Agenda
[0:00]
Call to Order
[0:48]
11. CEO Update
[21:07]
12.1 Human Resources and Governance (HR&G) Committee
[24:14]
12.1.1 ERCOT Vision, Mission, and Core Values
[24:44]
12.1.2 2027 ERCOT Board Meetings Schedule and 2027 Annual Meeting of Members
[25:13]
12.2 Finance and Audit (F&A) Committee
[26:08]
12.2.1 Acceptance of 2025 System and Organization Control Audit Report
[26:32]
12.3 Technology and Security (T&S) Committee
[29:35]
13.1 Adjunct Membership Approval of Agentic Infrastructure LLC for Membership Year 2026
[31:00]
13.2 Non-Opt-In Entity (NOIE) Load Zone Changes - Request of Lamar Electric Cooperative
[33:48]
13.3 Application for Permanent Site-Specific Exemption from Compliance with Paragraphs (5)-(6) of Protocol Section 10.3.2.3, Generation Netting for ERCOT-Polled Settlement Meters – Request of BHER Power Resources, Inc.
[36:23]
14.1 25RPG025 AEP Texas, CPS Energy, Oncor and CNP Texas 765-kV-STEP Eastern Backbone Project
[56:00]
14.2 25RPG022 Oncor and AEPSC Drill Hole to Sand Lake to Solstice 765-kV Line Project
[59:24]
14.3 24RPG020 Oncor Connell 345/138-kV Switch and Connell to Rockhound 345-kV Double-Circuit Line Project – Option 1
[1:03:32]
15.1 Market Price Correction – Incorrect Generation to be Dispatched Values Used in SCED
[1:08:42]
15.2 Commercial Markets Update
[1:15:01]
15.3 Dispatchable Reliability Reserve Service (DRRS) Study
[1:39:33]
16.1 System Operations and Winter Weather Update
[1:48:06]
16.2 System Planning and Weatherization Update
[2:10:37]
Convene Executive Session
[2:11:24]
18. Vote on Matters from Executive Session
[2:12:15]
18.1 Selection of 2026 Independent System and Organization Control Auditor
Transcript
SOURCE TRANSCRIPT
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[0:01]
Uh, good morning, ercot, board of directors and guests. I'm bill flores and I hereby
[0:05]
reconvene and call to order the december 8th and ninth 2025 meeting of the board.
[0:10]
this meeting is being webcast live to the public on kots website. I would like to
[0:14]
provide puc chair thomas gleason, the opportunity to reconvene the open meeting of
[0:18]
the public utility commission of texas. Thank you, mr. Chairman. This meeting, the public
[0:22]
utility commission of texas will come to order to consider matters have been duly posted with the
[0:26]
secretary of state for today, december 9th, 2025.
[0:31]
uh, thank you chair gleason. The antitrust admonition and security map
[0:35]
were included with the posted meeting materials. Uh,
[0:39]
and we, uh, are now open for comments. Chad, has anyone expressed an interest in, uh,
[0:43]
commenting to the board today? No one has expressed an interest chairman. Okay. Thank
[0:47]
you, chad. Uh, our first agenda item is, uh, ercot,
[0:51]
ceo. Pablo vegas is going to make his presentation with the ceo
[0:55]
report, pablo.
[1:07]
all right. Thank you, chair flores, and thank you everybody for your
[1:11]
participation today and your interest in the important work that we are doing at
[1:16]
ercot. In this morning's update, I'm excited to share
[1:20]
erco t's new vision and mission and values.
[1:24]
the, as the grid has evolved, our strategies have evolved along with it,
[1:28]
and we're aligning our core vision and our mission to the needs of the market. And
[1:32]
we've established a set of values that we believe reflect how our employees
[1:36]
want to work and experience their careers at ercot. I'm gonna touch base on
[1:41]
some of the changes in our supply mix since last winter. I have
[1:45]
an update on our mobile generation solution that we've been talking about in san antonio,
[1:49]
as well as the related reliability must run con, uh, contract with the bro three
[1:53]
unit. I'm gonna discuss some of the progress being made on the provisions in
[1:58]
senate bill six and the roadmap ahead of us as it relates to our op operations
[2:02]
and markets and planning work. And then I'm gonna close, like I always do, with some thanks
[2:06]
and appreciation for some of the incredible accomplishments that have been,
[2:10]
uh, delivered since our last time together as a board.
[2:21]
here we go. A year ago,
[2:25]
we defined the concept of ercot 4.0 and
[2:29]
what it represents in relation to earlier periods of ercot
[2:33]
operations. And at a high level, it represents
[2:38]
a transition in our market that is characterized by high and very rapid
[2:42]
growth of intermittent and short supply, uh,
[2:46]
short duration supply resources. It's characterized by a rapidly
[2:50]
changing customer base that includes price responsive loads like crypto
[2:55]
miners, rapidly growing large scale data centers, and
[2:59]
continued penetration of distributed energy resources throughout the grid
[3:03]
from people's homes to their businesses and locations across the distribution system.
[3:09]
it's a significant shift in operational requirements, and it represents an opportunity
[3:13]
to create a more resilient and cost-effective grid for the benefit of
[3:17]
all texans. This shift created an opportunity to
[3:22]
re-look at our vision and our mission, and to make sure it was aligned by the success opportunities
[3:26]
that ercot 4.0 presents. And that success depends on keeping
[3:31]
reliability as the bedrock of our organization.
[3:35]
reliability in today's definition of reliability, which includes
[3:39]
a society that depends fully on the availability of
[3:43]
electricity for nearly every facet of modern life. And to do so, we're going
[3:47]
to have to embrace innovation as one of our core success factors to keep up with
[3:51]
the pace of change. Our new vision is to be the
[3:55]
most reliable and innovative grid in the world,
[3:59]
not just in texas, not just in the united states, but in the world.
[4:05]
we are one, if not the leading grid globally when it comes to operational
[4:09]
and technical complexities. And to be successful, we
[4:14]
need to be a clear leader on a stage that represents the entirety of this planet,
[4:20]
the impact of what texas represents to the global economy today.
[4:24]
and if you look at it just on energy, we produce more than 40% of this
[4:29]
country's oil. 30% of this country's natural gas
[4:33]
have a total refining capability of about 30% of what the
[4:37]
united states uses. That's just an impact inside of texas
[4:42]
and the united states. But to be important in the future, to be successful, we're
[4:46]
gonna have to be a global leader on that stage. Our mission
[4:50]
is what we do every day to achieve this vision,
[4:54]
we will ensure a reliable grid with competitive and cost
[4:58]
effective electricity markets. That is our mission. It is the
[5:02]
re again, reliability at the core of it, and we recognize the critical importance
[5:07]
of a cost-effective grid when it comes to a thriving economy.
[5:16]
and then our values that we developed, we did that directly with input
[5:20]
from many, many ercot employees. We held focus groups and gathered surveys
[5:24]
from hundreds of our employees who spoke to what it should feel like to work and
[5:28]
to be a part of this organization, and what a set of core values that
[5:32]
will create an environment that will foster both individual and organizational successes.
[5:37]
I'm not gonna review each one of the values that are on this slide, but you can see that each
[5:41]
one of them builds upon and supports each other to create an environment where we
[5:46]
can achieve our vision and achieve success in our daily mission.
[5:54]
so changes that we've seen in the grid since last winter, 2025
[5:58]
a year, 2025, is gonna represent a year with tremendous supply growth
[6:02]
on the ercot grid. We expect to see nearly 16 gigawatts
[6:06]
of new supply connected onto this grid in 2025, just
[6:11]
since the end of last winter. This is a chart showing from march 1st through
[6:15]
november 1st. This year, we'll have connected approximately 11 gigawatts
[6:19]
of new capacity. You can see the large majority of it continues to be in
[6:23]
the two resource types we've been seeing over the last several years. Storage. We're
[6:28]
now representing storage as with both the capacity, uh, peak
[6:32]
capacity number, as well as its energy capacity, because since storage is duration
[6:36]
limited, the energy measure is a more appropriate measure of its capacity.
[6:41]
and while we are still seeing low numbers in our natural gas connections into the grid,
[6:46]
we are seeing significant improvements in the natural gas pipeline expressing
[6:50]
potential interest in connecting into the ercot grid.
[6:57]
I think it's helpful to show this comparative, I've done this in the past as well as
[7:01]
we get into the winter season, understanding the impact of supply additions
[7:05]
in both the winter and summer peak conditions. And you can see from this
[7:10]
integrated slide, there are very significant differences in the low carrying capabilities
[7:14]
between these different resources at peak based on their production type.
[7:19]
I share this to try to help explain some of the differences why during this past
[7:23]
summer, during the peaks, we haven't really been experiencing scarcity grid conditions
[7:27]
because the significant additions of solar and battery storage
[7:32]
are optimally positioned to help during those summer peaks in
[7:36]
the afternoons and early evenings. As the sun is transitioning out, winter
[7:40]
still represents the higher risk period in the ercot market because fewer
[7:44]
of these resources that are being added are available during the winter peak
[7:48]
periods, which tend to be in the mornings before the sun rises, or in the
[7:53]
early evenings right after it sets.
[7:59]
I think it's important to highlight some of the progress that has been made on the weatherization program
[8:04]
through our first four years, and this is a focus on our winter weatherization.
[8:09]
since the inception of this program in in, uh, december of 2021,
[8:13]
we have completed over 4,000 winterization inspections of both generation
[8:18]
and transmission facilities. We inspect them for various preparation
[8:22]
measures that are intended to reasonably ensure sustained operation at weather
[8:26]
zone specific cold and hot conditions.
[8:30]
we held a winter weatherization workshop, uh, in october on the 16th
[8:34]
this year, we had over 200 people attend that workshop and
[8:38]
it highlighted best practices presentations from three of our market participants from
[8:43]
lcra, from cps energy and from an l
[8:47]
the winter 2025 and 2026 inspection period. Started a week ago
[8:51]
today on tuesday, and we plan to have a minimum
[8:55]
of 450 inspections over the course of this winter.
[8:59]
I included this, uh, graph on the right side, the winter cure periods
[9:04]
because I think it's important that not only are we going out inspecting, but this shows
[9:08]
how we have been seen progress on the performance of those inspections
[9:12]
over the course of time. And so the cure period is
[9:16]
a measurement that's found when we have found instances of non-compliance with the weatherization
[9:21]
rule. And then the dealing with those, uh, we give them a cure period in
[9:25]
order to deal with those findings of non-compliance. And you can see from beginning in the winter of
[9:29]
2022 to 2023, the instances that we had
[9:33]
a total of, uh, 75, 55 of those were at, uh, transmission
[9:37]
service. And, uh, 20 of those at, uh, supply resources. And those have decreased
[9:42]
over time to a total of only five over the last winter. And
[9:46]
we've had similar, similar benefits and performance, um, as well
[9:50]
in the summer periods. Our cure periods have gone from about 15 in 2023
[9:54]
down to three this past summer. So significant pro improvements
[9:58]
in performance and findings of non-compliance. Over the course of
[10:02]
the three years we've been run running the weatherization program the three, four years,
[10:11]
I wanted to give a brief update on the lifecycle power mobile generation
[10:15]
units that, uh, are, have been brought over into the san antonio area to help with
[10:20]
that south texas, uh, transmission constraint as of october 22nd.
[10:24]
all of those mobile generating units had had been able to initially
[10:29]
synchronize with the ercot grid, and as of this week, all 15
[10:33]
of them have been successfully tested and are available for dispatch under emergency
[10:37]
conditions. And as a reminder, the contract for these mobile generation
[10:41]
units runs through march of 2027, and we have the right
[10:46]
to terminate that earlier if the reliability need no longer exists going forward.
[10:52]
related to that, an update on the reliability must run agreement that we have in
[10:56]
place with cps energy, uh, on the rig three unit, the outage,
[11:01]
it began last march, if you recall, after the approval by the board last december
[11:05]
a year ago, uh, from now and to date, the biggest and
[11:09]
most significant issue in that outage period was a replacement of that number nine boiler
[11:13]
super header, uh, super heater header. The work was completed
[11:18]
for that replacement in october, uh, end of october this year. Testing
[11:22]
completed most recently in november, we had a issue
[11:26]
identified by cps that there were some impurities in the turbine bearing lubrication oil,
[11:31]
and some additional work was gonna need to be done to, uh, refurbish those installed
[11:35]
bearings that could cost an additional 1.8 million, potentially
[11:39]
add about a 10 day delay to the schedule. So as of today,
[11:43]
it's currently scheduled to return to service on december 15th. There is a little bit of
[11:47]
risk to that schedule based on the refurbishment work that needs to occur.
[11:55]
so shifting gears into the, um, regulatory and policy arena,
[11:59]
we've talked about senate bill six and its broad impacts several times in, uh, in these
[12:03]
board discussions. It's driving four significant new rulemakings. One
[12:07]
is focused on the load forecast standardization for large loads,
[12:11]
very significant part of the provision, which is intended to give us better clarity
[12:16]
and better accuracy on the numbers that we expect in that load forecast, which as I discussed
[12:20]
in my, in my last update a couple months ago, is really the foundation for all
[12:24]
of the planning and all of the reliability reporting that we do. We
[12:28]
have another rule making on large load, uh, interconnection standards,
[12:33]
a third one on cost allocation for transmission infrastructure, and then
[12:37]
a fourth on the net metering rules, which is addressed in this slide. We've established
[12:41]
an interim net metering review process that aligns with what the proposed rule is
[12:45]
that's gonna be going through. We already have seen two net metering arrangements
[12:50]
formally submitted for our review at this time. And we're gonna need,
[12:54]
our requirements are we have to go through and complete our analysis within 120
[12:58]
days of noti notifying the puc that we've received all of the completed
[13:03]
information for these net metering arrangements, and we're coordinating very closely with
[13:07]
staff on those puc staff on those. We expect all of these
[13:11]
rulemakings to under to go through the process in 2026
[13:15]
with the net metering and the forecast standardization proceeding first,
[13:20]
and then followed by the other two, uh, rulemakings.
[13:27]
I had like to give a little bit of a look ahead as to what's still on the agenda
[13:31]
and, uh, important work coming up. So from a current operations,
[13:35]
I'll, I'll really highlight the noer 2 45. If you recall. This is the operating
[13:39]
guide change that is related to the requirements for ride through requirements
[13:44]
on inverter based resources through, we probably will be looking at
[13:48]
reviewing the submissions that we've received in for extensions
[13:52]
and for exemptions for, for compliance with that rule through
[13:56]
the second quarter of 2026. And then the actual reliability assessments
[14:01]
that we then run following, having all of that data in will
[14:05]
proceed in the second half of 2026 with decisions on what can be exempted, what
[14:09]
can be extended in terms of timing and compliance. For the noga 2 45 rule,
[14:14]
there's quite a lot on the market design plate, the drrs,
[14:18]
dispatchable reliability reserve service, we talked about the two npr r related
[14:22]
to that yesterday. We've got the residential demand response program,
[14:26]
uh, that we also discussed in yesterday's update. We have a new large
[14:31]
load demand response program that is coming out of, uh, senate bill six. And
[14:35]
so we'll be working on the development of that. And then, of course, from the prior
[14:39]
legislative session affirming requirement, that is a significant
[14:43]
piece of market design, uh, protocol work we're gonna be doing in 2026,
[14:47]
and that needs to be completed by the end of this, uh, next year.
