004 a goal of make 6%. Hey, we've exceeded that. We 1006 00:51:09,004 --> 00:51:11,804 made eight, but also we beat our benchmark by the 1007 00:51:11,804 --> 00:51:15,656 full percent over. Five years. There's also a relative percentile 1008 00:51:15,656 --> 00:51:18,736 ranking at the top. So this is comparing the portfolio 1009 00:51:18,736 --> 00:51:21,856 to other similar portfolios. So again, maybe you made eight, 1010 00:51:21,856 --> 00:51:24,496 but everyone else made twelve. Maybe the eight doesn't look 1011 00:51:24,496 --> 00:51:27,776 so good anymore. Right. So what's the relative performance? To 1012 00:51:27,776 --> 00:51:30,656 other similar funds. And then we also look at the 1013 00:51:30,656 --> 00:51:32,616 risk on the far right. So what did you take? 1014 00:51:33,368 --> 00:51:35,848 To get this right. So there's an information ratio for 1015 00:51:35,848 --> 00:51:38,408 everyone familiar? That's kind of your unit of return for 1016 00:51:38,408 --> 00:51:41,248 your risk. Then use your capture ratios. A lot of 1017 00:51:41,248 --> 00:51:44,288 clients we have focus on how does the portfolio perform 1018 00:51:44,288 --> 00:51:46,248 when the market's up? How does it perform? When the 1019 00:51:46,248 --> 00:51:49,448 market's down. So this specific fund, every time the market 1020 00:51:49,448 --> 00:51:52,528 goes up, there's. 112 there on the up market. Capture 1021 00:51:52,528 --> 00:51:53,917 if you look to the right. That means if the 1022 00:51:53,917 --> 00:51:58,798 mark goes up ten, they go up, basically. Another 12% 1023 00:51:58,798 --> 00:52:02,158 above that, the market falls, or capturing 107% of all 1024 00:52:02,158 --> 00:52:04,078 the markets. So they're doing worse than the market when 1025 00:52:04,078 --> 00:52:06,758 it's down, but they're exceeding by a higher merch and 1026 00:52:06,758 --> 00:52:10,278 when it stops. So technically, that relationship has helped them. 1027 00:52:10,278 --> 00:52:13,478 They've more than compensated for the losses they've had on 1028 00:52:13,478 --> 00:52:16,718 down markets through the performance and up markets, right? There's 1029 00:52:16,718 --> 00:52:19,750 a lot of. Statistics that you can get generated on 1030 00:52:19,750 --> 00:52:23,070 a portfolio. These are just a sampling, but these are 1031 00:52:23,070 --> 00:52:24,670 some of the ones that we find most groups are 1032 00:52:24,670 --> 00:52:28,750 somewhat interested in. Right. Relative risk and then absolute next 1033 00:52:28,750 --> 00:52:32,550 to your benchmark, but all of that is timepoint sensitive. 1034 00:52:32,550 --> 00:52:34,070 That was all at one date. That was at the 1035 00:52:34,070 --> 00:52:38,273 second quarter. The same portfolio, you can look at trend 1036 00:52:38,273 --> 00:52:40,873 analysis over time. So this is every core? These are. 1037 00:52:40,873 --> 00:52:43,953 Five year returns on a quarterly basis going down. So 1038 00:52:43,953 --> 00:52:46,393 if you look in that first column of the added 1039 00:52:46,393 --> 00:52:48,913 value. You can see that starting in the first quarter 1040 00:52:48,913 --> 00:52:53,033 of 2022, it started to deteriorate, so it starts falling. 1041 00:52:53,033 --> 00:52:54,633 So this might be something. If you're bored, you could 1042 00:52:54,633 --> 00:52:56,580 look there and say, hey, listen. The numbers are still 1043 00:52:56,580 --> 00:52:59,380 green, but there seems to be an alarming trend here. 1044 00:52:59,380 --> 00:53:02,260 Every quarter we're losing some. Six continues. We're going to 1045 00:53:02,260 --> 00:53:05,460 be negative soon. What's happening? In the portfolio that's driving 1046 00:53:05,460 --> 00:53:08,780 this same thing on that bear market capture. You want 1047 00:53:08,780 --> 00:53:10,380 that? To be less than 100. You want to be 1048 00:53:10,380 --> 00:53:12,540 better than the market when it's negative. It used to 