[14:52]
and then at this time of year, from a planning perspective, we publish a lot of end of year
[14:56]
reports. We publish the capacity, demand and reserve reports. That looks out five years
[15:01]
gives a kind of a projection if certain amounts of resources
[15:05]
are built and certain amount of load and materializes based on well-established
[15:10]
criteria that we've used for many years. Then what does the reserves look like under those conditions?
[15:15]
we've got the 2025 regional transmission plan that's gonna come out. This,
[15:19]
uh, this month we publish a constraints and needs report. This is a
[15:23]
focus on transmission constraints. We've also have the reliability
[15:27]
standards analysis that's gonna be taking place in 2026. This will be the first formal
[15:32]
evaluation of the new reliability standard that was established for
[15:36]
ercot in 2024. We'll be doing that full scale analysis in 2026.
[15:42]
all of these reports are going to indicate similar messaging, but
[15:46]
in the very short term, the additions of supply have been helpful in
[15:50]
improving the reliability characteristics of the grid. In the long term, there's
[15:54]
increasing risk if the load materializes and infrastructure development doesn't keep
[15:58]
up. The messaging and the, the, the risks that are
[16:03]
identified are consistent with reports we've seen over the last year, and depending on
[16:07]
the amount of load that comes and the pace at which it comes really is the key drivers
[16:11]
to the degree that that risk may or may not be materialized.
[16:19]
we hosted, um, a grid x event here at, um,
[16:24]
uh, the, actually the met center here just a couple weeks ago.
[16:28]
nerc does this every year or every other year. They do a large scale grid x exercise,
[16:32]
which is intended to practice a response to both cyber and physical attacks
[16:36]
on the electric grid. This year, we participated in, in three different ways.
[16:41]
one, we had our it and our cyber teams compete in a hands-on technical
[16:45]
exercise to identify and stop cyber attacks. Specifically. That was done
[16:49]
a little bit earlier this year. The overall ercot leadership team,
[16:53]
in addition to participation with the public utility commission, the texas department of emergency
[16:58]
management, the fbi and other state agencies
[17:02]
all gathered together, and we did a tabletop exercise that was focused on
[17:06]
decision making, coordination and communication during a very complex
[17:11]
cyber physical attack scenario. That was a couple weeks ago. And
[17:15]
then our ercot operations team used their training simulator to emulate
[17:19]
and respond to grid x attacks according to their regular training cycles.
[17:24]
so, very active engagement in business continuity and disaster recovery
[17:28]
preparations. These tabletops are extremely helpful in aligning roles
[17:32]
and accountabilities during a crisis event, and making sure that our communication capabilities
[17:37]
are both agile and ready for the challenges of the moment.
[17:44]
I'd like to remind everybody coming into the winter season through of the various communication channels that
[17:48]
are available at ercot to get information. Our website, you can
[17:52]
see that on the top right of this slide, we have about a dozen different dashboards that help to inform
[17:56]
what's happening on the grid in real time. We also have our texas
[18:00]
advanced notification system. Texans, you can sign up to get email updates if there
[18:04]
are changes to grid conditions that require any kind of awareness or response
[18:08]
by the general public. And we also are on social media. You can follow us
[18:12]
on linkedin, on x, on facebook, and on instagram.
[18:16]
so lots of different channels and avenues to get real time updates, as well as to get
[18:21]
informational and educational updates on what it is that our is focused on, on the priorities
[18:25]
of the organization.
[18:30]
and then I'd like to finish with, uh, some employee recognitions. So
[18:34]
we've had three things that I wanna recognize. The first, and we talked about this yesterday, and I think matt
[18:38]
marinas did a fantastic job of acknowledging the breadth, the complexity
[18:43]
of this implementation and go live. And I wanna, again, reiterate now
[18:47]
on behalf of everybody within our organization, our thanks to the
[18:51]
broad market, to the public utility commission, to the agencies that
[18:56]
we work with, and a deep thanks to all of the employees inside of our organization
[19:00]
for the work that went into the realtime ization plus battery implementation.
[19:05]
this is the most significant change to our real-time market
[19:09]
since we converted from a zonal market to a nodal market back in 2010.
[19:14]
very significant complex change, intense coordination required across
[19:19]
the entire market participant list, and it went extremely
[19:23]
well. So a huge thanks to everybody involved in that.
[19:30]
I also want to call out those that helped to lead the core values work
[19:34]
at ercot. It took weeks and weeks of work to do the surveys
[19:39]
and to host the listening sessions and to gather the input and to synthesize
[19:43]
and to adjust it and continue to iterate on it to get to those final values
[19:47]
that we developed. And so a big thanks to the team that led that. And then similarly,
[19:52]
we had an internal team that really helped to lead a successful employee summit for ercot.
[19:56]
we do a once a year all employees gathering. We did it on october 14th this
[20:00]
year. We had over 600 ercot employees participate, where we got together
[20:04]
to talk about our core strategies, talk about why our vision and
[20:08]
our mission and our values needed to change, and the opportunities and the
[20:13]
challenges that laid ahead of us. So an excellent production and very well done and think
[20:17]
a very high value use of time. So with that, I'll pause
[20:21]
chair flores, if there's any questions from, uh, the board or from anyone else, I welcome
[20:26]
the feedback or questions public. Can we ask those, uh, ercot team members to stand
[20:30]
up that you just recognized the, for all three of these,
[20:34]
uh, categories, correct? Yeah, if, uh, any of you are named on
[20:38]
any of these three categories, if you're in the room, please, please stand up. I already, I know there's
[20:42]
many of you in here, so please stand. There'll be some somewhere for record. Don't
[20:46]
be shy. I was gonna give them applause, but there's nobody to applause. Well,
[20:50]
, I think we've got some
[20:55]
high people. Great work. Any questions for pablo?
[20:59]
well, great report and, uh, keep up the great work. We look forward to, uh, the excitement
[21:04]
that we have in 2026. Thank you. With that, we're
[21:08]
gonna move into committee reports and we'll start with peggy higg, who serve as the chair
[21:12]
of the human resources and governance committee. Uh, she will present agenda
[21:16]
item 12.1, which is, uh, the committee's report. It has two associated
[21:21]
voting items. Peggy, thank
[21:25]
you, chair forez. The human resources and governance committee had a robust
[21:29]
agenda yesterday with, uh, ms. Billman to two voting items coming outta general
[21:34]
session and two voting items in executive session. The first
[21:38]
item, which is voting item, was, uh, a, a discussion with pablo
[21:42]
about the, uh, recommendation regarding the ercot vision, mission,
[21:46]
and core values that he just referenced. And there's a, there's a, a memo
[21:51]
in the, uh, materials, uh, for the board. This is
[21:55]
the second time that the human resources and governance committee heard from pablo on this. And
[22:00]
I think we were all very impressed with the process and the thoughtfulness
[22:04]
that went into the creation of the new vision and mission
[22:08]
core values. Uh, second, we reviewed
[22:13]
the ercot government documents, and there are, were no suggested
[22:17]
changes at this time. Third, we, uh, reviewed
[22:21]
the periodicity of the, uh, ercot board meetings with
[22:25]
the comparison to other isos. There'll be no changes proposed
[22:29]
to the ercot periodicity at this time. And this review will be filed
[22:33]
with the commission as required by the regulations.
[22:38]
uh, the fourth item, which is a voting item, is that the committee voted
[22:43]
to, uh, recommended that the board approve the 2027 board
[22:47]
meeting schedule and annual meeting of the members. Uh,
[22:52]
the, uh, proposed meeting dates are february 8th and ninth, april 12th,
[22:57]
13th, june 21 in 22, september, 2020,
[23:02]
2021, december 6th and seventh with the annual meeting,
[23:06]
uh, on december 6th, 2027.
[23:11]
fifth, we looked at the, uh, annual review of the board committee
[23:16]
membership. We had just, uh, gotten our new compliment
[23:20]
of board members, which we're very excited about, and we had reviewed that
[23:24]
at the last board meeting. So no changes are recommended at this time,
[23:28]
but the committee will continue to review a committee membership as needed.
[23:33]
we also looked at the, uh, annual committee
[23:37]
self-evaluation surveys, results of the human resources
[23:42]
and governance committee, the technology security committee,
[23:46]
and the finance and audit committee. And, uh, some materials were
[23:50]
filed in, in the board book, but the committees are all
[23:54]
functioning well. We also heard from gilbert hughes
[23:58]
and mark minor presented their annual communications overview.
[24:05]
and we heard from morris back on the, uh, human resources
[24:09]
report for 2025, as well as initiatives in 2026.
[24:15]
with that, we've got two voting items coming out of the general session, and,
[24:19]
uh, if, if it's okay with you chair, I'll
[24:23]
go ahead and make those motions. I move that the board accept the
[24:28]
ercot vision, mission, and core values is recommended by the human resources
[24:32]
and governance committee. Is there a second? Okay, chris, thank you.
[24:36]
all in favor? Aye. Aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions?
[24:40]
okay. The new mission, vision, and core values are approved.
[24:45]
the second motion is I move that the board accept the 2027 ercot board
[24:49]
meeting schedules in 2027, annual meeting of the members as
[24:54]
recommended by the human resources and governance committee. Is there a second?
[24:58]
okay, kathleen, thank you. All in favor? Aye. Aye. Any
[25:02]
opposed? Any abstentions? Okay. The meetings are set for next year or for 2027.
[25:08]
uh, next. Thank you. Thank you. Any more to your report? No, that concludes it. Okay. Thank you.
[25:13]
uh, now we're gonna transition to the finance and audit committee report where I temporarily
[25:17]
served as chair. Uh, we have one associated voting item.
[25:21]
uh, let me walk through the report first, then we'll have the voting item.
[25:26]
uh, the committee went through its normal reports, uh, debt compliance
[25:30]
investments, and went through the, uh, projected outlook for the
[25:34]
full year 2025 financial performance of the organization.
[25:38]
all the performances were nominal and as were expected. Uh,
[25:43]
now in terms of, uh, we also, the committee also reviewed the, uh, soc
[25:47]
audit report. And it had a standard, uh, this is
[25:51]
a standard annual requirement. Uh, the, uh, organization
[25:55]
received an unmodified or clean opinion. The independent auditor also
[26:00]
provided information about the enhancement to the control environment as the, uh,
[26:04]
treasury management system has continued to be automated over the last couple of years.
[26:09]
and so, on behalf of the finance and audit committee, I move that the board accept the 2025
[26:13]
organization system, organization and control audit report is presented yesterday
[26:17]
by weaver. Do I have a second? Second. Thank you, chris. All in favor?
[26:22]
a aye. Any opposed? That motion is carried.
[26:26]
uh, there is no other, uh, reporting. Uh, that concludes by
[26:30]
report for the finance and audit committee. We'll now transition to john
[26:34]
swenson, who will present a agenda. Item 12.3, the technology and security committee
[26:38]
report. John? Thank you mr. Chair. Um, technology and
[26:43]
security committee met yesterday morning in both regular and executive
[26:47]
session. In regular session, we had a guest speaker,
[26:51]
dr. Lee shay, who's a harvard professor and member of the board of
[26:55]
pjm, who presented a roadmap for integrating a agentic
[26:59]
ai into power systems. A very interesting discussion and continues,
[27:03]
uh, with our ongoing ai theme. Um, agen ai enables
[27:08]
large language models to interact with real world workflows, offering human
[27:12]
ai collaboration rather than replacement. It can streamline things like
[27:17]
interconnect studies, optimizing dispatch enhancing reliability through tools
[27:21]
like reinforcement learning and probabilistic scenario planning. Um,
[27:26]
ercot is well positioned to lead in the space and use this technology
[27:31]
with opportunities to reduce engineering overhead and accelerate the grid transformation,
[27:35]
uh, with an emphasis on secure ethical human in the loop ai
[27:39]
uh, development. Following his presentation,
[27:44]
uh, we went into our annual committee self valuation.
[27:48]
and as you've heard there, that was all fine. We had a good discussion. Uh, would mention
[27:52]
that ai is something that we are explicitly incorporating into
[27:56]
our charter so that we will pay more attention to that in the future.
[28:00]
and we'll be working with jp and his team on prioritizing
[28:05]
some of the ai investments for the company. Um,
[28:09]
we had a brief technical overview of rtc uh, plus
[28:14]
b mainly because we, we heard from matt and others in the full board.
[28:18]
um, and we talked about some of the lessons learned and, and some of
[28:22]
the problems that we discovered along the way, which as, as, uh,
[28:26]
jp has told us we're, we're gonna be in another six months of sort of bedding
[28:31]
down that technology and getting it stabilized. So we'll be, uh, we'll
[28:35]
be continuing to follow that up. Um, but, uh, it, it has obviously
[28:39]
gone extremely well. Um, we had our usual overview
[28:43]
of the 18 grid transformation initiatives, uh, was a request from the
[28:47]
board that, uh, there'll be a little more prioritization on the things that
[28:52]
are really, really important and more imminent versus the things that are still
[28:56]
in the planning stages. Um, and then we, as we
[29:00]
always do, we talked about future agenda items and you know, what
[29:04]
topics that we wanted to bring back in front of the, the committee, including things
[29:08]
perhaps related to battery and also nuclear. Um,
[29:13]
and uh, as I mentioned, we wanted to make sure we prioritize the,
[29:17]
uh, initiatives of the technology team. That concludes my report. Okay.
[29:21]
thank you john. And, uh, you made a comment about the committee's self valuation. So I need to amend
[29:25]
the f and a committee report that the f and a committee did, uh, review
[29:30]
the committee's self-evaluations and found that the committee was operating effectively
[29:34]
and appropriate with this charter. Uh, with that we'll move to agenda item
[29:38]
13.1. Well, let me, before I go anywhere, were there any questions from board members on
[29:42]
any of the committee reports? Okay, thank you.
[29:47]
uh, we'll move to agenda item 13.1, which is an adjunct membership approval of
[29:51]
agen infrastructure llc membership for membership
[29:55]
year 2026. Samuel branton with infrastructure
[30:00]
llc is with us via webex. If the board has any questions for agtech,
[30:04]
uh, chad sealey will present this item. Chad. Alright, thank you chairman.
[30:09]
up on the screen as a short decision template that explains the
[30:13]
background and rationale for agtech infrastructure.
[30:17]
being an adjunct member for 2026, uh, consistent
[30:21]
with the bylaws, adjunct membership requires board approval. Adjunct
[30:25]
membership does not have any other voting rights except for
[30:29]
participating at the protocol revision subcommittee in which they can vote. Uh, gentech
[30:34]
infrastructure is going to align itself with the independent generator segment
[30:38]
for 2026. And so we need board approval to approve their application.
[30:44]
does anyone wish to make a motion in this regard? So moved. Thank you bill.
[30:48]
second. So from chris, thank you. All in favor? Aye.
[30:53]
aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions? Okay. Gentech membership is
[30:57]
approved for 2026. Next is agenda item 13.2,
[31:02]
which is a non opt-in entity load. Jo load zone change.
[31:06]
uh, this is a request of lamar electric cooperative, uh, brian story,
[31:11]
the ceo with lamar electric co cooperative along with ramsey crisp
[31:15]
of se energy, which is part of snyder engineering. Are with us
[31:19]
in person today. If the board has any questions for lamar electric cooperative, kim
[31:23]
rainwater present this item. Kim?
[31:29]
nope. Okay. Good morning. Uh, kim rainwater
[31:33]
for ercot legal. Uh, we have a request from lamar electric
[31:37]
co-op, as you can see, to move about 60 megawatts of peak
[31:41]
load from the rayburn electric co-op load zone
[31:46]
to the competitive north load zone. Uh, lamar is present,
[31:50]
uh, with schneider engineering for any questions about the reason for
[31:54]
the change, but, uh, the protocols do require board approval.