1049 00:53:12,540 --> 00:53:15,380 be. And then you can see that something obviously started 1050 00:53:15,380 --> 00:53:17,592 to get worse. Over a few quarters. But on the 1051 00:53:17,592 --> 00:53:21,792 flip side, the bowl actually somewhat improved through a few 1052 00:53:21,792 --> 00:53:25,232 of them. Right. So all this trend analysis might help 1053 00:53:25,232 --> 00:53:28,192 you try to determine, is there something going on? From 1054 00:53:28,192 --> 00:53:30,992 a risk perspective in the portfolio that I'd want to 1055 00:53:30,992 --> 00:53:33,352 be aware of right by. Not just looking at a 1056 00:53:33,352 --> 00:53:37,067 specific point in time. Every report. A lot of things 1057 00:53:37,067 --> 00:53:40,284 that you want to know. Is compliance. Right. So you 1058 00:53:40,284 --> 00:53:42,044 have an asset mix policy that says we got to 1059 00:53:42,044 --> 00:53:44,364 be this much. Fixed income, this much equity, and there's 1060 00:53:44,364 --> 00:53:47,564 ranges for most portfolios that you can operate. Within. So 1061 00:53:47,564 --> 00:53:49,604 this is actually showing you what are you above and 1062 00:53:49,604 --> 00:53:51,924 below in? Right. So this would show you the current 1063 00:53:51,924 --> 00:53:54,964 quarter, the previous quarter, and the policy. Right. And the 1064 00:53:54,964 --> 00:53:57,084 range of what you're allowed to be in to make 1065 00:53:57,084 --> 00:54:00,662 sure you're within the limits. And a qualitative assessment is 1066 00:54:00,662 --> 00:54:03,584 an example where. Who do you have managing something for 1067 00:54:03,584 --> 00:54:07,024 you in this example? Even Ocio, an alternative manager and. 1068 00:54:07,024 --> 00:54:09,784 Then we've given performance objectives straight from your policy. Are 1069 00:54:09,784 --> 00:54:12,904 they meeting them? Yes. No, manager. Changes. Is there anything 1070 00:54:12,904 --> 00:54:15,144 going on with this? So the one manager at the 1071 00:54:15,144 --> 00:54:17,864 bottom there, we've given an example. Maybe they were doing 1072 00:54:17,864 --> 00:54:21,544 okay on performance, but they have significant organizational turnover. Maybe 1073 00:54:21,544 --> 00:54:24,796 they're. Failing so you can have an overall rating. And 1074 00:54:24,796 --> 00:54:27,276 if you have managers that are failing, you might put 1075 00:54:27,276 --> 00:54:29,876 them on a watch. Right. So now it's a more 1076 00:54:29,876 --> 00:54:32,596 formal assessment. You're going to do based on whether or 1077 00:54:32,596 --> 00:54:34,676 not they're performing, this could be for no CIO. Manager. 1078 00:54:34,676 --> 00:54:36,876 This could be a very investment manager as well. And 1079 00:54:36,876 --> 00:54:39,796 then monitoring an OCIo mandate. Which might be applicable to 1080 00:54:39,796 --> 00:54:43,051 you. So within the ocio governance structure, the Dec. Decisions 1081 00:54:43,051 --> 00:54:46,811 relating to underlying managers are delegated or strategies are delegated 1082 00:54:46,811 --> 00:54:49,811 to the oci. So you want to receive ongoing reporting, 1083 00:54:49,811 --> 00:54:52,451 likely on the results, but also you got to represent 1084 00:54:52,451 --> 00:54:55,251 that's. Not a decision factor that you're making. You're not 1085 00:54:55,251 --> 00:54:59,051 picking the strategy, the OCio manager is so again they 1086 00:54:59,051 --> 00:55:01,811 may sit there and have again. If you see an 1087 00:55:01,811 --> 00:55:04,193 underperforming. Strategy. You might have a question for them on 1088 00:55:04,193 --> 00:55:06,913 what's your plan for that, but you wouldn't. Necessarily be 1089 00:55:06,913 --> 00:55:10,273 making the call to, say, fire that strategy. Right. So 1090 00:55:10,273 --> 00:55:14,793 monitoring an ocio. Relationship requires aspects of traditional investment manager 1091 00:55:14,793 --> 00:55:17,953 monitoring but also needs a qualitative assessment around the ocio 1092 00:55:17,953 --> 00:55:20,993 because those CIO is implementing. But they're typically also giving 1093 00:55:20,993 --> 00:55:24,060 you advice, right? On the policy on. New asset classes. 1094 00:55:24,060 --> 00:55:26,260 So you kind of want to get an assessment of. 1095 00:55:26,260 --> 00:55:29,100 Do I think that advice is adding value. And again, 1096 00:55:29,100 --> 00:55:32,380 Eckler has quite a bit of experience doing these reviews, 1097 00:55:32,380 --> 00:55:34,460 so. Obviously where we do them, we think it's obviously 1098 00:55:34,460 --> 00:55:36,460 quite good to try to determine where you might see 1099 00:55:36,460 --> 00:55:40,380 differences in opinion. So I'll stop there for the question. 1100 00:55:40,380 --> 00:55:43,897 Yeah, I think board member test a question. Thank. You, 1101 00:55:43,897 --> 00:55:48,737 Kyle. Terrific presentation. My question is really to talk about. 1102 00:55:48,737 --> 00:55:50,577 I think this is a key point. For us who 1103 00:55:50,577 --> 00:55:53,817 are employing an ocio model. And the question I have 1104 00:55:53,817 --> 00:55:57,422 for you is whether or not you typically see. The 1105 00:55:57,422 --> 00:56:03,783 introduction. Of a policy that specifically outlines what's been delegated 1106 00:56:03,783 --> 00:56:08,914 to the Ocio versus what the governing board retains. And. 1107 00:56:10,206 --> 00:56:13,886 If that policy lives within a broader investment policy or 1108 00:56:13,886 --> 00:56:16,886 if it's a standalone document and the reason I'm feeling 1109 00:56:16,886 --> 00:56:20,686 that is actually post your training. One of the questions 1110 00:56:20,686 --> 00:56:22,886 that I have is I've seen some areas of our 1111 00:56:22,886 --> 00:56:28,002 delegation. For example, minor adjustment to policies. And, Jim, I 1112 00:56:28,002 --> 00:56:30,442 think you've raised it a number of times of how 1113 00:56:30,442 --> 00:56:35,032 much are we allowing? Investment policy adjustments to go on 1114 00:56:35,032 --> 00:56:40,818 beyond because. There is. This dual challenge that you face 1115 00:56:40,818 --> 00:56:43,538 where you want to give the Ocio, the nimbleness. To 1116 00:56:43,538 --> 00:56:47,828 execute. But ultimately, our role is to ensure that the 1117 00:56:47,828 --> 00:56:50,468 assets are invested according to an investment policy. So how 1118 00:56:50,468 --> 00:56:53,988 much flex do you give in adjustments, particularly during the 1119 00:56:53,988 --> 00:56:58,748 implementation phase when you're onboarding? New provinces. So one, do 1120 00:56:58,748 --> 00:57:03,771 you advise a policy? To. How tight is that? In 1121 00:57:03,771 --> 00:57:06,971 particularly implementation phases. Yeah, I think those are great points. 1122 00:57:08,672 --> 00:57:10,512 So on the first part of your question, so most 1123 00:57:10,512 --> 00:57:12,352 clients we would have, I would 100%. Agree with you. 1124 00:57:12,352 --> 00:57:15,992 It should be very clear who's responsible for what that'd 1125 00:57:15,992 --> 00:57:20,281 be. Fundamentally, I would agree. Whether the policy. Extend. Most 1126 00:57:20,281 --> 00:57:22,001 groups would have it in the investment policy. To be 1127 00:57:22,001 --> 00:57:24,041 honest with you, there'd be a clear section at the 1128 00:57:24,041 --> 00:57:27,601 beginning that talks about governance. Right. So who's responsible for 1129 00:57:27,601 --> 00:57:32,239 what? And also, again, there's usually a section of responsibilities 1130 00:57:32,239 --> 00:57:34,799 that goes through. Ocio has to do this. This. The 1131 00:57:34,799 --> 00:57:37,159 board is responsible for this. The board has delegated certain 1132 00:57:37,159 --> 00:57:39,599 tasks even to staff or other people that would do 1133 00:57:39,599 --> 00:57:42,279 that. So to answer that, I don't think there's a 1134 00:57:42,279 --> 00:57:43,639 set rule on whether it has to be in your 1135 00:57:43,639 --> 00:57:46,679 investment policy or a standalone what you'll see, though, is 1136 00:57:46,679 --> 00:57:49,794 you probably have an investment management agreement, some. Somewhere, right? 