[31:59]
so for our part, ercot does recommend approval,
[32:03]
um, mainly for three reasons. You can see there on the
[32:07]
cover slide that the lead time is 48 months. So
[32:11]
these changes wouldn't go into effect until january 1st, 2030,
[32:15]
which built into the process is sufficient time to
[32:19]
make ready the market, um, including regarding congestion,
[32:24]
revenue rights, auctions. And, um, we did
[32:28]
a little bit of research. Uh, we've, we've identified two prior
[32:32]
occasions at least when the board approved similar requests. Um,
[32:36]
one from guadalupe valley electric cooperative cooperative move from
[32:41]
lcra to a competitive load zone in 2014.
[32:45]
and then we had one more recently in 2023 when, um,
[32:49]
the hamilton load moved from competitive to lcra and that was
[32:53]
after the brazos uh, bankruptcy. So,
[32:58]
um, for, uh, from our review, ercot smes
[33:02]
have reviewed and identified no reason not to approve
[33:06]
lamar's request. Um, with that we would request the
[33:10]
board's approval. If you have any questions for
[33:15]
brian or, uh, ramsey,
[33:19]
are there any questions for brian or ramsey the principals
[33:23]
or for kim who's presenting this?
[33:28]
I don't hear any, no comments. So for that, I'll entertain a motion to
[33:32]
approve this change. I'll moved. Okay. Thank you. Julie, do I have a second?
[33:37]
second. Uh, kathleen. Peggy? Uh, all in favor?
[33:41]
aye. Aye. Any opposed? Okay, the motion is carried.
[33:46]
uh, the next thank you kim. Uh, the next is, um,
[33:51]
this is a mouthful. Here we've got a request from bher, power
[33:55]
resources and agenda item 13.3, uh, with an application
[33:59]
for permanent site specific exemption from compliance with paragraphs
[34:04]
five and six, a protocol section 10.3, 0.2
[34:08]
0.3, which is generation netting for ercot poll settlement
[34:12]
meters. Uh, neil connor with bher power
[34:16]
resources is with us via webex. If the board had any questions for bher
[34:21]
and brent del will present this item. Brent, thank you chair. You want
[34:25]
us say this in a simple format? I'm brent riddell, deputy general counsel
[34:30]
for ercot. Um, I'm here to discuss a-b-h-e-r
[34:34]
power resources exemption request, which was previewed yesterday by tac chair kaitlyn
[34:38]
smith during her report. The decision at hand
[34:42]
before the board is whether to approve a permanent exemption for bher power
[34:47]
resources from an ercot protocol provision. Our rule state that
[34:51]
facilities must connect to the grid only through designated metering points.
[34:56]
there is an exception that exists for auxiliary loads up to 500 kilowatts.
[35:01]
the bher facility located in big spring has been operating for 35
[35:05]
years. It exceeds that 500 kilowatt auxiliary load
[35:09]
limit, um, and reconfiguration to meet the
[35:13]
cap is not practical. In october,
[35:17]
ercot received bhe r's exemption request. At the november tech meeting,
[35:22]
encore supported the request and tac voted to approve it.
[35:26]
uh, tag noted that the facilities configuration predates the current rule.
[35:31]
so the recommendation before you today from our staff is that the board approve
[35:35]
the permanent exemption. And as the chair mentioned, neil connor, general manager
[35:39]
of bhe renewables is presumably joining us from big spring via
[35:43]
webex. If you have any questions, any
[35:48]
questions for brand or for the company representative, with
[35:52]
that, I will entertain this motion, which would be that the board accept the
[35:56]
application for permanent site specific exemption from compliance with paragraphs five
[36:00]
and six of protocol section 10.33 generation
[36:05]
netting for ercot poll settlement meters, which is a request from bher
[36:09]
power resources. Do I have that motion? So moved. Okay,
[36:14]
peggy. Thank you a second, julie. All in favor? A aye.
[36:18]
any opposed? Any abstentions? Okay, that is approved. Thank
[36:22]
you. Alright, the next is, uh, agenda item is
[36:26]
14. There are sub items under this one, uh,
[36:30]
regional planning group projects, which includes three voting items that christie hops
[36:34]
can pres present. The first one that she will present is the agenda item
[36:39]
14.1, which is 25 rpg 0 2 5
[36:43]
a ep, texas cps energy, encore, and cmp texas 7 65
[36:48]
kv step eastern backbone project. We know that
[36:52]
two no votes and two abstentions were cast attack, but tax still has
[36:56]
recommended the project for approval. Christie, please walk us through the project
[37:00]
and then we'll have an opportunity for any further comments. All right. Good morning board
[37:05]
members and bill, I'm glad you had to read that name of that project instead of I
[37:09]
, not me. What a, a great year
[37:13]
it's been to be a part of system planning and watch how we really have
[37:18]
involved here in the ercot market from the landmark decisions
[37:22]
that our regulators made at the puc earlier this spring,
[37:27]
uh, that led forth for reliability plan into the permian
[37:31]
basin and then building off of the work that we started last year.
[37:35]
the board has before you quite an opportunity to
[37:40]
consider a project, um, that I believe will be a big reliability benefit
[37:45]
for continuing to power the state of texas
[37:49]
both reliably and efficiently. So
[37:53]
if you'll indulge me, we've added a few extra slides. Just knowing
[37:57]
the magnitude of this project would like to give some of our newer board
[38:01]
members some history on how we got here. Um, the study
[38:06]
process that we went through and how we came to our decisions and
[38:10]
our recommendations that we have before you today
[38:21]
in 2024, as we were not only looking at the permian
[38:25]
basin reliability plan and how to most efficiently
[38:29]
and reliably serve the needs in the permian basin area,
[38:33]
we also started to observe in our planning forecast the
[38:37]
need out in the future for more transmission to reliably serve the
[38:42]
growing state. And what we saw in that 2030
[38:46]
forecast was a growing demand to near 150 gigawatts
[38:52]
compared to the previous years when we had studied in about the 120 gigawatt
[38:56]
range. So at that time we realized we could not keep planning
[39:00]
the system the way we always had, meaning 3 45 voltage
[39:05]
being the highest level to serve the customers.
[39:09]
at that time, our team embarked
[39:14]
on a process to look not only at planning the system the way we always had, but we
[39:18]
also looked at using 7 65 voltage
[39:22]
in fact building what I would call a super highway. You think about building the interstate system,
[39:27]
connecting your generation in your large load centers. And
[39:31]
we looked at how that might work with our current network.
[39:35]
and we provided two plans throughout 2024 and
[39:39]
filed some comparison documents of the commission that looked at the pros and cons of using
[39:43]
vote. That was back in january.
[39:48]
in april. As I mentioned, the commission made the decision for the permian basin
[39:53]
to use the import path capability at the 7 65 level.
[39:58]
this would allow ercot to start using that in our planning process. As
[40:02]
we looked at the reliability needs for the rest of the state
[40:08]
in the summer, we had a joint project that was submitted through our
[40:12]
normal regional planning group process from encore,
[40:17]
a ep center point and cps that would
[40:21]
have us continue to study the eastern backbone of the 7 65
[40:26]
network. So throughout the summer and this fall, ercot
[40:30]
completed additional sensitivity studies, economic analysis
[40:35]
as well as stability, uh, analysis in coordination
[40:39]
with the stakeholders, reviewing stakeholder comment and input.
[40:43]
and we delivered our final recommendation to the regional
[40:47]
planning group and tac considered in november of this year.
[40:51]
thus it's before you for board endorsement today.
[40:57]
so again, just a little bit of the detail as we went back and looked,
[41:01]
what was the best option to be able to serve the needs of the state?
[41:07]
there are several reliability benefits that I wanna highlight that really
[41:11]
led to our recommendation that's before you today.
[41:16]
the first is if you think about these 7 65 lines, while yes,
[41:20]
7 65 is new to texas, it's not new technology, it's
[41:24]
been in use since the 1960s in the us so it's tried and
[41:29]
true by using this higher voltage
[41:33]
greenfield new right of ways, new build
[41:37]
out of the system that allows us the flexibility we need
[41:41]
to continue taking maintenance outages on the current system. We have,
[41:46]
as we've continued to grow, it becomes more and more difficult each day for utilities
[41:50]
to be able to take the outages they need to maintain lines
[41:54]
to cut in new lines for additions of generation or additions
[41:58]
of loads to the system. So this gave us more flexibility from that
[42:02]
perspective. You'll see in the comparison chart
[42:07]
through the economic analysis, by utilizing the 7 65
[42:11]
network, there are reduced congestion cost on the system.
[42:16]
so yes, while that's an economic benefit, it also provides an underlying
[42:20]
reliability benefit. So if you think about if you
[42:24]
have a system where, uh, power can flow freely without
[42:29]
congestion where it has to be rerouted, that gives us more flexibility
[42:33]
not only where generation is sided, but once it's sided there, being able to get it
[42:37]
to where the consumers need it. The most
[42:42]
impact to customers. I know when you say 7 65,
[42:47]
you think 3 45 it must be twice as big. While, while it
[42:51]
can carry much more power across those lines, it takes a lot less
[42:55]
right of way to move the same amount of power. A 7 65
[42:59]
right of way is needed about 200 feet compared to five
[43:04]
and half, 3 45 ride aways to carry the same amount of power.
[43:09]
so just 1 7 65 line could be built instead of five
[43:13]
and a half, 3 45 lines less impact to the
[43:17]
consumers of texas as bride aways are needed to be built.
[43:23]
and then last but not least as we did our research, uh, in talking with
[43:27]
others systems that utilize higher voltage,
[43:31]
they seem to find that they have fewer forced outage rates on those
[43:35]
higher voltage lines because of the setup in their configurations.
[43:44]
so jumping in, uh, to the particular project in front of you, as I studied,
[43:48]
uh, the utilities brought this to us this summer. We
[43:53]
utilized, uh, during our normal processes, uh, the opportunity
[43:57]
to build off of the work that we had done in 2024 is
[44:01]
our base case to do additional analysis and sensitivity studies.
[44:06]
one of the things that we focused on, and we get a lot of questions is the concern
[44:11]
this plan was developed for load increases in the state, substantial
[44:15]
load increases. What if those loads don't materialize?
[44:20]
so we ran sensitivity studies to take a step back and look
[44:24]
what if those large loads don't materialize. So we ran the
[44:28]
reliability need based off of lower levels of load
[44:33]
and we still still saw the need demonstrated for this 7 65
[44:37]
system.
[44:43]
so over basically a two year process timeline,
[44:47]
we continue to review, do additional analysis, take in stakeholder
[44:52]
feedback and comments. Our project summary,
[44:56]
uh, this is a list of the recommendations that would be needed for new
[45:01]
additions to the system to build out that plan.
[45:06]
and so I stand before you now to, uh, bring you ercot recommendation
[45:11]
to move forward and request your endorsement of moving forward with
[45:15]
this project as well. I'll pause there 'cause I know
[45:19]
you probably have some questions. Okay, any
[45:24]
questions for christie for this incredibly important project? So
[45:28]
christie, what you're saying, even in our, our low load case, this is still
[45:33]
required for reliability. So throughout all three scenarios, low base,
[45:37]
high load, this is required for reliability and the best alternative.
[45:42]
yes, I that is correct. Um, one thing that I failed to also
[45:46]
point out is a part of that two year study process. Not only did we study it looking
[45:50]
out to 2030 during our 2024 review cycle, but
[45:54]
we've been undergoing with, you know, additional new loads
[45:58]
that have come in as we're studying 2025 looking out to 2031.
[46:04]
and as we've gone through this year's annual regional transmission planning process,
[46:09]
we also see the need for this infrastructure to be able to reliably
[46:13]
serve the future demand on the system. So
[46:18]
low, medium, high as well as we've seen that now two
[46:22]
years in a row in our studies that it is needed. And what's
[46:27]
the approximate time to construct? So what the utilities
[46:31]
have told us, and I know they're here if they want to jump in and correct, um,
[46:36]
it would be in the 2030, probably 2031 timeframe.
[46:40]
okay. It's all contingent upon, I know they, they've been moving
[46:44]
forward, um, as they have been with the permian working,
[46:49]
uh, to get the equipment they need. Um, but also, uh, what
[46:53]
would be next steps if the board endorses this, then the utilities, then it moves over
[46:57]
to, to the commission process or the utilities would
[47:01]
do, um, customer notifications for potential right
[47:05]
of way decisions. Um, and that would take, you know, probably
[47:09]
most of next year to work through that process at the commission before they can actually start
[47:13]
building. Okay. Thank you. Christie, when did, when did
[47:18]
you sort of freeze the load analysis? Uh, did you, is it,
[47:22]
is it sort of july timeframe that you were using data from
[47:26]
or, or more recently than that? So this particular
[47:30]
review on this case was done, um, they submitted
[47:34]
it based off of the need that we saw in our 2024 analysis.
[47:39]
mm-hmm . So that load was froze, um,
[47:43]
in late probably april, may of
[47:47]
last year. And that was that study process. Now
[47:51]
fast forward we're, we're doing a similar study where we also see the need
[47:55]
during 2025 and that load, uh, wasn't finalized. If you
[48:00]
recall, we went through, uh, a forecast, um, discussion with the commission
[48:04]
and that was locked in in june. So, so june timeframe and
[48:08]
since then there's been more load added to the queue, right? That's correct.
[48:14]
kristy, uh, can you comment on our confidence level around
[48:18]
the cost of the project? So the costs,
[48:22]
uh, that are in this were based off of estimates that
[48:27]
were provi or generic type estimates that were provided based on the information
[48:31]
from last year. Um, I would probably defer
[48:35]
to the tsb counterparts, um, that have been doing negotiations with,
[48:40]
um, vendors for securing supply chain. Um,
[48:45]
one thing I would note, um, I know there was debate in the
[48:49]
past, um, from some previous larger transmission projects about
[48:53]
how the cost went up in time. And what we found is we implemented a new
[48:57]
practice this time around. So when we estimated the mileage that would
[49:01]
be needed for these, we added a 20% adder to the mileage
[49:05]
because we recognize when you go in and try to cite
[49:10]
where that line is actually gonna be placed, it's probably not gonna be a straight
[49:14]
line from point a to point b. And so, uh, we do add increased
[49:18]
mileage to account for that. Um, because every
[49:23]
turn on the, on the build of the system does add, you know, additional equipment that
[49:27]
needs to be accounted for. Thank you.
[49:31]
okay. Benjamin, do you have a comment? Uh, just a couple of questions. Why 20% for
[49:35]
the cost out from, we went back,
[49:39]
um, historically when we were doing it just a straight line
[49:43]
approach, what we saw on the average it was about 18% when
[49:48]
they would actually then come back to the commission. And so that's why we chose 20%.
[49:52]
it was based off of historical, uh, information.
[49:57]
so it didn't factor anything into like the geography of the area of this going through.
[50:02]
no. Uh, so this is about the same size as the permian
[50:06]
basin plan, which had a monitor. Is there any consideration for having a monitor or some sort of
[50:10]
cost reporting requirement for this plan? For this? So my recollection, um, how
[50:14]
the permian basin monitor was established was during the commission
[50:18]
deliberation process where they added that into their final
[50:23]
order for the permian plan to keep, um, overview
[50:27]
of schedule and cost, um, because of the importance of the timely
[50:31]
build out for the consumers in the permian. And that is actually being
[50:35]
run by and overseen by the commission. So I would defer
[50:40]
to, to commissioners, uh, whether that's something they would want
[50:44]
to entertain or a consideration of, of some version of that for
[50:48]
this project. Yeah, I'm happy to weigh on, on, in on that ben.
[50:52]
so I've talked to pc executive staff, um, about
[50:56]
this. I think at minimum we will take the construction reports
[51:01]
that will be filed by the tsps and compare those to the cost
[51:05]
estimates that, um, are in this approval if it gets approved so
[51:09]
that we have a benchmark that we can compare against. I'll continue to talk to
[51:13]
connie and barksdale about, you know, the portal that we've set up and if we have money
[51:18]
to expand the data that we put into that. Um,
[51:22]
but I think at minimum we will take the construction reports and do a comparison
[51:26]
and we can post that information online. 'cause I too, you know, uh, cor was
[51:30]
one of the first projects I was, I was involved with when I came to the commission
[51:34]
and so I'm, I'm very aware of, uh, the public's desire to know
[51:40]
cost overruns if schedule slips. And so I think it's important
[51:44]
given the, the magnitude of this and the cost that we are transparent about
[51:48]
any cost overruns and slips in schedules. So we will, we will do everything we can at the commission
[51:53]
to, uh, to make sure that that information's public so that everyone from the governor to the
[51:57]
legislature to, uh, the public at large knows, knows what's going on with this
[52:01]
project. I I appreciate that. Thank you
[52:13]
christie. My question has to do with the, uh, execution of the project.
[52:17]
can it be phased in and let's say
[52:22]
to match load expectations because that is
[52:26]
the load forecast seems to be so dynamic at this point. What, what was
[52:30]
deliberated about in terms of basing
[52:34]
the project? So I, I like to think about what's before you, if you
[52:38]
think about it. It's, it's a loop. So there were three set points
[52:43]
that were decided they're already established by the commission as a
[52:47]
part of the permian basin plan and then this completed the loop.
[52:51]
um, if you think about what we're recommending here, again, it's the super highway
[52:57]
and what it's giving us the opportunity, the points that we chose when we were preparing
[53:02]
this were strategically chosen, whether they're already large load centers
[53:07]
or they're generation pockets where we see a lot of generation on the system
[53:11]
today. So those are knowns and that helps us more efficiently move
[53:15]
power around. But as that load materializes over time,
[53:20]
we know it's important to know where they're gonna be located so that you can build transmission
[53:25]
to them. I would foresee this as being your interstate
[53:29]
as we, and it's needed based off our sensitivity, whether that
[53:33]
large load materializes it or not. But what this provides
[53:38]
you is when those new large loads or new generation comes to the system, where
[53:42]
do you build the exit ramps? And we have the flexibility to be able to do that
[53:46]
with a lower voltage.
[53:51]
this is a little bit off of normal protocol, but given the scope
[53:55]
and size of this project, if, uh, representatives from a ep encore
[53:59]
or cps or uh, uh, cnp would like
[54:03]
to comment, we're willing to listen.
[54:10]
okay. I don't see anybody jumping up. Alright,
[54:15]
carpenter. Okay. Okay. We do have a commenter. Okay.
[54:34]
uh, yes, this is mark carpenter, senior vice president with encore electric delivery.
[54:40]
um, the cost estimates we have in this we think are prudent costs
[54:44]
given the information we have at the time, things like tariffs and
[54:48]
right away costs. And some of those things are variables that, uh, uh, we've
[54:53]
taken our best guess and, but we're very comfortable with the, with the
[54:57]
cost estimates and I believe the other two tsps would say the same thing.
[55:04]
okay. Thank you. That's helpful. Anybody else?
[55:10]
christie, any closing comments? No, I, I would,
[55:14]
uh, thank you for your consideration. As I said, it's been, uh,
[55:19]
a very long process to get to here, um, a lot of
[55:23]
review and and consultation. Um, so I'm excited to see what your
[55:27]
decision is. Okay. With that, I'll entertain a motion
[55:31]
to approve the 25 rpg 0 2 5
[55:36]
a ep texas cps energy encore and cnp texas
[55:40]
7 65 kv step eastern backbone project. So
[55:44]
moved. Okay. Thank that was bill. Yeah. Okay. Uh, second?
[55:48]
yes. Second. Okay. Got two of me, linda and kathleen. All in favor?
[55:52]
aye. Aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions?
[55:57]
okay. That project is approved. Christie, would you proceed with
[56:01]
the next agenda item? Sorry. And lemme go ahead and read it. It's agenda item 14.225
[56:07]
rpg 0 2 2 encore, and a psc drill hole to sand lake
[56:12]
to solstice 7 65 kv line project.
[56:17]
all right, so we've, we've talked about from the 7 65 perspective,
[56:21]
when we looked at the strategic transmission expansion plan to
[56:25]
reliably meet the needs of consumers into the future, we had the permian
[56:30]
portions, we have had the eastern portions you just considered. If you think about
[56:34]
out in far west texas and the permian basin area, there
[56:38]
are three import lines that were approved by the commission.
[56:42]
they all end there and this project was brought forward at the same time
[56:47]
based off of the, the same analysis we discussed, uh, on the other project
[56:52]
to close in those three endpoints so that we would have a fully
[56:56]
networked 7 65 backbone on the system. 'em,
[57:01]
we went through that same review process in, in considering, um, looking
[57:05]
at what we had analyzed in 2024, what we had analyzed in our
[57:09]
2025 planning process working with the regional planning group.
[57:14]
and we still saw, um, the reliability need. And I think from this
[57:18]
perspective, I look at it not only as reliability but resiliency.
[57:22]
it'll give us more flexibility in the future as we're looking at outages
[57:26]
that may need be needed for, for maintenance to be able to have that system fully
[57:31]
networked. So the request before you, um,
[57:35]
is to endorse the need for this project based
[57:39]
on our reliability planning criteria. And
[57:43]
would you replete the estimated cost again? Sure, it is,
[57:48]
um, I believe it's $742 million.
[57:53]
okay. This is just for line cost. Uh, the substation costs were
[57:57]
already a part of the permian plan approval. Okay.
[58:01]
any questions for christie on this? No
[58:06]
questions, no comments. Uh, hearing none I will entertain
[58:10]
a motion to, um, approve the 25
[58:15]
rpg 0 2 2 encore and a psc drill hole to sand
[58:19]
hole to sand lake. So to solstice, excuse me, drill hole
[58:23]
to sand lake to solstice. 7 65 kv line project.
[58:27]
so moved. Thank you. Chris. Do I hear a second? Second,
[58:32]
peggy? All in favor? Aye. Any opposed?
[58:36]
any abstentions? Okay, that project is unanimously
[58:41]
approved. Bill, before we go on to the next one, I'd like to just take an opportunity to
[58:45]
send a thank you to our teams that are probably watching. Um,
[58:49]
they've spent a lot of time and analysis not only in the planning
[58:54]
department, uh, coordination, working with dan's folks, the the markets folks
[58:58]
to look at some of the economic analysis. So it was a, a large effort
[59:02]
by a lot of folks at ercot to bring this forward. Um, I think woody
[59:06]
likes to joke, if you were a planning engineer in another iso, you
[59:11]
may get to work on one u line in your career. And, um,
[59:15]
the planning engineers on our team have had quite the past two years.
[59:19]
so, uh, thank you chris.
[59:24]
with that, we're gonna proceed to the third voting item, which is agenda item 14.324
[59:30]
rrg, r pg 0 2 0, encore connell
[59:34]
3 45 slash 1 38 kv switch and connell to
[59:38]
rockham 3 45 kv double circuit line project option
[59:42]
one. Christie, would you present that to us please? You bet. So this is
[59:46]
$110 million, uh, project that was brought forward by
[59:51]
encore. If you recall the last couple of board meetings, dan's been
[59:55]
providing information in the far west texas area. We know that's an
[59:59]
area that is growing. Um, while there are a lot of projects
[1:00:03]
that have already been endorsed that are being built in the area, as we continue
[1:00:07]
to see additional demands on the system in far west texas, you're gonna need
[1:00:11]
additional infrastructure to continue supporting them. And so this project was
[1:00:15]
brought forward by encore, went through our, uh, review process
[1:00:20]
and we saw reliability need in that far west as additional loads
[1:00:25]
would be continued to be added to, um, do
[1:00:29]
upgrades, um, to the system in the region to eliminate
[1:00:33]
or, um, thermal and voltage violations in that far west
[1:00:38]
texas area. This project was unanimously endorsed by
[1:00:42]
attack. Um, and so with that, I would
[1:00:46]
request the board's endorsement of this, uh, encore
[1:00:50]
project in the far west area, uh, which totaled about $110 million.
[1:00:56]
any questions for christie? One question is yes
[1:01:01]
for this project, christie, how, how fast can this be done and what, what
[1:01:05]
will the timeline look like? Um, lemme let me take a quick look at our report
[1:01:09]
here. Um, what the expected timeline? Um, I think I
[1:01:13]
know one disclaimer while I'm looking up that, that timeline, um,
[1:01:17]
it's, it's needed for in-service in 2026. So
[1:01:21]
this is looking at a project that would be next year. There is 13 miles
[1:01:25]
of right of way that are required. So they will have to go through, uh, the commission
[1:01:30]
ccn process to establish that need and
[1:01:34]
get approval for the siding of that new right of way. Um, and I know one disclaimer
[1:01:39]
that the utilities typically put in when they give us timelines on how quickly
[1:01:43]
they think they can build the project, um, is that it's
[1:01:47]
dependent upon, um, outages. So when we talked about approving
[1:01:52]
the 7 65 plan and how our system is utilizing
[1:01:56]
its full transmission capability today, it becomes harder and harder to take those
[1:02:00]
outages. So it's also dependent upon weather and being able to take those outages
[1:02:04]
needed to, to upgrade the systems. Thank
[1:02:09]
you. Sorry. If, if you don't mind, encore, representative
[1:02:13]
kin to speak to that. Yes, liz jones on behalf of encore.
[1:02:18]
um, I, I do have some updated information in response to your question.
[1:02:22]
because of the delay in processing this rpg submittal
[1:02:26]
and because of customer needs, encore went ahead and filed
[1:02:30]
the ccn proceeding with the puc and that
[1:02:35]
is nearing its end. And so there will be some time savings
[1:02:39]
as we move forward to build and operate the
[1:02:44]
facilities. So don't leave liz, any questions for liz while she's
[1:02:48]
up there? Okay. Alright, thank you.
[1:02:52]
that was helpful. Any other questions or comments?
[1:02:57]
I'm not hearing any, so I'll entertain a motion to approve the two four
[1:03:01]
rpg 0 2 0 encore con connell 3 45, 1 35, 1 38
[1:03:08]
kv switch and connell to rock hand. 3 45 kv double
[1:03:12]
circuit line project option one. Do I hear a motion?
[1:03:16]
so moved. Thank you julie. I have a second. Second. Okay. Who is that? Bill.
[1:03:21]
okay, thank you. All in favor? Aye. Any opposed?
[1:03:26]
any abstentions? Okay. Uh, ercot board has endorsed this project
[1:03:30]
for approval. Next, we'll move to agenda item 15, commercial
[1:03:35]
markets. The first agenda item is 15.1
[1:03:39]
market price correction, incorrect generation to be dispatched, values
[1:03:43]
used in scad gordon drake is gonna present this item. Gordon.
[1:03:53]
thank you chairman flores and members of the board. It's my pleasure to be here, uh,
[1:03:57]
to present this potential price correction for your consideration, uh,
[1:04:01]
to talk about the events that that led to the issue in our market systems
[1:04:05]
and request board approval to correct prices for operating day october 14th.
[1:04:12]
on october 14th, um, we had, uh, an input
[1:04:16]
into our generation to be dispatched value in our market systems.
[1:04:21]
that is a, a parameter in our market system that determines how much, uh, generation
[1:04:25]
do we need to, uh, instruct to, to generate in order to meet the, the
[1:04:29]
load. Um, and a key input into determining that generation two
[1:04:34]
b dispatched value is the, the load forecast that they, that the controller
[1:04:38]
is using and our market systems observe. And we had been,
[1:04:42]
uh, using our external short term load forecast as an input to our market
[1:04:46]
systems when we noticed an abnormal spike in the, um,
[1:04:51]
in, in that load forecast. And the control room has the ability
[1:04:55]
to switch to another load forecast that more accurately reflects the
[1:04:59]
expected load pattern. Uh, as they were executing that switch, uh,
[1:05:03]
because of the, uh, the observed spike, unfortunately, there was a,
[1:05:07]
a software bug that prevented that from, uh, appropriately executing.
[1:05:11]
and so that, that that price spike, so that load spike was reflected
[1:05:16]
in the calculations for the, the generation to be dispatched parameters
[1:05:20]
as a result that the, the generation to be dispatched parameter,
[1:05:24]
um, impacted prices between, uh, eight 10 and 9:15 pm
[1:05:29]
resulting in high system-wide prices, uh, in between, uh, eight 10
[1:05:33]
and 8:15 pm so all the prices were impacted within that window, but
[1:05:37]
we, we noticed, uh, particularly high prices in that eight 10
[1:05:41]
to 8:15 pm window. We identified this as
[1:05:45]
a software issue, uh, on october 23rd. Um, and
[1:05:49]
as thus could not meet the, the two business day timeline in the protocols
[1:05:54]
in order to correct prices before they went final. And that is why we are
[1:05:58]
here today requesting your approval. The, the cause of that software
[1:06:02]
bug that prevented the effective switch between the load forecast was identified and
[1:06:06]
affix was deployed near the end of october. We communicated the,
[1:06:11]
uh, event in our investigation to the market through two market notices, uh,
[1:06:15]
the first on october 24th, uh, providing the same details that
[1:06:19]
we are sharing here today. And on nover november 17th. Uh,
[1:06:23]
upon concluding our analysis, uh, and informing the market of our, uh, intention to,
[1:06:28]
uh, present it to the board of directors for approval at this meeting,
[1:06:33]
we determined that the impact of prices met the significance criteria
[1:06:37]
in our, in our, uh, nodal protocols, um, exceeding the thresholds
[1:06:42]
of, uh, an impact of 2% and also greater than $20,000
[1:06:46]
or 20%, and also greater than $2,000 to a single counterparty.
[1:06:51]
we had 18 counterparties that met the first criterion and three counterparties
[1:06:55]
that met the second criterion. And the absolute value
[1:06:59]
to counterparties, uh, to a single counterparty was a maximum
[1:07:03]
of $140,000. Um, which, and the maximum percentage
[1:07:08]
criteria of nearly 22% and nearly 150% for
[1:07:12]
the second criterion. Overall,
[1:07:17]
the impact to ercot settlements was just more than $800,000,
[1:07:21]
um, representing the shisha of 4% of the total market settlements for that
[1:07:25]
day. Um, in summation, we had, uh,
[1:07:30]
an issue in our software that led to, uh, an impact to an
[1:07:34]
inappropriate impact to prices for operating day october 14th, which met
[1:07:38]
the significance criteria in our protocols, and we are requesting
[1:07:42]
board approval to correct the prices, uh, for the real time market for operating
[1:07:46]
day october 14th. I'm happy to answer any questions. Okay, chris,
[1:07:51]
uh, just to comment, uh, gordon, I would say good job on describing
[1:07:56]
a tough and complex issue. Um,
[1:08:00]
I, I, I appreciate it. This isn't, it's not easy to describe and explain.