1137 00:57:49,794 --> 00:57:53,629 Like an Ima with an OC. Typically what they say 1138 00:57:53,629 --> 00:57:56,109 in that Ima. You could write whatever you want in 1139 00:57:56,109 --> 00:57:59,229 your own policy. That Ima is what they're talking to 1140 00:57:59,229 --> 00:58:02,269 legally, to say, this is what I'm responsible for because 1141 00:58:02,269 --> 00:58:04,789 you sign this agreement with me. So you'd want to 1142 00:58:04,789 --> 00:58:07,189 make sure. The IMA is kind of consistent with what 1143 00:58:07,189 --> 00:58:08,949 you come up with in your policy. And again, most 1144 00:58:08,949 --> 00:58:11,909 OCI managers would want to see your investment policy to 1145 00:58:11,909 --> 00:58:15,273 say. You kind of have this thing outlined in your 1146 00:58:15,273 --> 00:58:16,713 policy. I just want to make it clear to you. 1147 00:58:16,713 --> 00:58:20,353 Our IMA does not say we're responsible for that. So 1148 00:58:20,353 --> 00:58:22,473 should we adjust this? Or do you think that we 1149 00:58:22,473 --> 00:58:25,514 need to talk about this point? But that's how I 1150 00:58:25,514 --> 00:58:28,615 think most groups would look at that. I can answer 1151 00:58:28,615 --> 00:58:31,855 you the second one in terms of ranges or flexibility 1152 00:58:31,855 --> 00:58:34,535 when you're implementing I think is kind of the point. 1153 00:58:34,535 --> 00:58:37,465 Again. There usually is some amount of. So if you 1154 00:58:37,465 --> 00:58:40,025 had investment policy, you might have ranges in it. For 1155 00:58:40,025 --> 00:58:43,025 asset classes. Right? That says this much. This much. Most 1156 00:58:43,025 --> 00:58:45,785 groups, if you're going through a transition to a portfolio 1157 00:58:45,785 --> 00:58:48,505 that's going to be materially different than what you're. In. 1158 00:58:48,505 --> 00:58:50,585 You may have a sentence under there that says, listen, 1159 00:58:50,585 --> 00:58:54,065 we acknowledge that the portfolio is. Conducting a transition to 1160 00:58:54,065 --> 00:58:57,488 a new governance structure during. This time period, the board 1161 00:58:57,488 --> 00:59:01,448 will allow for temporary deviations to the asset mix policy. 1162 00:59:01,448 --> 00:59:04,008 Any deviation in the policy has to be either you 1163 00:59:04,008 --> 00:59:05,848 could seek. That has to be approved by the board. 1164 00:59:05,848 --> 00:59:10,008 In advance or reported to the board within one quarter 1165 00:59:10,008 --> 00:59:13,568 with an explanation how we will move towards policy. Right. 1166 00:59:13,568 --> 00:59:16,775 So you typically would have some kind of overarching. Statement 1167 00:59:16,775 --> 00:59:19,175 that says, listen, I understand these are all our ranges, 1168 00:59:19,175 --> 00:59:21,615 but we acknowledge that it may not. Be possible to 1169 00:59:21,615 --> 00:59:23,815 stay within all of them. So again, most groups would 1170 00:59:23,815 --> 00:59:25,895 have it let's say you commit to real estate, a 1171 00:59:25,895 --> 00:59:27,335 real estate manager may not be able to take your 1172 00:59:27,335 --> 00:59:29,935 money. Immediately. Right. So you're going to be underweight, your 1173 00:59:29,935 --> 00:59:32,335 target. Right. Because you can't. Invest in it. So you 1174 00:59:32,335 --> 00:59:34,295 might have a sentence that says, listen, I acknowledge that 1175 00:59:34,295 --> 00:59:37,255 this might happen so to. The extent it happens, I 1176 00:59:37,255 --> 00:59:39,415 want to see reporting on it, and I want the 1177 00:59:39,415 --> 00:59:41,975 ocio manager to tell me what the strategy is to 1178 00:59:41,975 --> 00:59:45,655 get me to policy compliance in the timeline. Right. I 1179 00:59:45,655 --> 00:59:48,775 would rather not say. We're trying. We'll see what happens. 