[1:08:04]
thank you. What has happened here, and I'm glad there's a fix.
[1:08:09]
any other questions for gordon or comments? And
[1:08:14]
you provided your assurance that that particular issue has been fixed, so yes,
[1:08:18]
sir. Shouldn't have a repeat occurrence. Okay, thank you. I don't hear any other
[1:08:22]
comments or questions, so recognizing that, uh, I'll entertain a motion
[1:08:26]
to approve the price correction as presented. So moved. Okay. Thank you, chris.
[1:08:31]
any second, sir? Okay, peggy, thank you. All in favor?
[1:08:36]
aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions? Okay. The price
[1:08:40]
correction has been approved. Next, we're gonna move to agenda item 15.2.
[1:08:45]
keith collins is gonna give us a commercial up, uh, markets update.
[1:08:56]
all right, good morning. This is an informational discussion
[1:09:01]
and we'll cover some of the key initiatives we're working on,
[1:09:05]
uh, over the last several months, but also moving forward as well.
[1:09:10]
and we'll cover, uh, our current credit situation in terms of,
[1:09:14]
uh, the, uh, we haven't seen any significant market credit or settlements
[1:09:18]
related items, and we'll cover that in a second. So, uh,
[1:09:23]
starting off, we've, we've discussed a couple of these, uh, a few times, but I think it's important to
[1:09:27]
highlight again that, uh, the first key initiative we're working
[1:09:31]
on is dispatchable reliability reserve service. We did cover this a bit more yesterday,
[1:09:36]
but just to give a few more highlights, we did have a study,
[1:09:40]
uh, from a more aurora energy research that showed the,
[1:09:44]
uh, the potential benefits of, of the, the various
[1:09:48]
permutations of, of drrs. We'll talk about that in a few minutes.
[1:09:53]
we did post the two nprs, uh, our drs an ancillary
[1:09:58]
service version under 1309 and drs ancillary service
[1:10:02]
plus under 1310. And we will be hosting
[1:10:06]
a stakeholder workshop here, uh, a week from, uh, a
[1:10:10]
week from tomorrow, uh, at the met center to with aurora
[1:10:14]
to discuss the report with stakeholders. Uh, secondly,
[1:10:19]
uh, our residential demand response program. We had a,
[1:10:23]
uh, we had a, uh, had good discussion with stakeholders
[1:10:27]
at the wms on november 5th. There was a lot of good feedback that
[1:10:31]
we received at that. Uh, during that discussion. We are taking that feedback,
[1:10:36]
uh, and, and the points raised during there and working on revising
[1:10:41]
the proposal based on some of the key points that we, we, we
[1:10:45]
learned during that discussion. We expect to have, uh, some, uh, a modified
[1:10:49]
npr, uh, early next year. And then the
[1:10:53]
final point is the energy attribute certificate program. This
[1:10:57]
was something that we discussed in june at the june board under npr
[1:11:01]
1264. We have been making significant, uh,
[1:11:05]
progress on that. Uh, I, I will note that we are have been working with stakeholders
[1:11:10]
on a sort of a lightweight option that had been discussed at the board.
[1:11:15]
and, uh, ultimately we have, uh, provided some updates to
[1:11:19]
the prs and the wms on a request for a quote for a
[1:11:23]
vendor. Uh, ultimately part of the next steps will be to select a vendor, but we have
[1:11:28]
at least have, uh, uh, a draft version of, of that request.
[1:11:32]
and we've made some draft comments to, uh, the stakeholders regarding
[1:11:37]
1264 to better define the processes, roles and responsibilities.
[1:11:41]
and sort of the final point that I wanna make as, as part of our key takeaway, obviously, rtc,
[1:11:45]
all of this has been going on while we've also simultaneously been working on rtc
[1:11:49]
plus b, but I do want to sort of note that there are some stabilization efforts
[1:11:54]
going on over the, over the course of the next few months. We mentioned some of those yesterday.
[1:11:59]
I, uh, thankfully that it, it, it has been, uh, a relatively smooth,
[1:12:03]
but, but again, there are some cleanup items that we want to just not ignore as we move forward.
[1:12:10]
and then talking about market credit update, there have been no significant issues,
[1:12:15]
uh, in either the settlement or credit related defaults. Uh,
[1:12:19]
when we, we view our total exposure, there's generally a seasonal pattern, and we saw
[1:12:24]
a summer peak, uh, 1.84 billion, and that's come down,
[1:12:28]
uh, to about 1.57 in october. Just a update
[1:12:32]
on npr 1277. This is something that we
[1:12:37]
discussed, uh, starting at the end of last year, beginning of of this year,
[1:12:41]
we did have an npr, uh, that went through the process to
[1:12:45]
help improve the collateralization requirements and the impacts of high
[1:12:49]
volatility that passed the commission in november.
[1:12:53]
and we do anticipate implementing that in early 2026.
[1:12:58]
the other item that I want to highlight is that we have been, uh, working
[1:13:02]
on a credit, uh, our credit staff is working on an
[1:13:07]
analysis that evaluates and measures market stress scenarios. And we do look
[1:13:11]
forward to bringing that through the stakeholder process, uh, in 2026.
[1:13:18]
uh, that concludes my update, and I'm happy to answer any questions that, uh,
[1:13:22]
the board may have. Any questions for keith?
[1:13:27]
okay. John, do you have a question? Yes. Keith, as you look out over time, um,
[1:13:32]
be beyond the immediate things that you're working on, are there any
[1:13:36]
things on, on your roadmap that would continue to send better price
[1:13:40]
signals to the marketplace about the need for dispatchable generation?
[1:13:45]
and if so, can you give us a bit of an idea of what kinds of things you're thinking about?
[1:13:50]
I, I think the, the most immediate thing that we're, we're looking at is our,
[1:13:54]
our dispatchable reliability reserve service. That's, that's really our focus. We think that
[1:13:58]
has the ability to do precisely what you're hitting on is you,
[1:14:02]
uh, incentivize dispatchable resources, uh, within
[1:14:07]
the market in, in order to address the, the reliability concerns,
[1:14:11]
the growing relian concerns we're seeing, is it enough
[1:14:15]
by itself? Uh, what, what we see, and we'll talk about this in just a
[1:14:19]
few minutes, is that, uh, the combination of, uh,
[1:14:23]
what we saw in senate bill six and the drs ansley
[1:14:27]
service plus version in combination should be enough
[1:14:31]
to, to address the majority, if not all the issues, uh, that, that we've
[1:14:35]
studied. Okay. Thank you.
[1:14:39]
okay. Thank you, john.
[1:14:43]
I'd like to, I mean, there's also the, uh, the reliability standard
[1:14:48]
study next year. That'll be a good indicator too.
[1:14:54]
okay. Any other questions for keith? Alright,
[1:14:59]
keith, I think you have the next agenda item, which is, uh, 15.3
[1:15:03]
dispatchable reliability reserve service, or as we call it, drrs.
[1:15:08]
drs. Yes. Thank you. Thank you, mr. Chairman. Uh, I'm here to present,
[1:15:12]
uh, on the study that was done by aurora. We have representatives from aurora here
[1:15:16]
as well, aurora energy research in the event that there may be some questions from
[1:15:20]
the board, uh, they're here with us today. Uh, I'm here to
[1:15:24]
not present the full report, but to give the highlights, uh, that we, and key
[1:15:28]
takeaways of, of that, of that report. Uh, this was presented
[1:15:32]
to the commission a few weeks ago, and we, we plan to
[1:15:37]
have, uh, some dialogue with stakeholders, as I said earlier, in a couple weeks, to, to go
[1:15:41]
through the, the specifics of the report.
[1:15:45]
and so, um, starting with the
[1:15:49]
conclusions, and I think this was, was, was kind of key, was that
[1:15:53]
there is no silver bullet, uh, market design solution, uh, either
[1:15:58]
on the load side, uh, with, with potential load curtailment or,
[1:16:03]
uh, on the generation side market design. However,
[1:16:07]
and this gets to the question that, that, uh, I just just responded to,
[1:16:11]
is that when you, when you do look at, uh, the impacts of these
[1:16:15]
different, uh, tools, they do have significant effects individually
[1:16:20]
on improving, uh, the resource adequacy and the potential for,
[1:16:24]
for outages in the future. And in particular, the,
[1:16:28]
the drs ancillary service plus case, as opposed to
[1:16:32]
some other analyses we looked at. And we compared different alternative scenarios. And
[1:16:36]
that included, um, the dispatchable reliability, reser
[1:16:41]
reserve service that was presented in 1309. We looked at that as
[1:16:45]
just an ancillary ser as a, as primarily as an ancillary service design. And
[1:16:49]
we did look at the ordc, um slash adcs as they
[1:16:53]
are now, uh, in, in the market. And we looked at modifications there and said, well, would those be
[1:16:57]
significant enough? And what we found was that the, the drs
[1:17:01]
ancillary service plus scenario adds more dispatchable
[1:17:05]
capacity at lower costs and provides greater resource adequacy
[1:17:09]
benefits under, uh, different load and, and extreme weather conditions.
[1:17:14]
and so it, it did provide the, the most benefits at, at the
[1:17:18]
lowest value, at the lowest cost. And so, uh, uh,
[1:17:22]
so the study did a good job of, of evaluating that, that universe. And,
[1:17:27]
and so when we look at the combination of that drs an
[1:17:31]
service plus in combination with the senate bill six programs
[1:17:35]
to, for large load and, and large load curtailment, you can end
[1:17:39]
up in a scenario where you'll cover a range of potential outcomes that
[1:17:43]
that could potentially exist.
[1:17:47]
all right? And so the, the first slide here is essentially an
[1:17:52]
evaluation of, of the status quo market design, uh, under,
[1:17:56]
um, under, under stress conditions, either a winter storm
[1:18:00]
or a summer heat wave. And the winter storm, uh, this is, is the equivalent
[1:18:04]
of winter storm elliot, not necessarily winter storm yuri,
[1:18:08]
winter storm. Elliot was, uh, uh, essentially a christmas
[1:18:13]
time, uh, winter storm in, in 2022. The summer
[1:18:17]
heat wave that we looked at was just, uh, the summer we experienced a few years ago in 2023.
[1:18:22]
so these are, are, uh, relatively recent events. And
[1:18:26]
if we apply the same conditions under the load conditions,
[1:18:30]
uh, and by load conditions, we looked at the ercot 2025
[1:18:34]
long-term load forecast and an aurora, uh, what
[1:18:38]
they call the aurora central case, which is, is a more moderate demand scenario.
[1:18:43]
uh, that what we find in both scenarios that we see, uh, the,
[1:18:47]
the duration, uh, the magnitude, which you see here
[1:18:51]
represented in the bars in terms of the outages, the duration, uh, in terms of hours,
[1:18:55]
uh, you see around that, uh, 15, 11 to 15 hour range. And
[1:18:59]
the total amount of, of load shed, you see are in the gray boxes under the chart
[1:19:04]
of, uh, in, in, of about 60 to over a hundred gigawatt
[1:19:08]
hours of, of load shed. And then the costs are represented in the
[1:19:13]
bottom chart in terms of how much cost at the, at
[1:19:17]
the value of lost load would we expect, uh, to
[1:19:21]
occur during those events. And you'll see that being, uh, ranging for about 2 billion to,
[1:19:25]
to just, just under $4 billion. So this is under the status
[1:19:30]
quo in 2030 in the event that we had, uh, an event,
[1:19:34]
uh, like, uh, like winter storm elliot, or like,
[1:19:39]
uh, uh, a summer event like 2023. So it is, it is a reasonable
[1:19:43]
to assume that those could potentially occur in the future, and this is the outcomes that we
[1:19:47]
would anticipate based on their analysis.
[1:19:52]
alright, so we asked, we asked the aurora staff to look
[1:19:56]
at, uh, the senate bill six. Uh, we knew that that had
[1:20:00]
the potential to improve the scenarios. And, and what
[1:20:04]
we see is, is essentially mixed, uh, that under some scenarios it has significant
[1:20:09]
benefits under other scenarios. It, it, uh, has some benefit, but, but limited
[1:20:13]
effects. And, and so we'll start with the charts on the, on the left,
[1:20:17]
which show under high load growth scenario, this, this being equivalent to
[1:20:21]
a significant amount of large load, uh, inter interconnection
[1:20:25]
by 2030. Uh, and what we see under those scenarios that, that
[1:20:29]
flexibility afforded to you under those scenarios under emergency
[1:20:34]
conditions. And that's, that's important that a lot of that, uh, the
[1:20:38]
access to that capability occurs, uh, not necessarily under market conditions, but potentially
[1:20:42]
under emergency conditions. You can, you can, uh, potentially
[1:20:46]
address the, both the summer and winter events and
[1:20:50]
that, that you see there by the elimination of those bars and elimination
[1:20:54]
of the costs on the right hand side. If you end up with a moderate
[1:20:58]
load growth scenario where you do have, uh, data centers coming, but
[1:21:03]
maybe perhaps not at that, that high level that is envisioned in a long-term
[1:21:07]
load forecast, then what we see is that there's a more
[1:21:11]
limited effect that those large loads can have on on outcomes
[1:21:15]
and that can lead to significant, still, still have significant outages
[1:21:20]
remain and significant costs as well. So, uh, again,
[1:21:24]
this is a scenario where the, the senate bill six large load, uh, uh,
[1:21:28]
curtailments under emergencies can have positive effects. But again, it's not a
[1:21:32]
silver bullet. All
[1:21:36]
right? And then concentrating on the drs
[1:21:40]
ancillary service plus scenario, we find that, again, it
[1:21:44]
has the potential to help alleviate both under the high and the
[1:21:48]
moderate load growth scenarios, but it doesn't eliminate the scenario.
[1:21:52]
uh, what we do also look at is, uh, uh, the storage
[1:21:57]
included and not included. And so that does add another wrinkle. The, the khaki
[1:22:01]
color that you see here is has the storage excluded the yellow color, has it
[1:22:05]
storage included. And what we find is that it's, it's mixed in some
[1:22:10]
scenarios, the storage can help in some scenarios. The storage doesn't
[1:22:14]
have the same benefits as, as excluding them. Uh,
[1:22:18]
and again, I think that's primarily related to duration. When you're, when you're
[1:22:22]
evaluate, we evaluated this with four hour storage and four hour storage,
[1:22:27]
uh, under, under summer conditions tends to be, uh, uh, more
[1:22:31]
effective under the longer winter term scenarios. It, it, it tends to be a little less effective
[1:22:36]
than dispatchable thermal capability. And so really
[1:22:40]
what we see is a reduction, uh, when we have ansi service, plus
[1:22:44]
we see a reduction in the magnitude, the reduction in frequency, the
[1:22:48]
reduction in the number of hours that we see impacted in a reduction in the costs. But again, it
[1:22:53]
is not a silver bullet and, and we're cognizant of that, but it does have a significant
[1:22:57]
impact on the outcomes that we see. And interestingly enough too, is that
[1:23:01]
where the, under the high growth scenario, the large loads
[1:23:06]
tend to to be more effective. We see under the moderate load growth scenario
[1:23:10]
that the, uh, drs ansley service plus, uh, tends to be,
[1:23:14]
um, a bit more effective in addressing concerns. And that, that, that shows they're a bit
[1:23:18]
complimentary, if you will.
[1:23:22]
okay. And then comparing the drs ansi service plus to alternatives,
[1:23:27]
we looked at the cost, we looked at the amount of, uh, dispatchable
[1:23:32]
generation that we see added, and that's sort of a proxy in their, in their report, they
[1:23:36]
show that ultimately the, the drs ancillary service plus
[1:23:40]
scenario does have a greater level of reliability benefits
[1:23:45]
as compared to the others. And so, um, but, but in this chart, we're covering
[1:23:49]
the costs and, and the quantities. And what we see on the far left chart
[1:23:53]
is this is the all in system costs under the different scenarios,
[1:23:57]
including the status quo. The chart in the middle,
[1:24:01]
uh, effectively does the, the comparison for you. It's comparing each
[1:24:06]
scenario, the ansi service scenario, the ansi service plus scenario,
[1:24:10]
and the ordc scenarios. And it's comparing it. And, and we
[1:24:14]
see in the middle chart that ultimately the cost associated with
[1:24:18]
drs ans answer service, ansley service case, uh, uh,
[1:24:22]
we see a net net cost of about 700 million in the
[1:24:26]
drs anser service. Plus case, we see a net cost of 400 million.
[1:24:31]
and we see on the rdc case a cost of about 2.2 billion.
[1:24:35]
and so very different cost profiles depending on which scenario
[1:24:40]
you take. But, um, what we see in the final chart is
[1:24:44]
how much dispatchable capacity relative to the status quo do we see,
[1:24:48]
uh, under the ancillary service scenario. Uh, we see 900 megawatts of incremental,
[1:24:53]
uh, capacity. Again, it's a very incremental program. Uh, it
[1:24:57]
is, it is designed as a, primarily an ancillary service. And so
[1:25:01]
it's, it's going to have incremental effects. Uh, whereas the ancillary
[1:25:05]
service plus case, we see five gigawatts of additional dispatchable generation,
[1:25:10]
and what we see is a reduction in the amount of solar, uh,
[1:25:14]
and the short term and, and even some of the four hour storage. And
[1:25:18]
then under the ordc, what we see is an increase of,
[1:25:22]
uh, 1.7 gigawatts of dispatchable thermal capacity. But
[1:25:26]
we also see solar. We also see one hour battery. We also see two hour battery,
[1:25:31]
uh, storage as well, uh, in addition. So, uh, in terms
[1:25:35]
of additional dispatchable thermal cap capacity, the
[1:25:39]
drs ancillary service plus is, uh, we see it's the lower net costs,
[1:25:43]
we see it's more dispatchable capacity. And when we translate that into reliability,
[1:25:48]
it has, uh, greater reliability benefits compared to the other scenarios as well.
[1:25:54]
so in terms of next steps, uh, the two nprs that we've been talking
[1:25:59]
about, the 1309 has the urgent status, and the
[1:26:03]
1310 will also be brought up in the stakeholder process. It's
[1:26:07]
important to note that what we're deeming the release factor, which
[1:26:11]
is a part of the ancillary service plus scenario, uh, that's what creates
[1:26:15]
the reli. The, the resource adequacy benefit is this release factor.
[1:26:20]
ultimately, uh, that is going to be in an off position until approved
[1:26:24]
by the, the commission to, to switch it into the on position.
[1:26:28]
and then ultimately, the energy storage under thir, uh, npr
[1:26:32]
1310 will also be in an off position until approved to turn on
[1:26:37]
by the puc. And then, and then finally, as I noted,
[1:26:41]
we will be having a stakeholder discussion on december 17th. So again, a week from
[1:26:45]
a week from tomorrow, we will be discussing with stakeholders all the various, uh,
[1:26:49]
addressing all their various questions. And we've been receiving several of them, uh, but,
[1:26:54]
but, uh, mostly pointing to pointing them to the discussion that we have, so we
[1:26:58]
can all hear it, and, and I'll have, uh, uh, a common set of understanding of what the findings
[1:27:02]
of the report were. So, uh, I'm happy to answer any questions. I also have, like I
[1:27:06]
said, the, the representatives from aurora to answer any questions that you may have. Uh, keith,
[1:27:10]
I'll start with the questions. Let's go back to, uh, slide six, if you would.
[1:27:15]
yes. Looking at the right hand column. So we saw a decrease in battery
[1:27:19]
and storage, right? Uh, so what we have in that, that right
[1:27:23]
hand chart, what you see in that middle scenario right, is a, a decline
[1:27:28]
in, and this is relative to this status quo case, correct? Right. So you're
[1:27:32]
not, you're not, you're not retiring those resources, you're just adding
[1:27:36]
less, you're not adding them. So the, my question is, are they not being added because
[1:27:40]
of a policy consideration or an economic consideration? It is
[1:27:44]
primarily because of the economics of the drrs ansi
[1:27:48]
service scenario. So the as plus, as plus scenario correct, uh, creates a
[1:27:53]
lower economic incentive for capital deployment for storage companies.
[1:27:57]
is that correct? For the, for storage and for the, um,
[1:28:01]
for the solar as well. And, and just to point out, this whole, all of the modeling
[1:28:05]
on this page is done with the batteries ineligible to participate,
[1:28:10]
correct? Correct. As the prior slides, that's right. We did see scenarios with eligibility
[1:28:14]
inclusive and non and non-inclusive. So this one,
[1:28:18]
all of these scenarios show without batteries being eligible. Correct. But that's why I was trying to dis grade
[1:28:23]
is how much of it's because batteries are ineligible versus economics that were causing that
[1:28:27]
capital and not be deployed. And, and, and there isn't. There
[1:28:31]
is a chart where, where pablo is, is noted. We have a comparable chart that
[1:28:35]
shows the battery's eligible, but those batteries eligible are the four
[1:28:39]
hour batteries, right? So what we'll see there in that chart is an increase.
[1:28:44]
um, so the increase in the dispatchable capacity will won't be as high. So
[1:28:48]
it's five gigawatts in this, it'll be a little bit less, and then you'll have
[1:28:52]
a, a value for the, um, the four hour storage, but
[1:28:56]
then you'll, you'll have reductions in the short hour, the short duration
[1:29:00]
storage, as well as the solar. Okay. Any other questions? There's
[1:29:05]
lots to digest. Okay, chairman, thank you, mr. Chairman. Uh, keith, I
[1:29:09]
think it would be probably beneficial for the board members to hear, uh,
[1:29:13]
to hear you respond to a question I asked at our last open meeting. Um, you
[1:29:17]
know, some of the, the critique I've heard of this has been around
[1:29:21]
a lot of these charts, and a lot of the discussion sounds similar to the discussion around the pcm.
[1:29:26]
so can you kind of compare and contrast this to the pcm
[1:29:30]
market design that we had, uh, so many discussions about previously?
[1:29:35]
absolutely. And, and if you just bear with me with a moment, I'll sort of start with
[1:29:40]
an analogy and then we'll get into the specifics of how it can differ from
[1:29:44]
the, the, the pcm. So I think there, what we've heard
[1:29:49]
from folks is, is potentially some, um, some
[1:29:53]
reactions that are, well, this looks like pcm or this is a capacity market.
[1:29:57]
and, and I think part of that is that when you're seeing something that you're,
[1:30:02]
that you, you've never seen before or is new to you, um, and we see this with
[1:30:06]
lots of innovations and things that you're, you're gonna describe it like something, you know,
[1:30:11]
and for example, if, if you're, you're going to the ocean for the
[1:30:15]
first time with, with, with a child and saying that you see a,
[1:30:19]
a, a big creature jump out of the water and, and the child says, hey, look at the big
[1:30:23]
fish. Well, um, a whale is not a fish. Um,
[1:30:27]
but you can forgive them for, for mistaking the difference between the two.
[1:30:32]
and so I, I sort of look at these reactions the same way, because
[1:30:37]
the, the primary difference between the drs ancillary service plus
[1:30:41]
case and the pcm is, uh,
[1:30:45]
we talk about, uh, our market as an energy only, but that's
[1:30:49]
not entirely true because we have ansley service markets.
[1:30:54]
we have a crr market, we have an ers process, so we have
[1:30:58]
things that compliment the energy only market, and one of them is ansley services,
[1:31:03]
which is, which is what drs, uh, is designed
[1:31:07]
to be an ansley service. And so what we have done in this release
[1:31:11]
factor process is to use that ancillary service mechanism
[1:31:16]
and to allow it to enhance resource adequacy.
[1:31:20]
and so it will be paid like an ancillary service. It'll be settled like an ancillary service.
[1:31:25]
and, and so it's using that mechanism. And so we don't
[1:31:29]
have a mechanism like that today. Um, and it's my understanding that no
[1:31:33]
market has a mechanism quite like that. And so it is
[1:31:37]
not a separate mechanism like you would see with the
[1:31:42]
capacity market, like you would see with the pcm that sits outside of
[1:31:46]
that existing structure. And so really, we're using
[1:31:50]
ansley services to promote resource adequacy. And I think that's
[1:31:54]
very different. And, and, and I think one of the things that I think of is
[1:31:58]
there, there are, there are different ways you can achieve resource adequacy. Um, just
[1:32:03]
like you have many creatures swimming in the sea, but not all of them are
[1:32:07]
capacity markets. And not all of them are pcm in this case. It is in fact an ancillary service,
[1:32:12]
um, um, to promote resource adequacy.
[1:32:16]
it's kind of a fishy analogy. Uh, anyway,
[1:32:20]
any other questions or comments on this particular subject? There's
[1:32:24]
a lot to digest here. Thanks for this analysis. And all
[1:32:28]
of us are still digesting the very thorough aurora report.
[1:32:33]
um, was any analysis done looking at like a
[1:32:37]
$0 price floor and $0,
[1:32:43]
um, any price floor at all? No. We,
[1:32:47]
we did not look at, uh, price floors as, as part of the analysis.
[1:32:52]
okay. Okay. Public, did you want to, I, I was just gonna add
[1:32:56]
on to chair thomas's, uh, chairman gleason's question. And
[1:33:00]
I, I think I, the important question that, that I also hear
[1:33:04]
often time and as we discussed this, is why does this question
[1:33:08]
keep coming up? Why, why are we continuously trying to find
[1:33:13]
something to address what is either a perceived
[1:33:17]
or real gap in the energy market? And
[1:33:21]
as you look back historically over the last 10 years, you see a
[1:33:25]
trend of resource additions onto the grid that has been fairly consistent
[1:33:30]
and steady defined by the market construct that we're operating today.
[1:33:35]
and its primary focus on economic signals being the,
[1:33:39]
um, what drives favorability and for success in the market.
[1:33:44]
what's, I think not fully considered in our current market design,
[1:33:48]
and, and I alluded a little this a bit to this in my comments last night at the annual meeting,
[1:33:52]
is that, you know, the market design was fundamentally put in place at a
[1:33:56]
time when all of the resources that were
[1:34:01]
operating with that, uh, construct were fairly homogenous. They
[1:34:05]
were thermal resources, long duration. There were coal, there were nuclear, they were in
[1:34:09]
actual gas. And so what the market design, which was intended to
[1:34:13]
drive efficiency did, is it drove, it was driving efficiency among
[1:34:17]
a resource set that had the same operating and reliability characteristics
[1:34:21]
or very similar ones. And it would replace less efficient thermal
[1:34:26]
resources with more efficient thermal resources, with the introduction
[1:34:30]
of a completely different set of resources that have
[1:34:34]
different operating characteristics and different reliability characteristics like
[1:34:38]
wind, solar, and short duration resources. The same market
[1:34:43]
construct, which is designed to bring efficiencies only
[1:34:47]
is now doing so with resources that have very different reliability
[1:34:51]
characteristics. And, and that's the reason why this issue exists, is
[1:34:56]
because the original intent, which was always assuming to deliver reliability,
[1:35:00]
because the reliability characteristics were the same in the, in the
[1:35:04]
construct and in the resources that they were going to, it was gonna be supporting. But
[1:35:08]
because those characteristics have changed so meaningfully, we now have, uh, over
[1:35:12]
70 gigawatts, 70 gigawatts of renew of, of
[1:35:17]
wind and solar installed on, on the ercot grid. We reach periods of
[1:35:21]
time where 75% of the energy delivered in the ercot
[1:35:25]
system is coming from just wind and solar. We have a completely different
[1:35:29]
resource mix. And so the economic incentives have remained fundamentally
[1:35:34]
the same. The operating characteristics are radically different than what
[1:35:38]
they were 25 years ago. So that's the reason this
[1:35:42]
question keeps coming up. We are trying to find a way to continue to sustain this market for the next 25
[1:35:46]
years, and now we're facing a large high growth environment ahead of
[1:35:50]
us. And so we're trying to figure out how do we keep up with that growth? How do we
[1:35:54]
make sure that we can be ahead of that growth so that the bedrock
[1:35:59]
of this organizational's mission, which is reliability, never falls
[1:36:03]
behind the needs and the expectations of texans on a business
[1:36:07]
or on a residential front. And so I think that's really the important question, is to acknowledge
[1:36:11]
that we've got this issue fundamentally, and that the underlying system has
[1:36:16]
changed. And so we have to find a way to continue to support those
[1:36:20]
original goals of this energy only market. Those original goals were
[1:36:24]
presumed reliability and improved efficiency with subsequent
[1:36:29]
investment in subsequent refreshments. Those original goals are not
[1:36:33]
being met in the same way today because of the very different characteristics
[1:36:37]
of that resource mix on the grill resource mix on the grill on the grid.
[1:36:43]
thank you. That's helpful. Any other comments or questions?
[1:36:48]
okay, so I'm sorry, real quick, sorry. Um,
[1:36:53]
pablo, you said one comment about building for the next 25 years. So do you think
[1:36:57]
drs if used correctly, can be what is solving
[1:37:02]
the problem for the next 20 to 25 years? I, I think it has the potential
[1:37:06]
to, because it's, it's, it's tied directly to
[1:37:10]
the, um, to the shortfall
[1:37:14]
of a balanced resource mix. Looking forward using that reliability
[1:37:19]
standard, the intention would be use the reliability standard analysis to
[1:37:23]
identify if in the future we're gonna lack the appropriate mix to meet reliability,
[1:37:28]
and then find the most cost effective way to get there, to get the, that
[1:37:32]
answer. And so if it's constantly providing real
[1:37:36]
time in injects into the market, looking ahead at a need to
[1:37:40]
anticipate the needs of the market a few years down the road, which that reliability standard
[1:37:44]
analysis will do, I think it has the potential to keep up with what is needed.
[1:37:49]
and this is based on, you know, a set of assumptions. It's looking at 2030, it's looking at the assumptions
[1:37:53]
we've put forth, which was the high load case, the assumptions that aurora put forth, which were the
[1:37:57]
moderate load case. And it says, okay, based on those assumptions, here's the numbers.
[1:38:01]
but as that changes, which changes every week, it'll be able to adapt
[1:38:06]
to those needs by constantly having that view of looking forward and trying to
[1:38:10]
fill in that gap. So I do think it has the potential to be a sustainable part
[1:38:14]
of that solution set. And, and frankly, I think it's a, it's a relatively low
[1:38:18]
risk way to put something into the toolbox that as
[1:38:22]
the commission and the stakeholders in the market look at that growth being
[1:38:26]
realized, we start to see is the economic growth actually materializing to
[1:38:31]
the degree and to the speed that, uh, that we anticipated? May we
[1:38:35]
now have a tool that we can, you know, put in place and, and see how that works.