1180 00:59:48,775 --> 00:59:50,735 Should be. What are you telling me is going to 1181 00:59:50,735 --> 00:59:53,375 happen to get me there, right? So that's usually what 1182 00:59:53,375 --> 00:59:56,015 we would say so, Kyle, I'm retaining a couple of 1183 00:59:56,015 --> 00:59:59,613 things. One. That the delegation to the OcIo needs to 1184 00:59:59,613 --> 01:00:05,524 be articulated somewhere. And ideally, some kind of reference should 1185 01:00:05,524 --> 01:00:08,880 be made. To the IMA and the document of what 1186 01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:11,720 the manager themselves has accepted to take on as a 1187 01:00:11,720 --> 01:00:16,536 responsibility. I'm also retaining that in a transition period where 1188 01:00:16,536 --> 01:00:18,976 you may have assets in movement and where there needs 1189 01:00:18,976 --> 01:00:21,496 to be flow that can be called out in an 1190 01:00:21,496 --> 01:00:23,576 investment policy. I know I've used that in my own 1191 01:00:23,576 --> 01:00:27,879 personal. Work relationships where you call out a transition period 1192 01:00:27,879 --> 01:00:32,835 of time. So that there's a natural cessation. Okay. This 1193 01:00:32,835 --> 01:00:38,630 is very helpful. Thank you. No, thank you. Not seeing 1194 01:00:38,630 --> 01:00:41,350 any more questions yet. Do you have maybe one more 1195 01:00:41,350 --> 01:00:49,061 slide? Is that right? Oh, yeah. No, it's just a 1196 01:00:49,061 --> 01:00:53,074 big eckler. I don't have anything on that one. Okay, 1197 01:00:53,074 --> 01:00:59,268 great. Last call for questions, then. No, not seeing any. 1198 01:00:59,268 --> 01:01:04,050 Okay, well. This has been very helpful. All three sessions 1199 01:01:04,050 --> 01:01:08,028 have been very helpful, so thank you. Maybe we'll just 1200 01:01:08,028 --> 01:01:12,944 do some of. The regular admin stuff that we do. 1201 01:01:14,570 --> 01:01:16,610 So could I have a motion to receive the presentation 1202 01:01:16,610 --> 01:01:21,103 from Eckler? Thank you. Board member ready? Makes that motion. 1203 01:01:21,103 --> 01:01:26,876 All in favor, please raise your hands. Thank you. That 1204 01:01:26,876 --> 01:01:31,728 Carrie is very good. So thank you again, Kyle and 1205 01:01:31,728 --> 01:01:36,002 Brad, very much for these sessions. It's great. Thank you 1206 01:01:36,002 --> 01:01:38,082 so much. And obviously, if there's any questions that come 1207 01:01:38,082 --> 01:01:40,322 up after the fact. Feel free to reach out to 1208 01:01:40,322 --> 01:01:43,882 us more. Happy to answer. Okay, great. Thank you. Yeah. 1209 01:01:43,882 --> 01:01:46,402 All right. Have a great day. Thank you. Thanks a 1210 01:01:46,402 --> 01:01:51,474 lot. Now, before everybody goes, can I have a motion 1211 01:01:51,474 --> 01:01:53,754 that the appropriate staff of one jib and one investment 1212 01:01:53,754 --> 01:01:56,594 be given the authority to do all things necessary, including 1213 01:01:56,594 --> 01:02:00,114 executing any documents to give effect. To the board's decisions 1214 01:02:00,114 --> 01:02:03,965 today. Board member Giles makes that motion. All in favor, 1215 01:02:03,965 --> 01:02:11,185 please raise your hands. Any opposed? No. All right. Can 1216 01:02:11,185 --> 01:02:14,547 I have a motion to adjourn? Makes that motion. All 1217 01:02:14,547 --> 01:02:22,248 in favor, please raise your hands. Any opposed? I would 1218 01:02:22,248 --> 01:02:26,363 say that carries so. We are now adjourned. And just 1219 01:02:26,363 --> 01:02:29,843 as a reminder, our next meeting is on Wednesday, November 1220 01:02:29,843 --> 01:02:33,323 27 at 10:00 so we'll look forward to seeing you 1221 01:02:33,323 --> 01:02:35,283 all there. Thanks very much, everyone.