[1:38:40]
okay. Any other questions? So keith, update us on one
[1:38:45]
last issue. So this is under consideration now, and what, what are the next steps? When
[1:38:49]
does the board see this again? So, so, um,
[1:38:53]
with regards to the drs ancillary service scenario
[1:38:58]
that you'll see in june. Okay, my understanding and discussions
[1:39:03]
with, with, uh, ta leadership is they're, they will
[1:39:07]
bring both, but if they can't do both at the same time,
[1:39:11]
1310 will go slower. 1309 would go faster. Okay. As we discussed
[1:39:16]
yesterday. As discussed yesterday. Okay. I just wanted the board to recognize
[1:39:20]
this is coming back. Any other questions, comments?
[1:39:24]
uh, do we need aurora to comment or we good at this stage?
[1:39:29]
okay. Looks like we're good. Thank you, keith. Thank you. Uh, the next is agenda item
[1:39:34]
16, system planning operations. There are two sub items. The first
[1:39:38]
is agenda item 16.1, system operations and winter
[1:39:42]
weather update presented by dan woodfin. Dan,
[1:39:48]
good morning. Got, uh, three items I wanna talk to you about this morning. Uh, the first
[1:39:52]
is kind of a preview of, um, winter, maybe
[1:40:06]
not moving. Okay.
[1:40:11]
okay. Um, so, um, our meteorologists are expecting
[1:40:15]
a cooler winter over average
[1:40:20]
across the entire winter this year than what we've seen say the last four
[1:40:24]
years, but that still would be above average
[1:40:29]
temperatures over the course of that winter. We've just seen such hot winters,
[1:40:33]
uh, the last, uh, four years that we could still be
[1:40:37]
cooler than those. And on average, high, hotter and all. They're
[1:40:42]
also expecting that we'd see, uh, from a precipitation perspective,
[1:40:46]
that we'd see drier than normal conditions over the course of the winter.
[1:40:51]
now, as, as we talk about every year, even in an above average
[1:40:55]
temperature, uh, period over the course of the whole winter, that
[1:40:59]
doesn't mean that we will not see significant coal spell during
[1:41:03]
or one or more significant coal spells during that winter.
[1:41:08]
and I think there, there may be more potential than that this year, since we've
[1:41:12]
already started to see some disruption of the polar
[1:41:16]
region. Uh, and it's caused really the northeast quadrant
[1:41:20]
of the us to see pretty cold weather already this, uh, so there's
[1:41:24]
always the potential for that. And that means we've, uh, collectively as an industry need
[1:41:29]
to be prepared for it. And, um, pablo talked
[1:41:33]
about this morning, some of the, the preparation work that we're, we're doing, uh,
[1:41:37]
through our weatherization program.
[1:41:41]
the next thing I wanted to talk about was we, we've talked about the last several meetings that
[1:41:45]
we're doing various studies related to ride through characteristics
[1:41:51]
of these new large electronic loads. And jeff talked about
[1:41:55]
yesterday that we're proposing, and the board has now made that a
[1:41:59]
priority revision, uh, to put in place, uh,
[1:42:03]
ride through standards for on a going forward
[1:42:07]
basis for these large electronic loads. But these studies
[1:42:12]
are really studying what's, what's already on the ground or what's already been approved to energize.
[1:42:17]
and so before we got too far into those studies, we wanted to give the opportunity
[1:42:21]
for the large electronic loads to provide updated
[1:42:25]
information so that we're not as having to assume kind of the most
[1:42:30]
conservative ride through characteristics, but if they have the
[1:42:34]
capability to do better than that, they can. They, we issued an rfi
[1:42:38]
that would allow them to provide better information to us. And
[1:42:42]
of course we had to ask for that through the tsps 'cause we don't have a
[1:42:46]
direct relationship with these large electronic loads. And we also put out a market notice.
[1:42:51]
and when we got back, uh, we got responses from nine of 24
[1:42:56]
rfis that we sent out. Um, only two of them showed that
[1:43:00]
they had better than the kind of the, what we call the iic
[1:43:05]
curve, the, um, um, that, that, that
[1:43:09]
kind of more, um, conservative, uh, assumption that we've been making
[1:43:13]
in these studies. So the studies going forward that we'll be bringing at forward to the stakeholder
[1:43:17]
groups, and probably here as well over the next couple of months
[1:43:21]
will be, um, uh, including the id curve for all, but those
[1:43:26]
that that show, um, that provided responses
[1:43:30]
that they can do better than that. Um, now there
[1:43:34]
is an ongoing opportunity for those guys to, uh, provide
[1:43:39]
better data, update their models, go through that process.
[1:43:43]
so there's, there's still that opening, uh, as, as we, uh, work
[1:43:47]
forward. So it, it highlights the need that,
[1:43:52]
that we may need a more direct relationship somehow
[1:43:56]
with these, uh, the large loads so that we can communicate with
[1:44:00]
them more directly and request information and then get information back from
[1:44:04]
them, is what we've, we've kind of the point of that.
[1:44:10]
and then finally, uh, we do a, a black start training every year. And of course,
[1:44:14]
we don't want to ever have a system black start type
[1:44:18]
event, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't plan for it. And so we have a plan in
[1:44:22]
place for restarting the grid if that were to ever happen. And, uh,
[1:44:26]
not only do we have a plan, but we train on it every year. This year we,
[1:44:30]
we did that through a six week cycle. So there's a different group of people
[1:44:34]
that go through the training on our simulator, including people
[1:44:39]
from ercot, my staff and ercot operations, but also people
[1:44:43]
from qsc and people from that own generation or that operate
[1:44:47]
generation and also transmission owners. And we go through a simulation
[1:44:51]
to say, what if it, what if we had to restart the grid? How would that work? And
[1:44:55]
so we had a really successful one this year, uh, but about 750
[1:45:00]
market participants that were involved in that. And I just wanted to highlight that because
[1:45:04]
it's not something you hear about every day, but it's, it's really a important
[1:45:08]
function, um, and involves a lot of people, obviously.
[1:45:13]
and that's it. I'm happy to answer any questions. So
[1:45:18]
is it appropriate, appropriate to, uh,
[1:45:22]
ask what the, uh, longest and shortest black
[1:45:27]
start scenarios look like? It's, uh, we
[1:45:31]
don't want to do it. And in fact, because it would take longer than anybody would be
[1:45:35]
comfortable with. Okay. And, you know, in fact, one of the things people always ask, well,
[1:45:39]
what could get us into that kind of situation? And I ha
[1:45:43]
always answer that, well, if we figure out something that might
[1:45:47]
get us in that situation, you'll see an nprr or some rule change
[1:45:52]
or some operating procedure change that will eliminate that risk
[1:45:56]
as quickly as possible. Yes, sir. That's, that's the appropriate response. Okay. Good.
[1:46:00]
any questions? Okay, jury, I
[1:46:05]
have a generic question. Um, now that we've implemented
[1:46:09]
rtc plus b, congratulations in our decks are the
[1:46:13]
typical operating metrics, are you projecting any
[1:46:18]
moderate changes in what the trend lines we're seeing as a result of rt c? I think that's
[1:46:22]
something we've been looking at very closely the last several days.
[1:46:26]
um, we've actually, I sent a note this morning, what about this?
[1:46:30]
and so we're, we're definitely looking at this. I think we, when we have more of a trend line
[1:46:35]
than having three points on it, we'll, we can come back and, and make kind
[1:46:39]
of more of a here's the, what we've seen both between me and keith, I think.
[1:46:44]
okay. Anything else for dan? Dan, do you have anything else? Okay,
[1:46:49]
peggy? Yeah. Hey, dan, I remember you presented to us after
[1:46:53]
the event over in europe mm-hmm . About, uh, looking at
[1:46:57]
lessons learned from that and ways to improve to get back
[1:47:02]
online quickly if we have an event. Are you guys still evaluating that?
[1:47:06]
and, uh, um, can you provide us an update?
[1:47:10]
um, we, we've done some things. One of the things that we're looking
[1:47:14]
at is, uh, the potential for, um, um,
[1:47:20]
temporary ac ties that we could use to, to make the island kind of the restoration
[1:47:24]
happen faster. I think that was one of the lessons learned that that could happen.
[1:47:29]
um, the, they were able to get that grid back. Blake started very quickly,
[1:47:34]
amazingly fast, in fact, uh, because of that, I actually hosted a group from
[1:47:38]
portugal recently, and, uh, that was one of the things that we talked about with
[1:47:42]
them. And so I think we're, we're looking at that. We've got a couple of different
[1:47:47]
kind of low level initiatives going on to look at that. Uh,
[1:47:51]
but that's, that's our intent to still learn from that. We don't have anything
[1:47:55]
ready to bring for you yet.
[1:48:00]
okay. Dan, I think that's it for you. I'm gonna say anybody else raise their hands.
[1:48:04]
so we're gonna pr uh, move to agenda item 16.2, system
[1:48:09]
planning and weatherization update. And, uh, christie's gonna be back at the podium for
[1:48:13]
this presentation.
[1:48:17]
all right, so we talked about the infrastructure needs from a transmission perspective.
[1:48:22]
and so I think as you look at some of the updates that we're seeing on the system, both
[1:48:26]
from the large load and the generation kind of completes that
[1:48:30]
picture. So I wanna share where we're at on those stats as well as work
[1:48:34]
that we're doing and the resource adequacy, the weatherization. Um,
[1:48:38]
and then finally some updates on where we are on reviewing
[1:48:42]
the information received from stakeholders from ger 2 45,
[1:48:50]
large load interconnection request. Um, a lot of press
[1:48:54]
being given to how this queue has, and
[1:48:58]
I should say queue because there is not a queue of a first in, first
[1:49:02]
out, but how this group of large load request has really
[1:49:06]
grown over time. As you can see on this slide, we
[1:49:10]
are tracking over 226 gigawatts of large load
[1:49:14]
requests as of november 18th. But
[1:49:19]
to show you how quickly things are changing, I asked the team on friday,
[1:49:23]
so what have we seen in the, in the next several days
[1:49:28]
as of this past friday, that number is now up to 233 gigawatts.
[1:49:33]
so we continue week after week to see more interest in
[1:49:37]
connecting to the ercot grid. Over 75 or
[1:49:42]
70% of those requests are data center request
[1:49:46]
across the system. And recognizing,
[1:49:51]
um, you know, we, we hear the developers loud and clear
[1:49:55]
the need for certainty, and we agree there's need for certainty, and we also
[1:49:59]
recognize there's need for improvements to the process. If you look at what's
[1:50:04]
happened just since the beginning of this year, so when we met
[1:50:08]
last year at this time, we were tracking about 83,000
[1:50:12]
megawatts worth of requests over the course of 2025.
[1:50:17]
that's grown. Now, as I just stated, we're up to 233
[1:50:22]
gigawatts. That's almost a 300% increase
[1:50:26]
in the amount of megawatts that are wanting to connect to the ercot system.
[1:50:33]
we have outgrown the process that was established for reviewing these large
[1:50:37]
loads. It was originally set up for,
[1:50:41]
we were thinking about 40 to 50 loads back in the
[1:50:45]
2022 timeframe. And as you can see now,
[1:50:50]
we're tracking, just this year we received 225
[1:50:54]
new requests. So this,
[1:50:58]
the amount of loads in how we study them, we can no longer be looking
[1:51:02]
at them individually because we have to look at their impact to each other as well.
[1:51:07]
um, again, on this one, these stats were pulled on november 18th,
[1:51:12]
as of last friday, we had had an additional five new requests come in in that short
[1:51:16]
period of time over the thanksgiving holiday and last week.
[1:51:23]
I guess one thing I would note, um, when you look at the request on
[1:51:27]
the large load slide and the amount of megawatts, you know, over 200 gigawatts
[1:51:31]
of request, we recognize the importance of working with
[1:51:35]
the commission to implement the sb six
[1:51:40]
statutes that were put forward to be able to get better information about
[1:51:44]
the certainty of which of those loads move forwards. Just like the large
[1:51:48]
generation interconnection queue that we'll see in a couple slides,
[1:51:52]
we don't expect that all of those will materialized. So again, it's very important to
[1:51:56]
get those low forecasting and standardization rules in
[1:52:01]
place so that we have better information as we're studying and making recommendations
[1:52:05]
on how to move forward.
[1:52:11]
here's the slide that I was looking for, 2000 generation requests,
[1:52:16]
and this was as of october. And again, those things are changing as well. I had the
[1:52:20]
team take a look at what we had as the end of november, and we've
[1:52:24]
actually gotten additional, uh, megawatts in from those requests as
[1:52:28]
well. Tracking over 432 gigawatts. That's now up to 435.
[1:52:34]
but what I would say is the most notable, you know, we've seen the trend
[1:52:39]
month after month that the majority well over, almost 80%
[1:52:44]
is coming from solar and battery energy storage request. We
[1:52:48]
are still, we're starting to see an uptick in the natural gas, uh,
[1:52:52]
request as well. When we were here in december of last year,
[1:52:56]
we were tracking 26 gigawatts of gas as of november 30th,
[1:53:01]
that number is now up to almost 53 gigawatts.
[1:53:09]
always like to keep you updated on how the texas energy fund projects are
[1:53:13]
moving through the process of those seven gigawatts or 18
[1:53:17]
projects that are moving forward. We actually had our first project
[1:53:21]
pen peaking, um, receive its part one approval to energize. So
[1:53:25]
it's actually connected to the system going through testing and enabled
[1:53:29]
to, um, to produce energy.
[1:53:36]
just another snapshot of looking at how the generation is materialized
[1:53:40]
in 20 24, 25 in 2025. Across
[1:53:44]
those years, we saw about 23 gigawatts of generation resources synchronized
[1:53:48]
to the grid. Um, but you can tell the majority of those are coming from
[1:53:53]
these blue lines, battery energy storage or the green lines, which
[1:53:57]
are solar. As we look ahead, those resources
[1:54:01]
that have already gone through our qualification process and are planning to energize,
[1:54:06]
uh, q1 of next year, we're looking at almost another 10 gigawatts coming
[1:54:10]
to the system. Again, those are mainly comprised of solar
[1:54:15]
and battery energy storage.
[1:54:19]
from a transmission planning perspective, um, the team has been really
[1:54:24]
busy. So not only looking at ways that we can improve the planning
[1:54:28]
processes, looking at, um, the potential, uh, implementation
[1:54:32]
of 7 65, but just the sheer volume of projects. In
[1:54:36]
fact, in 2025 alone, um, we've more than doubled the amount of
[1:54:40]
projects that the team has reviewed and brought forward to you. Um,
[1:54:45]
this year we got in study or have already brought forward
[1:54:49]
48 various projects last year. That number was 22.
[1:54:55]
I think that trend will continue, uh, as we start to look at receiving
[1:54:59]
projects from the utilities to implement both our 2024
[1:55:03]
rtp and 2025 rtp roadmaps
[1:55:09]
from a resource adequacy reporting perspective. Um, the graphic in the middle just
[1:55:13]
gives you a quick snapshot of our monthly outlook on resource adequacy
[1:55:18]
at the time we put these slides together. Both december and januarys were available
[1:55:23]
this past friday. We also published the february more and we see
[1:55:27]
a consistent trend, um, this year compared to last year,
[1:55:32]
lower chances of going into emergency operations or
[1:55:36]
even load shed given our probabilistic analysis.
[1:55:40]
and the main reasons for that is, you know, you think back to the previous slides, the amount
[1:55:44]
of generation that has been added to the system since then, um, is
[1:55:48]
playing a key factor. One other note,
[1:55:52]
uh, wanted to or two other notes from the resource adequacy reporting perspective,
[1:55:57]
each may in december, we come out with our capacity, demand and reserve
[1:56:01]
report. This is really, um, a log of all of the
[1:56:05]
generation that has met certain requirements for coming onto the system into
[1:56:10]
the future years, as well as our forecasted demand that we
[1:56:14]
received from input from the utilities. And that release is planned
[1:56:18]
for the third week of december. Per protocol requirements
[1:56:22]
did wanna highlight, we will be pushing out a market notice to make all participants
[1:56:26]
aware, but one thing we're doing differently this year is we're actually going
[1:56:30]
to have a draft version of the capacity, demand and reserve report
[1:56:34]
available to the supply analysis working group page.
[1:56:39]
so it, it will be available to anyone, um, that would like to review it as
[1:56:43]
a draft form. Um, as we found, um, getting input from the stakeholders
[1:56:47]
throughout the process has been beneficial and making sure that final report
[1:56:51]
that we put out, um, is meeting, um,
[1:56:56]
our requirements. We will have our protocol required
[1:57:00]
requirements, and then we've also added in some additional scenarios that look
[1:57:04]
at the impacts of our assumptions
[1:57:09]
based off of the senate bill six large load curtailment and the
[1:57:13]
texas energy fund assumptions. So for example, generation
[1:57:17]
that is in the texas energy fund hadn't met the protocol requirement for
[1:57:21]
being included in our ledger of generation that's available. Those are some
[1:57:25]
scenarios that we'll look at as a part of that report just to give people different perspectives,
[1:57:30]
um, on different scenarios that could play out. Pablo
[1:57:34]
also mentioned the reliability standard analysis. So we've
[1:57:38]
been working with commission staff, uh, as well as our
[1:57:43]
staff to prepare for next year's work that will be undertaken
[1:57:47]
as the first reliability standard assessment for puc rules.
[1:57:52]
uh, earlier this month, uh, we filed in in coordination
[1:57:56]
with the, from input from the tsps, um, information
[1:58:01]
as to the magnitude. So if you think about the reliability
[1:58:05]
standard has three legs, it's frequency, magnitude, and duration.
[1:58:10]
and the reason for the magnitude piece is we recognize
[1:58:15]
from lessons learned from winter storm uri, the utilities can only safely
[1:58:19]
rotate through a set amount of megawatts on their system
[1:58:24]
until they get to a point where they can no longer rotate through customers. So
[1:58:28]
we take input from the tsps on their capabilities, compile that
[1:58:32]
information, and we've provided that to the commission, which will be one of the
[1:58:36]
inputs going into next year's reliability assessment.
[1:58:41]
we're also working on what our assumptions will be for our model
[1:58:45]
that we'll run next year for the assessment. We'll be filing those with the
[1:58:49]
commission in mid-january. It will open up an opportunity for stakeholder
[1:58:53]
comment on the assumptions that will go in, and then
[1:58:57]
based off of commission decision, that'll be finalized. And
[1:59:01]
then we'll run throughout the summer, be running our model analysis and we'll keep you updated
[1:59:06]
on that as we move through next year.
[1:59:10]
weatherization perspective, you know, this group was
[1:59:14]
established in 2021
[1:59:19]
we have going into, um, this winter season.
[1:59:23]
and you can see the trend is we've been doing more and more resources
[1:59:28]
and more transmission facilities over time. That's
[1:59:32]
as we've added additional staff, but more importantly because there are
[1:59:36]
more resources and more transmission elements on the system. So in advance
[1:59:41]
of winter to help, uh, work with stakeholders, we really tried to make this,
[1:59:45]
uh, a collaborative program where we
[1:59:49]
are providing input, sharing best practices. So we've had workshops with,
[1:59:54]
uh, the utilities, with the resources. Um, we've held additional,
[1:59:58]
um, sessions for those new resources coming to the system to help
[2:00:02]
them prepare their documentation and answer their
[2:00:07]
questions about the, the rule and preparations. We started our weatherization
[2:00:11]
and inspections last week, um, and we've completed
[2:00:16]
13 transmission and 21 resource inspections. Uh, we've
[2:00:20]
got a target of doing at least 430, uh, throughout the
[2:00:24]
winter season. And we really use a risk-based approach on how we choose
[2:00:29]
which, uh, resources and utility, uh, equipment that we go
[2:00:33]
in and research. So for example, um, from a resource perspective,
[2:00:37]
we're looking, there's a rule requirement that we must see 'em at least once every three years.
[2:00:42]
so have we seen them yet in that three year period? Have we seen them in a weather,
[2:00:46]
um, season? Have they had previous issues and
[2:00:50]
we need to go back to make sure they have corrected, um, and cured those, those
[2:00:54]
problems. And then most importantly, newly commissioned resources,
[2:00:59]
making sure they understand the rules and are prepared
[2:01:04]
in the off seasons. Um, one thing I did want to highlight, one of the things that the weatherization
[2:01:08]
inspection team does, because they are um, across the state,
[2:01:13]
is we are able to utilize them to go out and inspect the,
[2:01:17]
the facilities, um, that have been awarded the firm fuel supply service
[2:01:21]
to make sure, um, they are prepared as well for going into the, the
[2:01:25]
winter season in case that service has to be called upon
[2:01:32]
noer 2 45. Um, so this is based on inverter
[2:01:36]
based resources and requirements that they meet, uh, voltage ride
[2:01:40]
through requirements. We continue going through the
[2:01:45]
analysis of the information that we received from the resources
[2:01:49]
back in september. We are looking at
[2:01:54]
their three categories of request. They can request
[2:01:58]
an extension so they believe they can meet the requirements,
[2:02:03]
but they need additional time maybe to work and make changes in the field.
[2:02:07]
there are entities that are requesting an exemption. They do not feel that they
[2:02:12]
can meet those and um, there's no changes. Maybe they're an
[2:02:16]
older type turbine, for example, and they can't make changes to their configurations
[2:02:20]
to be able to meet the ride through requirements. And then we have some
[2:02:24]
entities that have requested both because they're still maybe working with their vendors
[2:02:29]
and they don't know whether they can make it. They think maybe they can,
[2:02:33]
but then they might not be able to. So they've requested both to be on the safe side.
[2:02:38]
we're right now prioritizing our review of the extension request.
[2:02:43]
um, and updated stat, this says 130, but
[2:02:47]
out of as of um, earlier, uh,
[2:02:51]
this or late last week as of friday, we'd sent out
[2:02:55]
141 notices of missing information to resources.
[2:03:00]
so looking at those extension requests, we found that additional information
[2:03:04]
is needed or wasn't provided correctly
[2:03:11]
from an exemptions perspective. Um, a key part
[2:03:15]
of that is providing models to show
[2:03:19]
what their, their capabilities are so that we can review that.
[2:03:23]
um, there are 72 resources that were seeking an exemption that
[2:03:28]
still have not provided their models, which were to have already
[2:03:32]
been provided to us. So we continue to try to obtain those
[2:03:36]
from the resource entities to be able to run the reliability
[2:03:41]
assessment next year. It's important that we have good dynamic
[2:03:45]
model information, so when we run
[2:03:49]
to see whether or not we can grant an exemption, we need to know
[2:03:54]
what's currently on the system and how it's gonna interact and whether
[2:03:58]
we can take, um, except it's a minimal level of risk
[2:04:02]
for that particular entity that's asking for an exemption.
[2:04:07]
as of the time of pulling these slides, we had over 400 resources that
[2:04:11]
still had not provided their updated models to their capabilities.
[2:04:16]
and so this, once we receive those models, we have to go through a model quality
[2:04:21]
test. It requires, you know, additional review by ercot.
[2:04:25]
so it's very important that we get that information from the
[2:04:29]
resources to be able to then do the reliability
[2:04:34]
assessment next year. So, christie,
[2:04:38]
what's their obligation to provide it? I mean, is that a mandatory obligation or
[2:04:42]
voluntary obligation? It's a mandatory, um, obligation
[2:04:47]
via the nodal operating guide rules that were passed and approved by the
[2:04:51]
puc and what are the consequences that they don't by
[2:04:55]
a certain date. So if they don't, this would be something then we could turn
[2:04:59]
over to, um, our erm that would review
[2:05:03]
for, you know, non-compliance with the protocols and guides
[2:05:07]
and then turn that over to the commission for enforcement. That's a substantial
[2:05:11]
portion that you're still waiting for. Yes.
[2:05:16]
I just wanna follow up. Did you wanna say something? Go ahead. Okay. I just wanted
[2:05:20]
to follow up on that line of questioning. Christie. I know we've made a little bit
[2:05:24]
of progress in this area, but it is quite frustrating,
[2:05:29]
a lack of responsiveness, especially given how long it took us
[2:05:33]
to get this passed in the first place. And, uh,
[2:05:39]
when you come back and report on this the next time,
[2:05:43]
if we're not not making significant progress, I think we need to have a more
[2:05:47]
fulsome discussion about what our options are. And maybe the commission needs
[2:05:51]
to be thinking about that too, because it's a serious issue.
[2:05:55]
thank you. Well, can I add onto that, uh, what's
[2:06:00]
tax's role once they pass something to help encourage
[2:06:04]
compliance to a new role? Should we ask tax to also
[2:06:09]
address this matter?
[2:06:14]
I mean, tech leadership is listening. They can, um, I, I don't
[2:06:18]
think there's a lot of value on what tech can do. You're talking about individual companies now that have
[2:06:22]
a compliance obligation on the roles and that we've interacted with for quite
[2:06:27]
some time. So I think we have the ball as we're
[2:06:31]
managing to understand where we're going with the reliability assessments.
[2:06:35]
as christie indicated, there are mechanisms to move this over to the
[2:06:39]
enforcement side. And so we're kind of balancing out all that as we look at a tremendous
[2:06:44]
amount of data that still has quality issues associated it with
[2:06:48]
it, and a lack of models that have come in. So
[2:06:52]
we will continue to manage it with, as pablo has indicated, and christie's indicated at
[2:06:56]
some point, we will move forward and do the reliability assessments based upon the information we have.
[2:07:00]
and those outcomes will, will, we'll move forward with either granting
[2:07:05]
or not a, granting the exemptions or the extensions.
[2:07:09]
and, and then from there, it it is a compliance regulatory process that
[2:07:13]
falls within the commission to ultimately handle at the end of the day. And
[2:07:18]
I think what might be needed, chad, at some point, is a plain english
[2:07:23]
language communication to all the affected parties,
[2:07:27]
reminding them of their obligations and the consequences of not fulfilling
[2:07:31]
them. Those communications have happened
[2:07:36]
in plain english or in lawyers speak.
[2:07:40]
plain english. Okay. Not, not misunderstood.
[2:07:44]
yeah. Things that engineers can understand. This is what happens if
[2:07:49]
you don't do it. Uh, to go back to julie's, uh,
[2:07:53]
comment, I don't know that we wanna put tac in an enforcement position. That's not really their role.
[2:07:57]
well, and I think they'd be uncomfortable with that. Let me, let me give a little background. This
[2:08:01]
is a member organization, uh, wasn't asking so much
[2:08:06]
tax enforcement so much as what are they seeing
[2:08:10]
causing resistance and delays in the membership that agreed to do this?
[2:08:15]
yeah. Feedback. Yeah, I think would always welcome their feedback. Chair
[2:08:19]
gleason. Yeah. Mr. Chairman, since um, compliance and enforcement got brought up,
[2:08:23]
maybe I'd ask our deputy executive director barksdale english to speak to
[2:08:28]
staff's role in enforcing, uh, these provisions. Thanks,
[2:08:32]
chairman. Um, so as chad mentioned, the, um, the
[2:08:37]
erm process, uh, is, is gonna be ercot
[2:08:41]
staff's primary way for referring any outstanding
[2:08:45]
issues to the commission to seek enforcement over. Um, my staff
[2:08:49]
works very closely with the, the reliability monitor here. And,
[2:08:54]
um, we are constantly juggling the myriad issues that,
[2:08:58]
um, that face the stakeholders here and trying to prioritize
[2:09:02]
which, um, which efforts need to be, um, escalated
[2:09:07]
and move forward more quickly. Um, this is certainly a, an
[2:09:11]
important one. Um, and we also wanna recognize that
[2:09:15]
the exemption process that christie was talking about is, is novel,
[2:09:19]
uh, for this market. And so I think, uh, in my opinion, ercot
[2:09:23]
staff is doing a good job of trying to provide a little bit of grace to allow the member companies to
[2:09:28]
figure out how to get through that process. Um, but
[2:09:32]
I would agree with the members', uh, concerns here that at a
[2:09:36]
certain point we need to, you know, call time and, and start moving forward
[2:09:40]
with something more serious and in an enforcement investigation. Uh, and
[2:09:44]
just so the members are aware, uh, failure to comply with ercot
[2:09:49]
protocols, uh, could result in a daily fine of up to $25,000
[2:09:53]
per violation or potentially being kicked off
[2:09:58]
the, the grid. That could be a resulting action as well, sir?
[2:10:02]
yes. Okay. Uh, so those 416
[2:10:07]
noncompliant members need to get their information in 130 that have missing
[2:10:11]
information, need to get that in. So for those that are listing in kristy, keep going.
[2:10:17]
that completes my update. Any questions? Okay. Any questions?
[2:10:22]
all right, very good. Uh, if there are no other
[2:10:26]
questions for christie, uh, we'll move to agenda item 17,
[2:10:30]
other business. Is there any other business that any other board member would like to raise?
[2:10:36]
hearing none, the board will recess and convene an executive session. Follow the
[2:10:40]
executive session. We anticipate several voting items, so general session
[2:10:44]
will reconvene at the conclusion of the executive session. The general session
[2:10:48]
of ercot board of directors meeting is now recessed and the webcast will be suspended.
[2:10:52]
chair gleason. Thank you. Thank you mr. Chairman. This meeting,
[2:10:56]
the public utility commission of texas will stand in recess.
[2:11:03]
okay. Good afternoon. I'm bill flores ercot, board chair. I hereby reconvene this meeting
[2:11:08]
of ercot board of directors. I've confirmed that a quorum is present in person.
[2:11:12]
this meeting is being webcast live to the public on our cop's website.
[2:11:16]
uh, we have three voting items, uh, carried over from
[2:11:20]
executive session, uh, for, uh, this is agenda item
[2:11:25]
18. Uh, first I'm gonna entertain a motion for board approval of the two
[2:11:29]
personnel matters discussed during executive session. Under agenda items
[2:11:34]
es 2.4 and two point.
[2:11:41]
so moved. Uh, thank you, peggy. Is there a second? Second.
[2:11:45]
okay. Second for chris. Thank you. All in favor a. Aye.
[2:11:49]
any opposed? Any abstentions? The personnel matters are approved
[2:11:53]
as, uh, as presented. Next, I'll entertain
[2:11:57]
a motion for board approval of the contract matter discussed during executive session under
[2:12:02]
agenda item es 2.7 0.1.
[2:12:07]
john, thank you. Second, julie. All in favor? Aye. Aye.
[2:12:11]
aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions? The contract matter has been
[2:12:15]
approved. And then lastly, I'll entertain, I'll make the motion,
[2:12:19]
uh, to approve the selection of weaver and tidball lp as a 2026
[2:12:23]
independent system and organization control auditor
[2:12:28]
for the soc audit for 2025. 2026.
[2:12:32]
second. Thank you, peggy. All in favor?
[2:12:36]
aye. Any opposed? Any abstentions that has been approved? Thank you.
[2:12:40]
the meeting of the ercot board of directors is now adjourned and the webcast will be concluded.